Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Oct 2026
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Predictions
The odds of -154 catch the eye when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection as we expect both Inter and Fiorentina to find the net. The stats suggest that this outcome is likely to happen.
Check out the complete Inter vs Fiorentina betting breakdown below, highlighting the logic behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Preview
Inter Milan meet Fiorentina at Giuseppe Meazza, with kick-off set for 06:30 on Sunday 25 October.
Inter Milan have triumphed in their last four home games. In their last appearance, they won away, beating Bologna 3-1 at Stadio Renato Dell'Ara. The Lombardy outfit boasted 64% possession and had eight shots on target, with Marcus Thuram, Carlos Augusto and Ange-Yoan Bonny scoring one goal each.
On Wednesday night, Inter hosted Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League and claimed a 1-0 victory.
Fiorentina suffered a second consecutive Serie A defeat when losing 3-1 in their previous league game. This was at home to Como at Stadio Artemio Franchi. La Viola had 46% possession and managed seven shots on goal, while Marin Pongracic was on the scoresheet.
H2H: 1-1 Draw in Previous Head-to-Head
Inter have not lost to Fiorentina in the past three games, with the last clash seeing a 1-1 draw played out at Stadio Artemio Franchi. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in six Inter wins, two draws and two Fiorentina victories.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan |
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 21:9 | 19 |
| 18 | Fiorentina |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 8:17 | 4 |
Inter have 7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.8 goals from 6.6 shots on goal and 19.4 attempts. I Nerazzurri have averaged 62.5% possession, 609.4 passes and 5.5 corners per match, conceding 1.3 goals and 3.2 corners from 3.8 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.
Top scorer Lautaro Martinez has found the net 5 times, Marcus Thuram 4, with Hakan Calhanoglu and Francesco Pio Esposito both scoring 3. Leading assistors have been Marcus Thuram and Andy Diouf with 3, while goalkeeper Josep Martinez has 3 clean sheets.
Fiorentina have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, averaging 4.6 shots on goal, 14.5 attempts and 1.1 goals. Paolo Vanoli's men average 46.5% possession, 395.1 passes, 4.6 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 14.0 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal.
Franco Mastantuono has landed 3 goals, Mateo Pellegrino 2, with Marin Pongracic and two others scoring 1. Cher Ndour is top assists provider with 2, while David de Gea has recorded 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Inter Milan predicted lineup (3-5-2): Josep Martinez (GK), Yann Aurel Bisseck, Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni, Andy Diouf, Nicolo Barella, Piotr Zielinski, Petar Sucic, Federico Dimarco, Marcus Thuram, Francesco Pio Esposito.
Fiorentina predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): David de Gea (GK), Alex Jimenez, Radu Dragusin, Marin Pongracic, Viery, Cher Ndour, Nicolo Fagioli, Franco Mastantuono, Pedro Goncalves, Alieu Njie, Mateo Pellegrino.
Main Match Prediction
Let’s take a chance on the BTTS Yes option when it comes to this Serie A clash. We really like the -154 that is available and feel confident that the teams can both find the net.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The Serie A tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.
According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 60.6% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals are picks along the same lines and they can be combined on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. In the quest for a slightly bigger price, you can take this option.
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Correct Score Prediction
Inter are available at +700 to secure a 2-1 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.
Player Prop Picks
Piotr Zielinski (Inter) has finished with over 1.5 shots in back-to-back Serie A home games. We are in favour of betting the -120 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager looking like it might yield dividends.
Marcus Thuram (Inter) has scored in six consecutive Serie A games on home soil. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at -102 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Inter have had under 6.5 corners in three consecutive matches, with Fiorentina conceding under 6.5 corners in the previous ten games. The Inter Team Corners line could be on the high side based on the latest stats and -139 is available to back.
Inter
Fiorentina
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder selections include both teams to score, Fiorentina with an Asian Handicap of +1.5 accompanied by Inter to finish with under 6.5 corners.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers take few chances with their latest odds of -286 for Inter Milan winning which suggests that they have a 74% chance in this Serie A encounter. Fiorentina are the outsiders at +650 which suggests a low likelihood of winning.
Inter -1.5 against Fiorentina is available at odds of -111. You need them to win by two or more goals in order to land a full return with this Asian Handicap wager which is a viable alternative to 1x2.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -154.
The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Serie A matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Marcus Thuram is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +330 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at -102.
Stats: Last 10 Serie A matches only.
Inter have swerved defeat at Giuseppe Meazza in the previous ten matches. The Lombardy outfit have eight wins and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.90 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Fiorentina have managed five victories, four losses and one draw in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
The previous Giuseppe Meazza encounter involved a 3-0 Inter win against Fiorentina. The past 6 H2H games at Giuseppe Meazza have involved four Inter wins, one Fiorentina victory and one draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Inter Milan Home Stats |
8-2-0 | 3.90 | 2.90 | 1.00 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
Fiorentina Away Stats |
5-1-4 | 3.30 | 1.50 | 1.80 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Serie A: 22/03 2026 Fiorentina 1 Inter 1
- Serie A: 29/10 2025 Inter 3 Fiorentina 0
- Serie A: 10/02 2025 Inter 2 Fiorentina 1
- Serie A: 06/02 2025 Fiorentina 3 Inter 0
- Serie A: 28/01 2024 Fiorentina 0 Inter 1
- Serie A: 03/09 2023 Inter 4 Fiorentina 0
- Coppa Italia: 24/05 2023 Fiorentina 1 Inter 2
- Serie A: 01/04 2023 Inter 0 Fiorentina 1
- Serie A: 22/10 2022 Fiorentina 3 Inter 4
- Serie A: 19/03 2022 Inter 1 Fiorentina 1
Inter Milan League Stats
Fiorentina League Stats
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 62.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 61.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 46.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Inter Milan this season are Lautaro Martinez (4), Marcus Thuram (4), Hakan Calhanoglu (3)
- Top Assistors for Inter Milan this season are Andy Diouf (3), Carlos Augusto (2), Marcus Thuram (2)
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Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News
Inter Milan Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Fiorentina Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Inter Milan Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Fiorentina Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Inter Milan Lineups
Previous Fiorentina Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Inter Milan Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Cristian Chivu
Fiorentina Player Stats & Squad
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 17 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 7 | Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Torino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 4 |
| 19 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Roma | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Lazio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Sassuolo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Monza | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Napoli | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Como | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 13 | Parma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Genoa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 15 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 16 | Lecce | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 17 | Venezia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Bologna | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 19 | Udinese | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 1 |
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