Hearts vs Sturm Graz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Jul 2026

Hearts vs Sturm Graz Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Hearts To Win @ -128

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Despite the first-leg result, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Hearts come out on top against Sturm Graz. We will therefore back them at -128 on the Full-Time Result market and get a nice return if the hosts manage to land a victory.

Scroll down to view our Hearts vs Sturm Graz betting preview, where we break down our main match prediction in full, followed by our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Hearts vs Sturm Graz Preview

Scottish Premiership side Hearts host Austrian Bundesliga outfit Sturm Graz in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League second qualifying round tie at Tynecastle Park, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 28 July.

H2H: Sturm Secured Dominant First-Leg Win

Sturm Graz and Hearts met in the first leg on Tuesday night, with hosts Sturm Graz landing a 4-0 victory. Hearts enjoyed 65% possession but Sturm were 7-4 winners in term of shots on target. Jon Gorenc-Stankovic, Jeyland Mitchell, Luca Weinhandl and Juergen Heil were some of the scorers.

Scottish Premiership		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Hearts	5	4	0	1	12	5	7	12:5	12

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Sturm Graz	5	2	2	1	6	5	1	6:5	8

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 12.9 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. Hearts have had 56.7% possession and 5.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.4 goals from 10.1 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal, while earning 4.1 corners.

Lawrence Shankland leads the way with 5 goals, with Blair Spittal and Claudio Braga getting 2 apiece. Marc Leonard is the top assists maker with 2.

Sturm have won 4 and drawn 6, with an average of 5.0 shots on goal, 13.1 attempts and 1.7 goals. Fabio Ingolitsch's team average 51.0% possession, 5.9 corners taken and 4.6 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 9.2 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

Otar Kiteishvili has top scored with 3, while Jon Gorenc-Stankovic, Luca Weinhandl and Albert Vallci are next on 2. Otar Kiteishvili and Jusuf Gazibegovic are the top assist makers with 2 apiece, while Daniil Khudyakov has notched one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Hearts confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Alexander Schwolow (GK), Jordi Altena, Malachi Fagan-Walcott, Stephen Kingsley, Harry Milne, Blair Spittal, Oisin McEntee, Sabri Guendouz, Alexandros Kyziridis, Claudio Braga, Calvin Miller.

Sturm Graz confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Daniil Khudyakov (GK), Juergen Heil, Albert Vallci, Jeyland Mitchell, Emran Soglo, Simon Seidl, Luca Weinhandl, Jon Gorenc-Stankovic, Jacob Hodl, Szymon Wlodarczyk, Seedy Jatta.

Main Match Prediction

We are confident in our selection of Hearts to land the victory, with odds of -128 looking generous. Backed by home advantage against a Sturm side that can afford to lose by up to three goals, we expect the hosts to claim a win in this Champions League qualifier.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (domestic league and Champions League qualifying matches):

• Hearts have won 7 consecutive games at home.
• Hearts have won 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• Hearts have won 15 of their last 19 games at home.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Champions League qualifying team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 56.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

You can choose an alternative if you want bigger odds about a win for Hearts. The Double Result market allows you to wager on them to lead at the halfway stage too.

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Hearts To Win @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jul 26, 20:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Hearts 3 - 1 Sturm

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Hearts to win 3-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +750 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Otar Kiteishvili to Score +265

Otar Kiteishvili (Sturm) has racked up four goals in his past five away games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +265.

Latest Otar Kiteishvili Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+265

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Hearts Under 6.5 Corners -114

In their past four home matches, Hearts have not covered the 6.5 corners line, with Sturm Graz conceding 4.00 corners on average in their last 5 games. We think that Hearts will come up short and this Team Corners bet can be backed at -114.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Hearts

Total

9.90 5.80 4.10

Home

8.90 4.40 4.50

Away

10.20 6.00 4.20

Sturm

Total

10.50 5.90 4.60

Home

10.20 5.10 5.10

Away

10.00 5.80 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-143

Under 10.5

-102

Hearts Corners

Over 7.5

-128

Under 7.5

-112

Sturm Corners

Over 2.5

-159

Under 2.5

+108

Most Corners

1

-769

X

+1000

2

+550

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Hearts vs Sturm Graz Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -120, the bookies make Hearts probable winners and there’s a 55% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this Champions League qualifying encounter. Sturm Graz are the underdogs at +265 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 market is the same as a Full-Time Result wager, with Hearts needing to win at -132 for your bet to be successful. Sturm +0.5 at -109 means you need them to triumph or the draw to happen.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. BTTS Yes is on offer at -200 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Champions League qualifying games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-120

X

+300

2

+265

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+148

2

+290

Double Chance

1X

-435

12

-500

X2

-115

Draw No Bet

1

-263

2

+170

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-132

2 Hcp +0.5

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+132

Over 2.5

-192

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+133

Cláudio Braga is the First Goalscorer favourite at +400 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +155.

Cláudio Braga (Hearts)

First

+400

Anytime

+155

Calvin Miller (Hearts)

First

+480

Anytime

+175

Rogers Mato (Hearts)

First

+525

Anytime

+195

Maurice Malone (Sturm)

First

+525

Anytime

+200

Pierre Landry Kabore (Hearts)

First

+550

Anytime

+210

Elton Kabangu (Hearts)

First

+600

Anytime

+235

Szymon Włodarczyk (Sturm)

First

+650

Anytime

+245

James Wilson (Hearts)

First

+650

Anytime

+250

Otar Kiteishvili (Sturm)

First

+700

Anytime

+265

Seedy Jatta (Sturm)

First

+700

Anytime

+280

Amady Camara (Sturm)

First

+700

Anytime

+280

Nelson Weiper (Sturm)

First

+800

Anytime

+290

Finlay Pollock (Hearts)

First

+800

Anytime

+320

Jordi Altena (Hearts)

First

+1000

Anytime

+410

Blair Spittal (Hearts)

First

+1050

Anytime

+450

Stuart Findlay (Hearts)

First

+1300

Anytime

+540

Jon Gorenc Stankovic (Sturm)

First

+1400

Anytime

+575

Christian Dahle Borchgrevink (Hearts)

First

+1700

Anytime

+750

Stephen Kingsley (Hearts)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Jamie McCart (Hearts)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Craig Halkett (Hearts)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Ryan Fosso (Sturm)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Latest Champions League qualifying and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Hearts Stats

Sturm Graz Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 51.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 49.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Hearts vs Sturm Graz Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Hearts vs Sturm team news before placing your bets. We’ll provide the latest confirmed Champions League qualifying lineups along with injury updates.

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