Italy vs France Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Nov 2026
Italy vs France Predictions
Italy +0.75 at -111 look like the best bet against France. We feel confident with this Asian Handicap prediction which means a split stake between +0.5 and +1.0, with a return expected.
This Italy vs France betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Italy vs France Preview
Italy take on France at San Siro, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Thursday 12 November.
Italy were victorious last time out. They secured a 3-1 Nations League home win against Turkey at Stadio Renato Dell'Ara. Gli Azzurri had 44% possession and totalled six shots on target, with Gianluca Scamacca, Riccardo Calafiori and Francesco Pio Esposito scoring one goal apiece.
France claimed a 4-1 Nations League home win over Belgium at Stade de France in their previous game. Zinedine Zidane's side boasted 61% possession and had nine shots on goal, with Michael Olise netting two, while Desire Doue and Rayan Cherki were also on the scoresheet.
H2H: Teams Drew 1-1 in Previous Head-to-Head Clash
It was a 1-1 draw when France and Italy last clashed, with the former hosting this head-to-head at Stade de France. The past 3 H2H meetings have involved a victory for Italy, a win for France and a draw.
| Nations League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 |  Italy |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8:5 | 7 |
Italy have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 17.2 attempts. Roberto Mancini's team have averaged 51.9% possession, 519.4 passes and 6.0 corners per match, conceding 1.5 goals and 4.8 corners from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts.
Top goalscorer Francesco Pio Esposito has found the net 5 times, with Moise Kean and Mateo Retegui scoring 3 each. Federico Dimarco is the leading assists maker on 4, with goalies Gianluigi Donnarumma and Guglielmo Vicario collectively keeping 3 clean sheets.
France have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 7.3 shots on goal, 18.0 attempts and 2.1 goals. Les Bleus average 59.3% possession, 587.0 passes, 6.5 corners taken and 3.0 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 10.1 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.
The leading goalscorers have been Kylian Mbappe on 7, Ousmane Dembele with 5 and Michael Olise 4. Michael Olise has been chief assist maker on 6, with Mike Maignan recording 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
Italy should prove to be competitive in this Nations League game. With this in mind, we’ll back the home team at odds of -111 on the Asian Handicap +0.75 feeling confident that they’ll land a return.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent Nations League stats before coming up with a verdict.
Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 52.6% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
If you want to pimp the odds about Italy covering the Asian Handicap line, you might consider going down the Bet Builder route and combine this selection with other picks.
Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
France
Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +650. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Michael Olise (France) has finished with over 1.5 shots on goal in his past two matches. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Shots on Target, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of +145.
Francesco Pio Esposito (Italy) can be wagered at +270 to score. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 5.5 corners line has been covered by France in their past three games, with the corner count against Italy going over 5.5 in their last five matches. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the France Team Corners line to get covered at -128.
Italy
France
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our same-game multi, try Italy on the Asian Handicap at +0.75, both teams to score and also Michael Olise (France) to manage over 1.5 shots on target.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Italy vs France Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Favourites France are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Nations League clash. The -143 about them triumphing means a 59% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, Italy are available at +360.
There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Italy are +335 here and the draw is +145, with France on offer at +120.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -179.
The leading football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Nations League match, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.
Kylian Mbappé is priced at +275 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of -133 to find the net anytime.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Italy Stats
France Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Italy vs France Lineups & Team News
Previous Italy Lineups
Previous France Lineups
Italy Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Roberto Mancini
France Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
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