Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Oct 2026
Heerenveen vs Excelsior Predictions
Excelsior +0.75 at odds of -104 look like a great wager against Heerenveen. We’re feeling bullish when it comes to this Asian Handicap pick which means a divided stake between +0.5 and +1.0.
Scroll down to view our Heerenveen vs Excelsior betting preview, where we break down our main match prediction in full, followed by our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Heerenveen vs Excelsior Preview
Heerenveen meet Excelsior at Abe Lenstra Stadion, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Friday 16 October.
Heerenveen were defeated in their last game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-0 loss against PSV Eindhoven at Philips Stadion. The Super Frisians managed five shots on target and had 45% possession.
Excelsior were defeated in their previous game, being beaten at home to FC Groningen by a 5-1 scoreline at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. Ruben den Uil's team had 49% possession and two shots on goal, while Irakli Yegoian was on the scoresheet.
H2H: Heerenveen Won 2-1 in Teams’ Last Meeting
Heerenveen have beaten Excelsior in the last two head-to-head encounters. Travelling to Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, a 2-1 win was achieved following a 2-1 home victory at Abe Lenstra Stadion. In the past 7 H2H meetings, we have seen four Heerenveen wins, two Excelsior victories and one draw.
| Eredivisie | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  Excelsior |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16:14 | 11 |
| 10 |  SC Heerenveen |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11:11 | 9 |
Heerenveen have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts. Robin Veldman's side have averaged 53.4% possession, 502.6 passes and 5.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.4 goals from 4.5 shots on goal, 16.9 attempts and 5.9 corners.
Jacob Trenskow is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Maxence Rivera and Nolhan Courtens each have 2. Levi Smans and Dylan Vente have been top assistors on 3, with goalkeeper Bernt Klaverboer keeping 4 clean sheets.
Excelsior have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 4.1 shots on goal, 11.6 attempts and 2.0 goals. The Kralingers average 45.0% possession, 393.2 passes, 4.0 corners taken and 4.6 corners against them, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 14.9 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.
We’ve seen Irakli Yegoian, Aymen Sliti, David Garden and Noah Naujoks score 3 goals each. Irakli Yegoian has clocked up 5 assists, with Stijn van Gassel keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Heerenveen predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bernt Klaverboer (GK), Oliver Braude, Sam Kersten, Maas Willemsen, Vasilios Zagaritis, Marcus Linday, Nolhan Courtens, Jacob Trenskow, Levi Smans, Maxence Rivera, Dylan Vente.
Excelsior predicted lineup (4-3-3): Stijn van Gassel (GK), Eric da Silva Moreira, Casper Widell, Jan Plug, Simon Janssen, Irakli Yegoian, Rick Meissen, Lennard Hartjes, Aymen Sliti, David Garden, Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson.
Main Match Prediction
We’re confident with Excelsior and will take the visitors at -104 with a +0.75 start. This Asian Handicap could give them the edge in this Eredivisie match, with a bright display coming from the outsiders.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The latest Eredivisie injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.
According to the top bookies, our pick has a 51% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
Placing a Bet Builder is a recommended option if you want to bet on Excelsior to cover the line but want more juice from your wager. Choose the various legs that you want to add in.
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Correct Score Prediction
2
-
2
Excelsior
One bet that has caught our eye is a 2-2 correct score draw. This selection is available at +750 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior) has bagged at least one shot on goal in seven of his past ten Eredivisie games. Our opinion is that there’s value for him to cover the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of -159 currently on offer.
Aymen Sliti (Excelsior) has managed two goals in his past five Eredivisie matches. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +370 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
All of the past four Excelsior matches has seen the 10.5 Total Corners line not covered, with two consecutive Heerenveen games having the same outcome. There’s everything to like about the Total Corners line which looks high and we’d expect the teams to go under at -125.
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Try out our same-game multi picks which include Excelsior to cover the +0.75 Asian Handicap, both teams to find the net and also Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior) to record one or more shots on target.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Heerenveen vs Excelsior Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Heerenveen are available at -152 to come away with a triumph in this Eredivisie clash, meaning a 60% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. The market implies that Excelsior are the most unlikely to win at +330.
For those wanting an alternative, Heerenveen are +108 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Excelsior being priced up at +320 and the draw is +163.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. BTTS Yes is on offer at -233 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.
The best football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Eredivisie game, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.
Dylan Vente is the First Goalscorer favourite at +410 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +125.
Stats: Last 10 Eredivisie matches only.
Heerenveen have not won at Abe Lenstra Stadion in the past three matches. The Super Frisians have managed six victories, two draws and two losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Excelsior have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous eight matches. Ruben den Uil's team have clocked up four wins, four draws and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
The previous Abe Lenstra Stadion encounter involved a 2-1 Heerenveen win against Excelsior. There have been two Heerenveen victories, one Excelsior win and one draw in the past 4 H2H games at Abe Lenstra Stadion.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen Home Stats |
6-2-2 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
| Excelsior Away Stats |
4-4-2 | 3.70 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Eredivisie: 07/03 2026 Excelsior 1 Heerenveen 2
- Eredivisie: 04/10 2025 Heerenveen 2 Excelsior 1
- Eredivisie: 19/01 2024 Excelsior 3 Heerenveen 0
- Eredivisie: 23/09 2023 Heerenveen 0 Excelsior 3
- Eredivisie: 13/05 2023 Heerenveen 0 Excelsior 0
- Eredivisie: 05/11 2022 Excelsior 0 Heerenveen 1
- Eredivisie: 30/03 2019 Heerenveen 1 Excelsior 0
CHeerenveen League Stats
Excelsior League Stats
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 45.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for CHeerenveen this season are Jacob Trenskow (3), Maxence Rivera (2), Nolhan Courtens (2)
- Top Assistors for CHeerenveen this season are Levi Smans (3), Dylan Vente (2), Dirk Proper (1)
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Heerenveen vs Excelsior Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Heerenveen vs Excelsior team news before placing your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Eredivisie lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Heerenveen Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Excelsior Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Heerenveen Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Excelsior Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Heerenveen Lineups
Previous Excelsior Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Heerenveen Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Robin Veldman
Excelsio Player Stats & Squad
Eredivisie Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 |
| 2 | PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26:10 | 19 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20:14 | 14 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Go Ahead E. | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 11 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:25 | 8 |
| 14 | Sp. Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | 6 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 3 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7:23 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twente | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 10 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 8 |
| 5 | Go Ahead E. | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:6 | 8 |
| 6 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 10 | Utrecht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:14 | 4 |
| 11 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 14 | Sp. Rotterdam | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | 2 |
| 15 | Telstar | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:11 | 2 |
| 16 | Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | 1 |
| 17 | Willem II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 1 |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
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