Hull vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 May 2026
Championship Play-Off Final Betting Preview: Hull vs Middlesbrough
Hull take on Middlesbrough in the 2025/26 Championship play-off final at Wembley, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 23 May.
We’ll take Middlesbrough at attractive betting odds of -120 considering that they could be dominant against Hull. The Full-Time Result market provides plenty of value and a nice potential return.
Hull City won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. It was away from home against Millwall at The Den. The Tigers had just 34% possession and recorded seven shots on target, with Mohamed Belloumi and Joe Gelhardt scoring one goal each.
Southampton claimed a 2-1 extra-time home win (1-1 after 90 mins) over Middlesbrough at St. Mary's in their previous game. Tonda Eckert's team had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 59% possession and five shots on goal, while Ross Stewart and Shea Charles were on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Hull have beaten Southampton on three consecutive occasions. Their last encounter was staged at St. Mary's, with Hull winning 2-1 on the road. The previous 4 H2H meetings have involved three Hull triumphs and just one win for Southampton.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Middlesbrough |
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72 | 47 | 25 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull |
46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 70:66 | 73 |
Hull have 3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. Sergej Jakirovic's side have averaged 45.7% possession and 4.5 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 11.6 attempts and 6.2 corners.
Oli McBurnie is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Joe Gelhardt and Mohamed Belloumi both have 2. Matt Crooks and Liam Millar are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Ivor Pandur has kept 2 clean sheets.
Middlesbrough have won 2, lost 3 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.4 goals from 20.7 attempts and 6.1 shots on goal. The Saints average 63.1% possession, 9.2 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against them, while conceding 1.2 goals from 9.7 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.
Tommy Conway has scored 5 goals, followed by David Strelec and Morgan Whittaker on 3. Alan Browne has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Hull predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Ivor Pandur (GK), Semi Ajayi, John Egan, Charlie Hughes, Lewie Coyle, Regan Slater, Matt Crooks, Ryan Giles, Kyle Joseph, Liam Millar, Oliver McBurnie.
Middlesbrough predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Daniel Peretz (GK), James Bree, Nathan Wood, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Ryan Manning, Shea Charles, Caspar Jander, Kuryu Matsuki, Léo Scienza, Finn Azaz, Ross Stewart.
Hull vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips
Step into Hull vs Middlesbrough with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.
Match Prediction
Middlesbrough are priced at -120 to secure a victory and we think these odds look too big. We’re expecting them to land a Championship win and a nice potential return could be on the cards.
The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Championship team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.
Key Hull vs Middlesbrough league stats:
The top betting apps make it a 54.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
There are several exciting options when it comes to betting Middlesbrough if you think they’ll win by some distance. One alternative is the Asian Handicap where you can select a line at a bigger price.
Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.
Correct Score Prediction
Middlesbrough are available at +575 when it comes to them winning 1-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.
Corners Prediction
The ten past matches involving Middlesbrough have had an average of 12.70 corners, with the last five Hull games involving 12.00. The Total Corners line looks attractive and we’re going to take the -132 that it’s covered.
Hull
Middlesbrough
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is compiled of the following: Middlesbrough to win, two or less goals to be registered as well as Over 10.5 corners.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Hull vs Middlesbrough Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Middlesbrough are the shortest price to win this Championship clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 55% probability due to their -120 betting odds. The market implies that Hull City are the most unlikely to win at +335.
If you want to back Middlesbrough to win, then you can take the Asian Handicap -0.5 option. This selection is priced at -118, although Hull +0.5 is -104 and the latter puts the draw on your side.
The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. There are two Both Teams to Score options, with Yes on offer at -119 and No at -116.
When it comes to every Championship match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.
Favourite Morgan Whittaker is available at +430 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.
- Championship: 29/12 2025 Middlesbrough 0 Hull 1
- Championship: 05/12 2025 Hull 1 Middlesbrough 4
- Championship: 01/01 2025 Hull 0 Middlesbrough 1
- Championship: 30/11 2024 Middlesbrough 3 Hull 1
- Championship: 10/04 2024 Hull 2 Middlesbrough 2
- Championship: 13/12 2023 Middlesbrough 1 Hull 2
- Championship: 19/04 2023 Middlesbrough 3 Hull 1
- Championship: 01/11 2022 Hull 1 Middlesbrough 3
- Championship: 09/04 2022 Middlesbrough 0 Hull 1
- Championship: 02/10 2021 Hull 2 Middlesbrough 0
Hull League Stats
Middlesbrough League Stats
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 6.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 12.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 63.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Hull this season are Oli McBurnie (17), Joe Gelhardt (14), Kyle Joseph (8)
- Top Assistors for Hull this season are Ryan Giles (8), Oli McBurnie (7), Kyle Joseph (5)
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Hull vs Middlesbrough Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Hull vs Middlesbrough without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship together with updated injury news.
Hull Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Middlesbrough Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Hull Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Middlesbrough Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Hull Lineups
Previous Middlesbrough Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Hull Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Sergej Jakirovic
Middlesbrough Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 51:19 | 55 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 43:17 | 50 |
| 3 | Southampton | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 38:19 | 44 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 39:22 | 44 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 34:18 | 42 |
| 6 | Millwall | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 33:25 | 42 |
| 7 | Swansea | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:27 | 39 |
| 8 | Hull | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 35:34 | 38 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41:37 | 37 |
| 10 | Watford | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 30:27 | 37 |
| 11 | Derby | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:27 | 36 |
| 12 | West Brom | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 28:25 | 34 |
| 13 | Stoke | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34:28 | 33 |
| 14 | QPR | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 40:37 | 33 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 38:33 | 31 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Preston | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | 31 |
| 18 | Charlton | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 23:26 | 31 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:23 | 30 |
| 20 | Norwich | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 21 | Oxford | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:27 | 29 |
| 22 | Leicester | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31:34 | 28 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 19:27 | 21 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 14:44 | 10 |
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