Hull vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 May 2026

Championship Play-Off Final Betting Preview: Hull vs Middlesbrough

Hull take on Middlesbrough in the 2025/26 Championship play-off final at Wembley, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 23 May. The winners will secure promotion to the Premier League.

We’ll take Middlesbrough at attractive betting odds of -120 considering that they could be dominant against Hull. Kim Hellberg’s side spent long periods of the regular season in second place, while Hull only secured their play-off spot on the final day.

Considering the latest xG data and the teams’ respective form on their travels, the Full-Time Result market looks to offer value and a potentially rewarding return. The Boro have also received an added boost, with Championship Player of the Season Hayden Hackney reportedly fit enough to play some part in the final after being sidelined by a groin injury since 14 March.

Books will be written and films made about Spygate, but in short: Southampton have been thrown out of the play-off final despite beating Middlesbrough in the semi-finals, with Boro now handed their place at Wembley.

Hull, who finished sixth in the Championship standings, come into the play-off final after beating Millwall 2-0 on aggregate. Following a goalless draw at MKM Stadium in the first leg, they secured progression with a 2-0 away win in the second leg at The Den.

The Tigers had 34% possession and recorded seven shots on target in the return leg, with Mohamed Belloumi and Joe Gelhardt scoring one goal each.

Middlesbrough, fifth in the Championship, dominated the first semi-final leg against Southampton, although the game stayed level at 0-0.

The second leg saw Southampton claim a 2-1 extra-time win at home (1-1 after 90 minutes), with the Saints recording 59% possession and five shots on target. Ross Stewart and Shea Charles got on the scoresheet for Southampton, while Riley McGree found the net for the Boro.

Head-to-Head Statistics

This season’s head-to-head meetings have both ended in away wins. Middlesbrough won the first encounter 4-1 at MKM Stadium, while Hull claimed a 1-0 victory in the fixture at the Riverside.

Across the last ten meetings between the sides, Middlesbrough have won five times, Hull have claimed four victories and one match has ended in a draw.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Hull have 3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. Sergej Jakirovic's side have averaged 45.7% possession and 4.5 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 11.6 attempts and 6.2 corners.

Oli McBurnie is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Joe Gelhardt and Mohamed Belloumi both have 2. Matt Crooks and Liam Millar are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Ivor Pandur has kept 2 clean sheets.

Middlesbrough have won 2, lost 3 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.4 goals from 20.7 attempts and 6.1 shots on goal. The North Yorkshire side average 63.1% possession, 9.2 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against them, while conceding 1.2 goals from 9.7 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

Tommy Conway has scored 5 goals, followed by David Strelec and Morgan Whittaker on 3. Alan Browne has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Hull confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Ivor Pandur (GK), Semi Ajayi, John Egan, Charlie Hughes, Lewie Coyle, Regan Slater, Matt Crooks, Ryan Giles, Mohamed Belloumi, Liam Millar, Oli McBurnie.

Middlesbrough confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Solomon Brynn (GK), Luke Ayling, Dael Fry, Adilson Malanda, Callum Brittain, Alan Browne, Aidan Morris, Matt Targett, Morgan Whittaker, Riley McGree, David Strelec.

Hull vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Hull vs Middlesbrough preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to corners advice, player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Middlesbrough are priced at -120 to secure a victory and we think these odds look too big. We’re backing Boro to win promotion to the Premier League and a nice potential return could be on the cards.

The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Championship team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.

Key Hull vs Middlesbrough league stats:

• Middlesbrough have won 9 of their last 20 games.
• Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 6 of their last 7 games away from home
• Hull have failed to win 5 of their last 6 games away from home

The top betting apps make it a 54.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There are several exciting options when it comes to betting Middlesbrough if you think they’ll win by some distance. One alternative is the Asian Handicap where you can select a line at a bigger price.

Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.

Our Match Prediction

Middlesbrough To Win @ -120 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 21, 16:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Hull 0 - 1 Middlesbrough

The Boro are available at +540 when it comes to them winning 1-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: David Strelec to Score +270

David Strelec (Middlesbrough) has netted three goals in his past five Championship matches. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +270 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest David Strelec Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+650

Shots

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners -132

The ten past matches involving Middlesbrough have had an average of 12.70 corners, with the last five Hull games involving 12.00. The Total Corners line looks attractive and we’re going to take the -132 that it’s covered.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Hull

Total

10.70 4.50 6.20

Home

8.10 3.70 4.40

Away

13.00 5.10 7.90

Middlesbrough

Total

12.70 9.20 3.50

Home

12.90 9.30 3.60

Away

9.80 5.20 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-127

Under 10.5

-112

Hull Corners

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

-104

Middlesbrough Corners

Over 6.5

-116

Under 6.5

-122

Most Corners

1

+260

X

+800

2

-294

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Hull vs Middlesbrough Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Middlesbrough are the shortest price to win the play-off final according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 53% probability due to their -112 betting odds. The market implies that Hull City are the most unlikely to win at +320.

If you want to back Middlesbrough to win, then you can take the Asian Handicap -0.5 option. This selection is priced at -111, although Hull +0.5 is -111 and the latter puts the draw on your side.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. There are two Both Teams to Score options, with Yes on offer at -115 and No at -120.

When it comes to every Championship match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+320

X

+240

2

-112

Half-Time Result

1

+340

X

+108

2

+155

Double Chance

1X

-122

12

-345

X2

-476

Draw No Bet

1

+180

2

-278

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-111

2 Hcp -0.5

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-149

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-120

Favourite Morgan Whittaker is available at +450 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

First

+450

Anytime

+190

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

First

+650

Anytime

+260

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

First

+650

Anytime

+280

Oliver McBurnie (Hull)

First

+700

Anytime

+300

Joe Gelhardt (Hull)

First

+750

Anytime

+300

Jeremy Sarmiento (Middlesbrough)

First

+900

Anytime

+380

Leo Castledine (Middlesbrough)

First

+1000

Anytime

+430

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

First

+1050

Anytime

+450

Mohamed Bachir Belloumi (Hull)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Riley McGree (Middlesbrough)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

First

+1150

Anytime

+450

Lewis Koumas (Hull)

First

+1200

Anytime

+480

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

First

+1150

Anytime

+480

Liam Millar (Hull)

First

+1100

Anytime

+480

Kyle Joseph (Hull)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Yu Hirakawa (Hull)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

David Akintola (Hull)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

First

+1400

Anytime

+575

Matt Crooks (Hull)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Matt Targett (Middlesbrough)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Alan Browne (Middlesbrough)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Toby Collyer (Hull)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Oliver McBurnie (Hull)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Yu Hirakawa (Hull)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Kyle Joseph (Hull)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Liam Millar (Hull)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Lewis Koumas (Hull)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Riley McGree (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Mohamed Bachir Belloumi (Hull)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Leo Castledine (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Jeremy Sarmiento (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Joe Gelhardt (Hull)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

David Akintola (Hull)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Matt Crooks (Hull)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Matt Targett (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Alan Browne (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Toby Collyer (Hull)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Hull vs Middlesbrough Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Hull vs Middlesbrough without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship together with updated injury news.

Hull City Team Page Middlesbrough Team Page

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages