Hull vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Sep 2026
Hull vs Aston Villa Predictions
By backing Hull +0.5 at -108, we are essentially betting on the home team to avoid defeat. We think that this can be achieved against Aston Villa, with the stats backing up our Asian Handicap prediction.
Dive into our Hull vs Aston Villa betting breakdown for the complete analysis of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Hull vs Aston Villa Preview
Hull host Aston Villa at MKM Stadium, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 5 September.
Hull City have triumphed in back-to-back Premier League games. The latest of these was on the road where Coventry City were beaten 1-0 at Coventry Building Society Arena. The Tigers had just 31% possession and recorded two shots on target, with a late strike from Liam Millar proving the difference.
Aston Villa suffered a second straight league defeat when losing 1-0 in their previous Premier League game. This was at home to Arsenal at Villa Park. Unai Emery's team were restricted to just 39% possession and didn’t have any shots on goal.
2-2 Draw in Last H2H
The last time Villa and Hull met involved the former hosting a 2-2 Championship draw at Villa Park.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hull |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 19 | Aston Villa |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0:5 | 0 |
Hull have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts. Sergej Jakirovic's men have averaged 38.6% possession and 3.8 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.8 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 13.6 attempts and 6.8 corners.
Oli McBurnie leads the way with 5 goals, with Liam Millar and Joe Gelhardt getting 2 apiece. Mohamed Belloumi, Matt Crooks and Liam Millar have the most assists with 2, while goalie Ivor Pandur has recorded 3 clean sheets.
Villa have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 4.2 shots on goal, 12.2 attempts and 1.6 goals. The Birmingham side average 50.0% possession, 416.4 passes, 4.3 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 13.3 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.
The leading scorer has been Ollie Watkins with 8, while John McGinn and Morgan Rogers have 2. Lucas Digne, Ollie Watkins and John McGinn have all made 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Emiliano Martinez has one clean sheet.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Hull predicted lineup (3-4-3): Konstantinos Tzolakis (GK), Semi Ajayi, John Egan, Nobel Mendy, Lewie Coyle, Regan Slater, Hidemasa Morita, Ryan Giles, Mohamed Belloumi, Oli McBurnie, Elliot Stroud.
Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Zion Suzuki (GK), Matty Cash, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Pau Torres, Ian Maatsen, Boubacar Kamara, Ross Barkley, John McGinn, Emiliano Buendia, George Hemmings, Nicolas Jackson.
Main Match Prediction
There’s a strong case for backing Hull on the Asian Handicap in this Premier League match. Landing odds of -108 looks value when it comes to the home team with a +0.5 goal start.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Premier League data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.
If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 51.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
There’s often the option to sell goals and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying goals will give you a less-risky bet but shorter odds.
Before placing your bets, take advantage of our guide packed with up-to-date free bets and the latest bonus offers.
Correct Score Prediction
Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +540. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Oliver McBurnie (Hull) has had at least one shot on goal in back-to-back league home matches. We recommend backing the -167 that he is able to cover the line, with this Shots on Target wager hopefully providing a return.
Mohamed Bachir Belloumi (Hull) is available to score at +410. All things considered, we think that the odds are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
It has now been eight straight Hull matches where under 9.5 corners have been awarded. The Total Corners line looks to be too high given the stats and -137 is available to wager.
Hull
Aston Villa
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a same-game multi including these picks: Hull on the Asian Handicap at +0.5, less than three goals in total together with Oliver McBurnie (Hull) to finish with one or more shots on target.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Hull vs Aston Villa Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Aston Villa at -112 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 53% chance of winning this Premier League clash based on the betting odds. The market suggests that Hull City are least likely to win at +310.
Villa can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting +145. However, Hull are +320 and the draw is +123 if you want to take a different option.
Over and Under 2.5 Goals backers are able to get odds which are similar for the Total Goals market. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -139.
Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Premier League matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.
Those interested in Ollie Watkins to find the net anytime are able to get +145. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +340.
Stats: League matches only
Hull have not tasted defeat at MKM Stadium in six straight matches. The Tigers have secured four wins, three draws and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
Villa have clocked up four draws, four losses and two wins in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hull Home Stats |
4-3-3 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
Aston Villa Away Stats |
2-4-4 | 2.40 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Hull League Stats
Aston Villa League Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 6.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 38.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 50.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
Hull vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Hull vs Villa before you bet. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Hull Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Aston Villa Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Hull Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Aston Villa Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Hull Lineups
Previous Aston Villa Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Hull Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Sergej Jakirovic
Aston Villa Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Hull | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 5 | Brentford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 7 | Everton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Leeds | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 |
| 10 | Man United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Nott’m Forest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 16 | Fulham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 17 | Coventry | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Man United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Hull | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Leeds | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 15 | Fulham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Coventry | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
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