Inter Milan vs Parma Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2026
Serie A Betting Preview: Inter Milan vs Parma
Italian Serie A leaders Inter Milan, who will clinch the Scudetto with a victory, take on mid-table Parma at Giuseppe Meazza, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 3 May.
We really like Inter at odds of -118 on the Asian Handicap where they’re giving up -1.75. Stakes are split between -1.5 and -2.0 against Parma and we’re expecting a big victory for I Nerazzurri, who can seal the title in front of their home crowd.
Inter Milan played out a 2-2 draw in their last game. This was away from home at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino against Torino. Cristian Chivu's side had most of the ball boasting 63% possession and five shots on target, with Marcus Thuram and Yann Aurel Bisseck scoring one goal apiece.
Parma beat bottom-of-the-table Pisa in their previous Serie A match, making it back-to-back league wins. It was a 1-0 home victory at Stadio Ennio Tardini. I Crociati had 51% of possession and five shots on goal, with Nesta Elphege scoring the winner in the final few minutes.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Inter have not lost to Parma in the past nine meetings. Their last clash took place at Stadio Ennio Tardini, with Inter winning 2-0 away. The 9 most recent H2H games have included six Inter victories along with three draws.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan |
36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 85 | 31 | 54 | 85:31 | 85 |
| 13 | Parma |
36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 27:45 | 42 |
Inter have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 15.7 attempts. The Lombardy club have averaged 58.0% possession and 5.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.2 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 3.1 corners.
Marcus Thuram is the top goalscorer with 5, Francesco Pio Esposito has 3, with Piotr Zielinski and two other players on 2. Federico Dimarco is the leading assists maker with 5, while goalkeepers Yann Sommer and Josep Martinez collectively have 3 clean sheets.
Parma have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 0.9 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Carlos Cuesta's team have averaged 46.6% possession, 397.8 passes, 4.9 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts.
Nesta Elphege and Mateo Pellegrino have 2 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Gabriel Strefezza on 1. Gabriel Strefezza has clocked up 2 assists, with Zion Suzuki and Edoardo Corvi collectively keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Inter Milan confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Yann Sommer (GK), Yann Aurel Bisseck, Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni, Denzel Dumfries, Nicolo Barella, Piotr Zielinski, Petar Sucic, Federico Dimarco, Marcus Thuram, Francesco Pio Esposito.
Parma confirmed lineup (3-5-1-1): Zion Suzuki (GK), Alessandro Circati, Mariano Troilo, Abdoulaye N'Diaye, Enrico Del Prato, Adrian Bernabe, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Mandela Keita, Emanuele Valeri, Gabriel Strefezza, Mateo Pellegrino.
Inter Milan vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips
Get ready for Inter Milan vs Parma with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.
Match Prediction
A bet on Inter -1.75 means that we’re feeling really confident about their chances in this Serie A clash. We’re expecting a big victory and the odds of -118 look attractive.
It’s always a case of checking out the latest Serie A team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.
Key Inter Milan vs Parma league stats:
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.
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Correct Score Prediction
There’s the option to wager on Inter to win by a 3-0 scoreline. Odds of +600 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.
Player Prop Picks
Mateo Pellegrino (Parma) has totalled over 1.5 shots in six of his past nine Serie A games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the Player Shots line, with betting odds of -149 now available.
Marcus Thuram (Inter) has scored in four straight Serie A matches. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +110 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
It’s been an average of 4.90 Parma corners in the past 10 games, while the previous three Inter home matches have involved them conceding over 2.5 corners. There’s everything to like about the Parma Team Corners line which looks low and we’d expect them to go over at -123.
Inter
Parma
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’re happy to go with a same-game multi that has Inter with an Asian Handicap of -1.75, No on the Both Teams to Score market and Mateo Pellegrino (Parma) to manage Over 1.5 shots.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Inter Milan vs Parma Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a proposed 84% probability of securing a victory, the bookmakers are taking few risks with their -526 odds about Inter Milan coming out on top in this Serie A encounter. If you’re searching for a different slant, outsiders Parma are available at +1200.
If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Inter are -164 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Parma are +700 and the draw is priced at +195.
The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. There are always two Both Teams to Score choices, with Yes available at -105 and No at -125.
The recommended betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Serie A game before making a decision.
Those interested in favourite Lautaro Martínez to find the net first can get +310, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is -109.
