Le Mans vs Toulouse Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Oct 2026
Le Mans vs Toulouse Predictions
This contest between Le Mans and Toulouse should result in Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We think that there’s big value betting on this pick at -143, with the prospect of multiple goals being scored.
Read on for our full Le Mans vs Toulouse betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Le Mans vs Toulouse Preview
Le Mans welcome Toulouse to Stade Marie-Marvingt, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Friday 16 October.
Le Mans were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 3-1 loss against Paris Saint-Germain at Parc des Princes. They ended up with just 27% possession and had three shots on target, with Louis Mafouta scoring the goal.
Toulouse drew on their travels in their previous game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Monaco at Stade Louis II. Le TéFéCé managed four shots on goal and had 41% possession, while Casper Tengstedt and Sion Oppong were both on target.
| Ligue 1 | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |  Le Mans |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9:11 | 6 |
1 win, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. Le Mans have had 43.0% possession, 383.0 passes and 2.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 2.0 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 16.0 attempts, while being awarded 6.5 corners.
Top goalscorer Louis Mafouta has found the net 4 times, Adil Bourabaa 3, with Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo and two other players on 1. Lucas Calodat and Adil Bourabaa are the top assists makers with 2.
Toulouse have 3 victories, 2 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 12.9 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. The Occitania team average 48.1% possession, 4.3 corners in their favour and 4.9 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.
Casper Tengstedt is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, while Thomas Joergensen, Jacen Russell-Rowe, Dayann Methalie and Emersonn have 2. Look no further than Cristian Casseres Jr. for the top assist maker (6) in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Le Mans predicted lineup (4-4-2): Nicolas Kocik (GK), Noa Boisse, Samuel Yohou, Harold Voyer, Alexandre Lauray, Rayan Bamba, Lucas Bretelle, Jean Vercruysse, Lucas Calodat, Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo, Louis Mafouta.
Toulouse predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Guillaume Restes (GK), Rafik Messali, Seny Koumbassa, Mark McKenzie, Christ Tape, Cristian Casseres Jr., Alexis Vossah, Thomas Joergensen, Casper Tengstedt, Ilyas Azizi, Jacen Russell-Rowe.
Main Match Prediction
The odds for Over 2.5 Goals is -143 and we think that this price looks really appealing. The two teams should combine to cover the line in this Ligue 1 encounter and it’s a value wager.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Our Ligue 1 experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 58.8% chance of landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
There are lots of betting alternatives and that includes the BTTS Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market. It’s a nice simple bet where you can land a return if both teams score at least one goal before the full-time whistle.
Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Toulouse
A potentially entertaining bet is going for Le Mans to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of +750, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.
Player Prop Picks
Louis Mafouta (Le Mans) has had over 1.5 shots on goal in his past two Ligue 1 games. Our opinion is that there’s value for him to cover the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of +150 currently on offer.
Lucas Bretelle (Le Mans) can be backed to be among the goals at +510. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Toulouse in nine straight away games, while the past two Le Mans matches have seen under 4.5 corners conceded. The number of Toulouse corners could be lower than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -110.
Le Mans
Toulouse
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder and the legs include more than two goals, Le Mans with an Asian Handicap of +0.25 as well as Toulouse to record under 4.5 corners.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Le Mans vs Toulouse Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Toulouse at +125 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 44% chance of winning this Ligue 1 clash based on the betting odds. Le Mans are the outsiders at +200 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.
There are various ways to back Toulouse and one option is the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s -104 currently available that they beat Le Mans and there’s half a stake refund if the scoreline ends level.
If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -182.
The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Ligue 1 games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.
Favourite Louis Mafouta is now available at +410 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Le Mans League Stats
Toulouse League Stats
- 1 win, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 6 matches
- 1 win and 2 draws in the previous 3 home matches
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 6 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded in the previous 3 home matches
- An average of 3.67 goals per game in the previous 6 matches
- An average of 3.67 goals per game in the previous 3 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 6 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 3 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 6 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 3 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.83 corners awarded and 6.50 corners conceded in the last 6 matches
- An average of 1.67 corners awarded and 7.33 corners against in the last 3 home matches
- An average of 9.33 corners awarded in the last 6 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 3 home matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 5 of the last 6 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 3 of the last 3 home matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 43.00% possession in the last 6 matches
- An average of 51.00% possession in the last 3 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 6 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 3 home matches
- An average of 48.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Le Mans this season are Louis Mafouta (4), Adil Bourabaa (3), Dame Gueye (1)
- Top Assistors for Le Mans this season are Adil Bourabaa (2), Lucas Calodat (2), Jean Vercruysse (1)
Le Mans vs Toulouse Lineups & Team News
Before making your bets, take a look at the Le Mans vs Toulouse team news. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for Ligue 1, along with current injury news.
Le Mans Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Toulouse Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Le Mans Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Toulouse Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Le Mans Lineups
Previous Toulouse Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Le Mans Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Patrick Videira
Toulouse Player Stats & Squad
Ligue 1 Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 6 | PSG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 7 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 12 | Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | 6 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Nice | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Monaco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Auxerre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 10 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Lorient | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Marseille | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 3 |
| 14 | PSG | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 15 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 18 | Troyes | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | 1 |
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