Leeds vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 May 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Brighton

Leeds host seventh-placed Brighton at Elland Road, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Sunday 17 May.

Leeds +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Brighton the desired outcome at betting odds of -106.

Leeds United played Tottenham on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The West Yorkshire outfit had 43% possession and four shots on target, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin was the goalscorer.

Brighton are chasing one of the eight European spots and still have a mathematical chance of qualifying for the Champions League with two games remaining.

Last time out, Brighton secured a 3-0 home win over relegated Wolverhampton Wanderers at American Express Stadium. The Seagulls had an impressive 73% of possession and managed seven shots on goal, while Jack Hinshelwood, Lewis Dunk and Yankuba Minteh were all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Brighton are unbeaten in the past seven games against Leeds. In their last encounter, hosts Brighton came out with a 3-0 win at American Express Stadium. The past 7 H2H matches have included four Brighton wins along with three draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Brighton	38	14	11	13	52	46	6	52:46	53
14	Leeds	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7	49:56	47

View Full Table

3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. Leeds have had 46.1% possession, 378.8 passes and 4.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts, while being awarded 6.5 corners.

Top scorer Noah Okafor has found the net 4 times, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Anton Stach getting 3 and 2 respectively. Brenden Aaronson has the most assists with 2, while goalie Karl Darlow has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Brighton have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 5.7 shots on goal, 13.0 attempts and 1.8 goals. The Sussex club average 56.2% possession, 462.8 passes, 4.9 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 10.6 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.

Danny Welbeck is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Jack Hinshelwood on 3, with Yankuba Minteh and two others bagging 2. Maxim De Cuyper and Pascal Gross are the top assist makers with 3 apiece, while Bart Verbruggen has notched 5 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Leeds confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Karl Darlow (GK), Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, Sebastiaan Bornauw, Daniel James, Ethan Ampadu, Ao Tanaka, James Justin, Anton Stach, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

Brighton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Joel Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Maxim De Cuyper, Carlos Baleba, Pascal Gross, Ferdi Kadioglu, Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh, Danny Welbeck.

Leeds vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full Leeds vs Brighton betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

Back Leeds with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -106 for this Premier League encounter. We’re sweet on their chances of outperforming the match winner odds and this bet is a value proposition.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Premier League stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Leeds vs Brighton league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Leeds in 7 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Leeds in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Leeds in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Brighton in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Brighton in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Brighton in 2 consecutive games on the road.

The top betting apps make it a 51.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s the option to move the line for your pick and this enables bettors to get larger prices. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.

Maximize your betting potential with the latest free bets, sign-up and welcome offers — all listed in our expert bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Leeds Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 15, 16:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 1 - 0 Brighton

A 1-0 win in favor of the Whites can be backed at odds of +1050. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anton Stach Over 1.5 Shots -132

Anton Stach (Leeds) has recorded over 1.5 shots in three consecutive Premier League home games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -132 are now available.

Latest Anton Stach Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+1000

Shots

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

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Dominic Calvert-Lewin to Score +170

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has scored in his past two Premier League matches We’ll use this stat and take odds of +170 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Dominic Calvert-Lewin Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+480

Shots

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -147

There has been seven straight Brighton away matches where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 12.00 corners in the previous five Leeds games. The two teams should be able to cover the line when it comes to Total Corners and odds of -147 are on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

10.70 4.20 6.50

Home

10.80 6.10 4.70

Away

11.20 3.30 7.90

Brighton

Total

10.00 4.90 5.10

Home

9.20 5.10 4.10

Away

10.50 4.40 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

-100

Leeds Corners

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-116

Brighton Corners

Over 4.5

-149

Under 4.5

+105

Most Corners

1

+115

X

+650

2

-111

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Leeds vs Brighton Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Brighton betting odds are +106 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Premier League encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 49% chance of winning. If you’re interested in wagering Leeds United, you can get +240 for the underdog.

If you fancy Brighton but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -204. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Leeds at +140 on the Draw No Bet market.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -167.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Premier League games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

+240

X

+245

2

+106

Half-Time Result

1

+275

X

+128

2

+160

Double Chance

1X

-137

12

-345

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+140

2

-204

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

+102

2 Hcp -0.25

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+106

Over 2.5

-135

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+123

There’s the chance to back Danny Welbeck at +400 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

First

+145

Anytime

+400

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+170

Anytime

+480

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+190

Anytime

+540

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Daniel James (Leeds)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

James Justin (Leeds)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

James Milner (Brighton)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+165

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

James Justin (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Premier League matches only
Leeds have swerved defeat at Elland Road in the previous four matches. The Whites have clocked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Brighton have finished with four losses, three victories and three draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

When previously meeting at Elland Road, Leeds and Brighton played out a 2-2 draw. There has been one Brighton win and two draws in the past 3 H2H meetings at Elland Road.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Leeds Home Stats		5-2-3	2.30	1.40	0.90	5	5	3	7
Brighton Away Stats		3-3-4	2.60	1.30	1.30	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Leeds vs Brighton Lineups & Team News

The latest Leeds vs Brighton team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premier League, along with current injury news.

Leeds United Team Page Brighton & Hove Albion Team Page

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