Leeds vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 May 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Burnley

Leeds, six points clear of the relegation zone with four games remaining, meet relegated Burnley at Elland Road, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Friday 1 May.

Leeds -1.25 could be worth a bet at -110 on the Asian Handicap. We’re confident that a highly motivated Leeds side can win by two goals or more against a Burnley team with only pride left to play for, although we’ll get half our stake returned if they win by one.

Leeds United, 15th in the Premier League and in a strong position to maintain their top-flight status, played out a 2-2 draw with Bournemouth at the Vitality Stadium last time out. Daniel Farke's team recorded 40% possession and had three shots on target, with Sean Longstaff and a James Hill own goal on the scoresheet.

Five days ago, Leeds lost 1-0 against Chelsea in the FA Cup semi-final at Wembley.

Burnley have lost in their previous four league outings. In a recent home game at Turf Moor, they were beaten 1-0 by Manchester City. The Clarets finished with just 35% possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Burnley are unbeaten when it comes to the past three meetings against Leeds. In the last encounter, home team Burnley claimed a 2-0 win at Turf Moor. The past 7 H2H matches have included three Leeds victories, two draws and two Burnley wins.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Leeds	36	10	14	12	48	53	-5	48:53	44
19	Burnley	36	4	9	23	37	73	-36	37:73	21

View Full Table

Leeds have 3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. The Whites have averaged 46.0% possession, 380.7 passes and 4.1 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.9 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 13.3 attempts and 6.5 corners.

Noah Okafor is the top goalscorer with 5, Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 2, with Sean Longstaff and two other players on 1. Brenden Aaronson and Ilia Gruev are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Karl Darlow managing 3 clean sheets.

Burnley have 1 victory, 7 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 10.3 attempts, 3.5 shots on goal and 0.9 goals. The Lancashire side average 42.3% possession, 378.1 passes, 4.5 corners awarded and 6.4 corners against them, while 2.1 goals have been conceded from 5.0 shots on goal and 16.3 attempts.

Zian Flemming has top scored with 4, followed by Jaidon Anthony and Hannibal Mejbri on 2 and 1. Hannibal Mejbri has been the top assist maker on 2, with Martin Dubravka notching one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Leeds confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Karl Darlow (GK), Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk, Jayden Bogle, Anton Stach, Ethan Ampadu, Ao Tanaka, James Justin, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor.

Burnley confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Martin Dubravka (GK), Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys, Kyle Walker, Quilindschy Hartman, Loum Tchaouna, Josh Laurent, James Ward-Prowse, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming.

Leeds vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips

Gear up for Leeds vs Burnley with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Backing Leeds -1.25 at odds of -110 means we’ll benefit if they win by two or more goals in this Premier League game. We think that the favourites can have the upper hand throughout the contest.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Premier League team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Leeds vs Burnley league stats:

• The +1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Burnley in 3 consecutive games on the road.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you’re looking for a good alternative to backing Leeds on the Asian Handicap, then consider the Winning Margin market. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.

Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.

Our Match Prediction

Leeds Asian Hcp -1.25 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 29, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 2 - 0 Burnley

Our prediction for the correct score is the West Yorkshire side to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +525. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaidon Anthony Over 1.5 Shots +104

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley) has fired over 1.5 shots in six of his past ten Premier League games. Our opinion is that there’s value for him to cover the Player Shots line, with betting odds of +104 currently on offer.

Latest Jaidon Anthony Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1300

Shots

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

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Noah Okafor to Score +155

Noah Okafor (Leeds) has netted five goals in his past six Premier League matches. We’ll take a chance at +155 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Noah Okafor Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+150

First

+410

Shots

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Leeds Under 6.5 Corners -119

Leeds have failed to cover the 6.5 corners line in five straight games, with Burnley conceding under 6.5 corners in the past three away matches. The number of Leeds corners could be lower than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -119.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

10.60 4.10 6.50

Home

11.20 6.10 5.10

Away

9.90 3.40 6.50

Burnley

Total

10.90 4.50 6.40

Home

10.10 4.80 5.30

Away

10.00 3.90 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-104

Leeds Corners

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-147

Burnley Corners

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-141

Most Corners

1

-313

X

+750

2

+285

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Leeds vs Burnley Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds suggest that Leeds United have a 71% prospect of triumphing which results in the fact that they’re strong -250 favourites to win this Premier League encounter. If you’re searching for a different slant, outsiders Burnley are available at +750.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Leeds at -114, go for Burnley at +575 or take the draw at +148.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. On the Both Teams to Score market, there isn’t much between the BTTS Yes and No options in terms of price.

The leading football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Premier League match, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-250

X

+360

2

+750

Half-Time Result

1

-114

X

+148

2

+575

Double Chance

1X

-1429

12

-526

X2

+185

Draw No Bet

1

-909

2

+430

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-114

2 Hcp +1.25

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+110

Over 2.5

-141

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-109

No

-123

Favourite Dominic Calvert-Lewin is now available at +260 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

-118

Anytime

+260

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+107

Anytime

+320

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+150

Anytime

+410

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Armando Broja (Burnley)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

James Justin (Leeds)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Sebastiaan Bornauw (Leeds)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Ethan Ampadu (Leeds)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Joe Rodon (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Gabriel Gudmundsson (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jaka Bijol (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 3.5

-123

Under 3.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

James Justin (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Jayden Bogle (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Sebastiaan Bornauw (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-

Ethan Ampadu (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Joe Rodon (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Gudmundsson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Jaka Bijol (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-

Leeds have not tasted defeat at Elland Road in three straight matches. The Whites have racked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Burnley have been defeated in three straight away matches. The Clarets have clocked up six losses, three draws and one win in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 2.10.

The most recent Elland Road meeting saw Burnley claim a 1-0 win over Leeds. Leeds have won two of the past 3 H2H games at Elland Road, with Burnley picking up one win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Leeds Home Stats		5-2-3	2.40	1.50	0.90	5	5	3	7
Burnley Away Stats		1-3-6	3.00	0.90	2.10	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Leeds vs Burnley Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Leeds vs Burnley team news before you bet. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premier League along with up-to-date injury news.

Leeds United Team Page Burnley Team Page

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