Japan vs Sweden Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Jun 2026
Japan vs Sweden Predictions
Japan and Sweden could hit the net a few times and we’re happy to take the -147 when it comes to Over 2.5. This can be backed with confidence on the Total Goals market and we’re hopeful of a return.
Explore our full Japan vs Sweden betting preview, which features the complete write-up for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Japan vs Sweden Preview
Japan face Sweden in this FIFA World Cup Group F encounter at Dallas Stadium (AT&T Stadium), with kick-off set for 19:00 on Thursday 25 June.
Japan can still win the group if they beat Sweden and finish ahead of the Netherlands on goal difference, while a draw would guarantee them second place. Sweden need to win to overtake Japan and finish second, while a heavy defeat could leave them at risk of missing out of the play-offs altogether.
Dallas Stadium is a climate-controlled indoor venue where temperatures will be maintained at a comfortable 21°C (70°F) throughout the match, despite intense Texas summer heat of around 35°C (95°F) outside.
Japan opened their World Cup campaign with a 2-2 draw against the Netherlands before recording a convincing 4-0 victory over Tunisia at Monterrey Stadium. The Samurai Blue enjoyed 62% possession and registered five shots on target against the Eagles of Carthage, with Ayase Ueda scoring twice, while Daichi Kamada and Junya Ito also found the net.
Sweden began the tournament with a 5-1 win over Tunisia before suffering a 5-1 defeat to the Netherlands at Houston Stadium. Graham Potter's side recorded 48% possession and eight shots on target, with Anthony Elanga scoring their only goal.
Draws Have Dominated This Fixture
The teams have met four times before, with Sweden winning once and the other three meetings ending in draws. The most recent encounter was a friendly match in 2002 that finished 1-1.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Japan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 |  Sweden |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7:7 | 4 |
Confirmed Lineups
Japan confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Zion Suzuki (GK), Ayumu Seko, Ko Itakura, Hiroki Ito, Yukinari Sugawara, Ao Tanaka, Daichi Kamada, Keito Nakamura, Ritsu Doan, Daizen Maeda, Ayase Ueda.
Sweden confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Gustaf Lagerbielke, Isak Hien, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Alexander Bernhardsson, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Yasin Ayari, Elliot Stroud, Anthony Elanga, Viktor Gyoekeres, Alexander Isak.
Main Match Prediction
The two sides could be serving up goals and that means betting Over 2.5 when it comes to this World Cup game. We can get odds of -147 and we’re confident of landing a return with this wager.
We have seen four goals in each of Japan's two World Cup matches. The last five Sweden games have all featured at least four goals and this Sweden side differs from many previous versions in that they boast outstanding attacking talent in Alexander Isak, Viktor Gyokeres and Anthony Elanga, while looking less convincing defensively.
Although they scored only once against the Netherlands, the Blue and Yellow created several good chances and won the shots-on-target battle 8-7, suggesting they can make a strong contribution to another high-scoring game.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Our World Cup experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.
The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 59.5% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
An Over 2.5 Goals selection can be included in a Bet Builder with a number of other picks. There’s the chance to get a larger price although there’s clearly more risk involved.
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Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Sweden
One bet that has caught our eye is Japan to claim a 2-1 correct score win. This selection is available at +700 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Junya Ito (Japan) is available at +105 to record at least one shot on goal. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Ayase Ueda (Japan) can be backed to score at +140. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder picks are more than two goals, Japan on the Full-Time Result accompanied by Junya Ito (Japan) to end up with one or more shots on target.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Japan vs Sweden Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this World Cup encounter, the bookmakers have Japan as the -105 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 51% chance of triumphing. Sweden are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +300.
Japan can be backed at -109 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 if you think they’ll win. Alternatively, opponents Sweden +0.5 are -114 and that means you get a return if they triumph or the draw happens.
The Total Goals market looks like a close call, with Under and Over 2.5 Goals trading at a similar price. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -141 for the BTTS Yes option.
The top betting sites always do a great job when it comes to World Cup games. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.
There is +150 available that Ayase Ueda finds the net at any stage. He is available at +370 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Japan Stats
Sweden Stats
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 2 matches
- An average of 0 corners awarded and 0 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 2 matches
- An average of 0 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 1 of the last 2 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.00% possession in the last 2 matches
- An average of 0% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 2 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 home matches
Japan vs Sweden Lineups & Team News
The latest Japan vs Sweden team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Japan Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Sweden Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Japan Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Sweden Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Japan Substitutes
- 3Shogo Taniguchi
- 5Yuto Nagatomo
- 6Shuto Machino
- 9Keisuke Goto
- 12Keisuke Osako
- 14Junya Ito
- 16Tsuyoshi Watanabe
- 17Yuito Suzuki
- 19Koki Ogawa
- 22Takehiro Tomiyasu
- 23Tomoki Hayakawa
- 24Kaishu Sano
- 25Junnosuke Suzuki
- 26Kento Shiogai
Sweden Substitutes
- 6Herman Johansson
- 7Lucas Bergvall
- 8Daniel Svensson
- 10Benjamin Nygren
- 12Viktor Johansson
- 13Ken Sema
- 14Hjalmar Ekdal
- 15Carl Starfelt
- 16Jesper Karlstroem
- 19Mattias Svanberg
- 20Eric Smith
- 22Besfort Zeneli
- 23Kristoffer Nordfeldt
- 25Gustaf Nilsson
- 26Taha Abdi Ali
Previous Japan Lineups
Previous Sweden Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Japan Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Hajime Moriyasu
Sweden Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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