Lech Poznan vs Thun Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Aug 2026

Lech Poznan vs Thun Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -172

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The numbers suggest that we’ll see the net bulge a few times when Lech Poznan and Thun meet. If you agree with our prediction, you can get odds of -172 when it comes to backing Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market.

Scroll down to view our Lech Poznan vs Thun betting preview, where we break down our main match prediction in full, followed by our correct score pick, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Lech Poznan vs Thun Preview

Polish Ekstraklasa outfit Lech Poznan host Swiss Super League club Thun in the first leg of their Europa League play-off tie at Stadion Poznan, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Thursday 20 August.

Lech Poznan, who have started the new Ekstraklasa season with two wins and a draw, were 5-0 winners away to Klaksvik at Torsvoellur Stadium in their last game, which was a Europa League qualifier. The result secured a comfortable 6-0 aggregate victory. The Railwaymen enjoyed 55% possession and registered 11 shots on target, with Allahyar Sayyadmanesh among five different players to find the net.

FC Thun, who have opened the new Super League season with one win and two defeats, suffered a 3-2 Europa League qualifying loss away to Vikingur Reykjavik at Vikingsvoellur last time out. Despite the defeat, they progressed with a 5-3 aggregate victory. Gian-Luca Privitelli's side had 43% possession and managed five shots on target, with Fabio Fehr and Brighton Labeau on the scoresheet.

Ekstraklasa		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Lech	8	6	1	1	17	7	10	17:7	19

Swiss Super League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Thun	9	3	1	5	15	23	-8	15:23	10

7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.2 goals from 6.4 shots on goal and 19.5 attempts. Lech have had 58.4% possession and 7.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.5 goals from 1.9 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts, while being awarded 4.0 corners.

Mikael Ishak is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Allahyar Sayyadmanesh, Patrik Waalemark and Luis Palma each have 3. Mikael Ishak is the top assists maker on 4, with goalie Mateusz Lis managing 2 clean sheets.

FCT have won 2, lost 7 and drawn 1, with an average of 14.6 attempts, 3.9 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. The Oberlanders average 44.6% possession, 4.7 corners in their favour and 4.7 corners against, while 2.9 goals have been conceded from 7.1 shots on goal and 16.6 attempts.

Brighton Labeau has landed 3 goals, Elmin Rastoder 2, with Fabio Fehr and two others scoring 1. Nils Reichmuth, Marc Gutbub and Nico Maier have clocked up 2 assists, with Niklas Steffen keeping one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Lech Poznan confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mateusz Lis (GK), Joel Pereira, Mateusz Skrzypczak, Wojciech Monka, Michal Gurgul, Radoslaw Murawski, Antoni Kozubal, Patrik Waalemark, Pablo Rodriguez, Luis Palma, Allahyar Sayyadmanesh.

Thun confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Niklas Steffen (GK), Fabio Fehr, Jan Bamert, Marco Buerki, Michael Heule, Nils Reichmuth, Justin Roth, Nassim Zoukit, Valmir Matoshi, Marc Gutbub, Brighton Labeau.

Main Match Prediction

We can’t pass up the chance to back Over 2.5 Goals at an appealing price of -172 based on the available stats. It’s anticipated that at least three goals will be notched in this Europa League qualifying encounter.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (domestic league and Europa League qualifying matches):

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Lech games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lech games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Lech games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 5 Thun games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Thun games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Thun games.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Europa League qualifying team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 63.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you’re anticipating a few goals to be scored, there’s the option to back Over 3.5 Goals at larger odds. There’s the opportunity to celebrate when both teams score, with four or more needed in total.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Over 2.5 Goals @ -172 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 18, 19:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lech 3 - 1 Thun

Lech can be backed at +650 to triumph by a 3-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -105

It has been four straight Thun games involving the 9.5 Total Corners line not being covered, with two  consecutive Lech home matches seeing the same thing happen. On this evidence, we can take a price of -105 that this Total Corners wager falls short of the line.

Europa League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lech

Total

11.10 7.10 4.00

Home

11.70 7.00 4.70

Away

8.50 4.90 3.60

Thun

Total

9.40 4.70 4.70

Home

10.60 6.10 4.50

Away

10.10 5.60 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-137

Lech Corners

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-130

Thun Corners

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-127

Most Corners

1

-345

X

+650

2

+270

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Lech Poznan vs Thun Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Lech Poznan are available at -213 to come away with a triumph in this Europa League qualifying clash, meaning a 68% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. If you’re interested in wagering FC Thun, you can get +450 for the underdog.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -156.

The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Europa League qualifying games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.

Full-Time Result

1

-213

X

+340

2

+450

Half-Time Result

1

-112

X

+150

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-909

12

-625

X2

+140

Draw No Bet

1

-556

2

+310

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-104

2 Hcp +1.25

-139

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+133

Over 2.5

-200

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-156

No

+108

Latest Europa League qualifying and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Lech Poznan Stats

Thun Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 2.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 4.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 58.40% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 62.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 44.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 46.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Lech Poznan vs Thun Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Lech vs Thun before making your bets. We’ll share the confirmed lineups for the Europa League qualifier plus the newest injury information.

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