Inter haven’t lost any of their past four games at Giuseppe Meazza. I Nerazzurri have secured six wins, two draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.50 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
Parma have managed four victories, four draws and two losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.10.
Inter enjoyed a 3-1 winning scoreline when last meeting Parma at Giuseppe Meazza. The previous 3 H2H meetings at Giuseppe Meazza have featured two draws and one Inter victory.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Inter Milan Home Stats |
6-2-2 | 3.90 | 2.50 | 1.40 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
Parma Away Stats |
4-4-2 | 1.90 | 0.80 | 1.10 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Serie A: 07/01 2026 Parma 0 Inter 2
- Serie A: 05/04 2025 Parma 2 Inter 2
- Serie A: 06/12 2024 Inter 3 Parma 1
- Coppa Italia: 10/01 2023 Inter 2 Parma 1
- Serie A: 04/03 2021 Parma 1 Inter 2
- Serie A: 31/10 2020 Inter 2 Parma 2
- Serie A: 28/06 2020 Parma 1 Inter 2
- Serie A: 26/10 2019 Inter 2 Parma 2
- Serie A: 09/02 2019 Parma 0 Inter 1
Inter Milan League Stats
Parma League Stats
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 58.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 46.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Inter Milan this season are Lautaro Martinez (16), Marcus Thuram (12), Hakan Calhanoglu (9)
- Top Assistors for Inter Milan this season are Federico Dimarco (16), Nicolo Barella (8), Marcus Thuram (5)
Inter Milan vs Parma Lineups & Team News
The latest Inter vs Parma team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A along with the latest injury news.
Inter Milan Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Parma Confirmed Lineup 3-5-1-1
Inter Milan Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Parma Confirmed Lineup 3-5-1-1
Inter Milan Substitutes
- 6Stefan de Vrij
- 10Lautaro Martinez
- 11Luis Henrique
- 12Raffaele Di Gennaro
- 13Josep Martinez
- 14Ange-Yoan Bonny
- 15Francesco Acerbi
- 16Davide Frattesi
- 17Andy Diouf
- 20Hakan Calhanoglu
- 22Henrikh Mkhitaryan
- 30Carlos Augusto
- 36Matteo Darmian
- 43Matteo Cocchi
- 48Mattia Mosconi
Parma Substitutes
- 5Lautaro Valenti
- 8Nahuel Estevez
- 11Pontus Almqvist
- 17Jacob Ondrejka
- 21Gaetano Oristanio
- 22Oliver Soerensen
- 23Nesta Elphege
- 24Christian Ordonez
- 27Sascha Britschgi
- 29Franco Carboni
- 40Edoardo Corvi
- 66Filippo Rinaldi
Previous Inter Milan Lineups
Previous Parma Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Inter Milan Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Cristian Chivu
Parma Player Stats & Squad
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 85:31 | 85 |
| 2 | Napoli | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 54:36 | 70 |
| 3 | Juventus | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 59:30 | 68 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 50:32 | 67 |
| 5 | Roma | 36 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 55:31 | 67 |
| 6 | Como | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 60:28 | 65 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 50:34 | 58 |
| 8 | Bologna | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 45:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Lazio | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 39:37 | 51 |
| 10 | Udinese | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 45:46 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 44:46 | 49 |
| 12 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 41:59 | 44 |
| 13 | Parma | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 27:45 | 42 |
| 14 | Genoa | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 40:48 | 41 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:49 | 38 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 36:51 | 37 |
| 17 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 24:48 | 32 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 30:53 | 31 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24:58 | 20 |
| 20 | Pisa | 36 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 25:66 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 49:15 | 44 |
| 2 | Napoli | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 32:18 | 40 |
| 3 | Roma | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 31:10 | 39 |
| 4 | Juventus | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 35:14 | 37 |
| 5 | Como | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 34:15 | 33 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:14 | 33 |
| 7 | AC Milan | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 24:19 | 32 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 23:23 | 29 |
| 9 | Lazio | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:24 | 27 |
| 10 | Torino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Udinese | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:20 | 23 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20:22 | 22 |
| 13 | Genoa | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:24 | 22 |
| 14 | Bologna | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:20 | 21 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 16 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15:25 | 18 |
| 17 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:24 | 17 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17:25 | 16 |
| 19 | Pisa | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9:23 | 10 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12:26 | 8 |
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