Instituto vs Boca Juniors Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Oct 2026
Instituto vs Boca Juniors Predictions
We’ll back Instituto +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and split our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they clash with Boca Juniors. A victory delivers a nice payout at -147 although a draw would still mean a return.
Take a closer look at our complete Instituto vs Boca Juniors betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Instituto vs Boca Juniors Preview
Instituto go head-to-head with Boca Juniors, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Friday 9 October.
Instituto have enjoyed five home wins on the bounce. Most recently, Independiente were beaten 4-1 away. La Gloria recorded six shots on target and had 53% possession, while Jeremias Lazaro, Hernan De La Fuente, Matias Gallardo and Alex Luna scored one goal each.
Boca Juniors have won three on the spin after recently recording a 3-0 home victory over Unión. Rodolfo Arruabarrena's team boasted 69% possession and had seven shots on goal, with Leonel Flores on the scoresheet twice and Lautaro Di Lollo also finding the net.
H2H: Boca Claimed 2-0 Victory in Last Head-to-Head
Boca won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 2-0 home triumph when facing Instituto. The previous 3 H2H games have seen Instituto winning once, one draw and a victory for Boca.
| Primera División | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto |
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17:8 | 25 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors |
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17:11 | 20 |
Instituto have 8 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 14.3 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal. Diego Flores' side have averaged 47.9% possession and 5.6 corners per game, conceding 0.7 goals and 3.7 corners from 9.1 attempts and 2.1 shots on goal.
Giuliano Cerato is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Hernan De La Fuente, Alex Luna, Fernando Alarcon and Leonel Mosevich each have 2. The top assist makers are Jeremias Lazaro, Diego Sosa and Alex Luna, all of whom have 2 on the board.
Boca have 5 victories and 5 draws, with an average of 1.7 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 16.6 attempts. There’s been an average of 59.5% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.8 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.
The leading scorers have been Miguel Merentiel and Santiago Ascacibar with 3, while Leonel Flores has 2. Enner Valencia, Leonel Flores and Lautaro Blanco have clocked up 2 assists each in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Instituto predicted lineup (3-4-3): Marcos Ledesma (GK), Agustin Massaccesi, Leonel Mosevich, Jonathan Galván, Giuliano Cerato, Gustavo Abregú, Matías Gallardo, Diego Sosa, Jeremías Lázaro, Matias Tissera, Alex Luna.
Boca Juniors predicted lineup (4-3-3): Alvaro Montero (GK), Dylan Gorosito, Lautaro di Lollo, Facundo Herrera, Lautaro Blanco, Santiago Ascacibar, Williams Alarcón, Milton Delgado, Carlos Palacios, Miguel Merentiel, Sebastián Villa.
Main Match Prediction
Instituto +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at odds of -147. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this Primera División clash and we’re optimistic that they can land a win.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Our football betting picks come from having access to off-the-press team news along with going through the Primera División form guide. It’s also important to identify the key stats.
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 59.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
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Correct Score Prediction
One bet that has caught our eye is Instituto to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +500 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Santiago Ascacibar (Boca) can be backed at +125 to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal. Shots on Target bettors should definitely consider him at the available odds and we’ll have a play.
Alex Luna (Instituto) has racked up three goals in his past nine Primera División home matches. There are odds of +250 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average of 5.80 Boca corners in the past five games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to Boca covering the Team Corners line, with odds of -159 on offer.
Instituto
Boca
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Get in the game with a bet builder. Our picks are Instituto with the +0.25 Asian Handicap, No on the Both Teams to Score market and also Santiago Ascacibar (Boca) to have one or more shots on target.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Instituto vs Boca Juniors Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Full-Time Result betting odds are available for this Primera División encounter and you can get +150 that Boca Juniors win and +205 that Instituto triumph. Those wanting to back the draw can get +195.
There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Boca at -147 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Instituto at +102.
For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -161.
There’s lots to like about our recommended football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Primera División game. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.
Alex Luna is the First Goalscorer favourite at +550. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +250.
Instituto League Stats
Boca Juniors League Stats
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 59.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Instituto this season are Alex Luna (5), Giuliano Cerato (2), Diego Sosa (1)
- Top Assistors for Instituto this season are Diego Sosa (2), Jeremias Lazaro (2), Gaston Lodico (1)
Instituto vs Boca Juniors Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Instituto vs Boca team news before you bet. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups and the latest on injuries.
Instituto Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Boca Juniors Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Instituto Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Boca Juniors Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Instituto Lineups
Previous Boca Juniors Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Instituto Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Diego Flores
Boca Juniors Player Stats & Squad
Primera División Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | Estudiantes LP | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 4 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 6 | Vélez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 8 | Belgrano | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 9 | Talleres | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 10 | Gimnasia LP | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 12 | Lanús | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 13 | Huracán | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 14 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 15 | Unión | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 16 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 17 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 18 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 19 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 20 | Defensa Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 21 | Sarmiento | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 22 | Gimnasia M | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 23 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 24 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 25 | Central Córdoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 26 | Newell's OB | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 27 | Atl. Tucumán | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 30 | Estudiantes RC | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Vélez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 21 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:7 | 19 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 8 | Huracán | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 19 |
| 9 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Gimnasia LP | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Lanús | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 12 | Newell's OB | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
| 13 | Gimnasia M | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 14 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 17 |
| 15 | Sarmiento | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 16 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | 15 |
| 17 | Estudiantes LP | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 18 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 19 | Atl. Tucumán | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 20 | Unión | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 21 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 22 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 23 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 24 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4:11 | 11 |
| 25 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 26 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:17 | 10 |
| 27 | Central Córdoba | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 28 | Aldosivi | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:17 | 8 |
| 29 | Talleres | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 30 | Estudiantes RC | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | 6 |
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