Leeds vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 May 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Burnley

Leeds meet Burnley at Elland Road, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Friday 1 May.

Leeds -1.25 could be worth a bet at -110 on the Asian Handicap. We’re confident that the favourites can win by two goals or more against Burnley, although we’ll get half our stake returned if they win by one.

Leeds United faced Bournemouth away when last in Premier League action. It was a 2-2 draw at Vitality Stadium. Daniel Farke's team recorded 40% possession and had three shots on target, with James Hill (own goal) and Sean Longstaff scoring one goal each.

Five days ago, Leeds lost 1-0 against Chelsea in the FA Cup at Wembley.

Burnley have lost in their previous four outings. In a recent home game at Turf Moor, they were beaten 1-0 by Manchester City. The Clarets finished with just 35% possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Burnley are unbeaten when it comes to the past three meetings against Leeds. In the last encounter, home team Burnley claimed a 2-0 win at Turf Moor. The past 7 H2H matches have included three Leeds victories, two draws and two Burnley wins.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Leeds	34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	44:51	40
19	Burnley	34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	34:68	20

View Full Table

Leeds have 3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. The Whites have averaged 46.0% possession, 380.7 passes and 4.1 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.9 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 13.3 attempts and 6.5 corners.

Noah Okafor is the top goalscorer with 5, Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 2, with Sean Longstaff and two other players on 1. Brenden Aaronson and Ilia Gruev are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Karl Darlow managing 3 clean sheets.

Burnley have 1 victory, 7 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 10.3 attempts, 3.5 shots on goal and 0.9 goals. The Lancashire side average 42.3% possession, 378.1 passes, 4.5 corners awarded and 6.4 corners against them, while 2.1 goals have been conceded from 5.0 shots on goal and 16.3 attempts.

Zian Flemming has top scored with 4, followed by Jaidon Anthony and Hannibal Mejbri on 2 and 1. Hannibal Mejbri has been the top assist maker on 2, with Martin Dubravka notching one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Leeds predicted lineup (4-4-2): Karl Darlow (GK), Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk, Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Ao Tanaka, James Justin, Brenden Aaronson, Noah Okafor, Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

Burnley predicted lineup (3-4-3): Martin Dubravka (GK), Bashir Humphreys, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Kyle Walker, James Ward-Prowse, Josh Laurent, Quilindschy Hartman, Loum Tchaouna, Zian Flemming, Jaidon Anthony.

Leeds vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips

Gear up for Leeds vs Burnley with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Backing Leeds -1.25 at odds of -110 means we’ll benefit if they win by two or more goals in this Premier League game. We think that the favourites can have the upper hand throughout the contest.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Premier League team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Leeds vs Burnley league stats:

• The +1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Burnley in 3 consecutive games on the road.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you’re looking for a good alternative to backing Leeds on the Asian Handicap, then consider the Winning Margin market. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.

Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.

Our Match Prediction

Leeds Asian Hcp -1.25 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 29, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 2 - 0 Burnley

Our prediction for the correct score is Leeds to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +550. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Noah Okafor to Score +155

Noah Okafor (Leeds) has racked up five goals in his past six Premier League games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +155 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Noah Okafor Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+155

First

+440

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Leeds Under 6.5 Corners -119

Leeds have failed to cover the 6.5 corners line in five straight games, with Burnley conceding under 6.5 corners in the past three away matches. The number of Leeds corners could be lower than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -119.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

10.60 4.10 6.50

Home

11.20 6.10 5.10

Away

9.90 3.40 6.50

Burnley

Total

10.90 4.50 6.40

Home

10.10 4.80 5.30

Away

10.00 3.90 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-147

Leeds Corners

Over 6.5

-118

Under 6.5

-120

Burnley Corners

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-156

Most Corners

1

-400

X

+800

2

+350

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Leeds vs Burnley Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Favourites Leeds United are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Premier League clash. The -244 about them triumphing means a 71% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. Burnley are the underdogs at +700 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Leeds at -112, go for Burnley at +525 or take the draw at +155.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. On the Both Teams to Score market, there isn’t much between the BTTS Yes and No options in terms of price.

The leading football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Premier League match, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-244

X

+370

2

+700

Half-Time Result

1

-112

X

+155

2

+525

Double Chance

1X

-1250

12

-556

X2

+180

Draw No Bet

1

-833

2

+410

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-110

2 Hcp +1.25

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-152

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-118

No

-115

Favourite Dominic Calvert-Lewin is now available at +310 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+105

Anytime

+310

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+110

Anytime

+320

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+155

Anytime

+440

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+180

Anytime

+500

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Daniel James (Leeds)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Armando Broja (Burnley)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

James Justin (Leeds)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Ilia Gruev (Leeds)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Ethan Ampadu (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Leeds have not tasted defeat at Elland Road in three straight matches. Daniel Farke's team have racked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Burnley have been defeated in three straight away matches. The Clarets have clocked up six losses, three draws and one win in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 2.10.

The most recent Elland Road meeting saw Burnley claim a 1-0 win over Leeds. Leeds have won two of the past 3 H2H games at Elland Road, with Burnley picking up one win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Leeds Home Stats		5-2-3	2.40	1.50	0.90	5	5	3	7
Burnley Away Stats		1-3-6	3.00	0.90	2.10	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Leeds vs Burnley Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Leeds vs Burnley team news before you bet. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premier League along with up-to-date injury news.

Leeds United Team Page Burnley Team Page

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