Leeds vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 May 2026
Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Brighton
Leeds host Brighton at Elland Road, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Sunday 17 May.
Leeds +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Brighton the desired outcome at betting odds of -106.
Leeds United played Tottenham on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The West Yorkshire outfit had 43% possession and four shots on target, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin was the goalscorer.
Brighton secured a 3-0 home win over Wolverhampton Wanderers at American Express Stadium in their previous game. The Seagulls had an impressive 73% of possession and managed seven shots on goal, while Jack Hinshelwood, Lewis Dunk and Yankuba Minteh were all on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Brighton are unbeaten in the past seven games against Leeds. In their last encounter, hosts Brighton came out with a 3-0 win at American Express Stadium. The past 7 H2H matches have included four Brighton wins along with three draws.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brighton |
36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 52:42 | 53 |
| 14 | Leeds |
36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 48:53 | 44 |
3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. Leeds have had 46.1% possession, 378.8 passes and 4.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts, while being awarded 6.5 corners.
Top scorer Noah Okafor has found the net 4 times, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Anton Stach getting 3 and 2 respectively. Brenden Aaronson has the most assists with 2, while goalie Karl Darlow has recorded 3 clean sheets.
Brighton have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 5.7 shots on goal, 13.0 attempts and 1.8 goals. The Sussex club average 56.2% possession, 462.8 passes, 4.9 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 10.6 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.
Danny Welbeck is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Jack Hinshelwood on 3, with Yankuba Minteh and two others bagging 2. Maxim De Cuyper and Pascal Gross are the top assist makers with 3 apiece, while Bart Verbruggen has notched 5 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Leeds predicted lineup (4-4-2): Karl Darlow (GK), Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, Sebastiaan Bornauw, Daniel James, Sean Longstaff, Ao Tanaka, James Justin, Anton Stach, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
Brighton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Joel Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Maxim De Cuyper, Carlos Baleba, Pascal Gross, Ferdi Kadioglu, Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh, Danny Welbeck.
Leeds vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips
Dive into our full Leeds vs Brighton betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.
Match Prediction
Back Leeds with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -106 for this Premier League encounter. We’re sweet on their chances of outperforming the match winner odds and this bet is a value proposition.
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Premier League stats and present the key numbers to our readers.
Key Leeds vs Brighton league stats:
The top betting apps make it a 51.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
There’s the option to move the line for your pick and this enables bettors to get larger prices. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.
Maximize your betting potential with the latest free bets, sign-up and welcome offers — all listed in our expert bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
A 1-0 win in favor of Leeds can be backed at odds of +1000. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Anton Stach (Leeds) has recorded over 1.5 shots in three consecutive Premier League home games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -132 are now available.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has scored in his past two Premier League matches We’ll use this stat and take odds of +170 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There has been seven straight Brighton away matches where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 12.00 corners in the previous five Leeds games. The two teams should be able to cover the line when it comes to Total Corners and odds of -147 are on offer.
Leeds
Brighton
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to try a bet builder, have a play on Leeds with the +0.25 Asian Handicap, no more than two goals to be registered and Anton Stach (Leeds) to cover the 1.5 Player Shots line.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Leeds vs Brighton Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Brighton betting odds are +112 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Premier League encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 47% chance of winning. If you’re interested in wagering Leeds United, you can get +215 for the underdog.
If you fancy Brighton but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -182. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Leeds at +125 on the Draw No Bet market.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -175.
It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Premier League games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.
There’s the chance to back Danny Welbeck at +410 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.
Leeds have swerved defeat at Elland Road in the previous four matches. The West Yorkshire outfit have clocked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
Brighton have finished with four losses, three victories and three draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
When previously meeting at Elland Road, Leeds and Brighton played out a 2-2 draw. There has been one Brighton win and two draws in the past 3 H2H meetings at Elland Road.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Leeds Home Stats |
5-2-3 | 2.30 | 1.40 | 0.90 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | |
Brighton Away Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.60 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 01/11 2025 Brighton 3 Leeds 0
- Premier League: 11/03 2023 Leeds 2 Brighton 2
- Premier League: 27/08 2022 Brighton 1 Leeds 0
- Premier League: 15/05 2022 Leeds 1 Brighton 1
- Premier League: 27/11 2021 Brighton 0 Leeds 0
- Premier League: 01/05 2021 Brighton 2 Leeds 0
- Premier League: 16/01 2021 Leeds 0 Brighton 1
Leeds League Stats
Brighton League Stats
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 6.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 6.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Leeds this season are Dominic Calvert-Lewin (13), Noah Okafor (8), Lukas Nmecha (6)
- Top Assistors for Leeds this season are Brenden Aaronson (5), Anton Stach (3), Ilia Gruev (3)
Leeds vs Brighton Lineups & Team News
The latest Leeds vs Brighton team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premier League, along with current injury news.
Leeds Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Brighton Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Leeds Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Brighton Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Leeds Lineups
Previous Brighton Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Leeds Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Daniel Farke
Brighton Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 68:26 | 79 |
| 2 | Man City | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 75:32 | 77 |
| 3 | Man United | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 63:48 | 65 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 54:48 | 62 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 62:52 | 59 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 56:52 | 55 |
| 7 | Brighton | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 52:42 | 53 |
| 8 | Brentford | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 52:49 | 51 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 55:49 | 49 |
| 10 | Everton | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 46:46 | 49 |
| 11 | Fulham | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 44:50 | 48 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 37:46 | 48 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 46 |
| 14 | Leeds | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 48:53 | 44 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 38:47 | 44 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 45:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 46:55 | 38 |
| 18 | West Ham | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 42:62 | 36 |
| 19 | Burnley | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37:73 | 21 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 25:66 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 44:12 | 45 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 40:11 | 44 |
| 3 | Man United | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36:22 | 39 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32:22 | 38 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 33:19 | 35 |
| 6 | Brighton | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 30:17 | 33 |
| 7 | Fulham | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 28:20 | 32 |
| 8 | Brentford | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 31:19 | 31 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 28:19 | 30 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 23:19 | 30 |
| 11 | Leeds | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28:21 | 29 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 33:29 | 29 |
| 13 | Everton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25:24 | 23 |
| 14 | Chelsea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 23 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 18:21 | 21 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 17 | West Ham | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:30 | 19 |
| 18 | Wolverhampton | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18:33 | 13 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21:31 | 12 |
| 20 | Burnley | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17:28 | 12 |
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