Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Oct 2026
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Predictions
The standout bet can be found on the Full-Time Result market where Luxembourg are currently priced at +102. We think they can overcome Bulgaria and this looks a value play.
Take a closer look at our complete Luxembourg vs Bulgaria betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score pick, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Preview
Luxembourg host Bulgaria at Stade de Luxembourg, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 6 October.
Luxembourg were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 1-0 Nations League C loss against Estonia at A Le Coq Arena. Jeff Strasser's men boasted 54% possession and had two shots on target.
Bulgaria suffered a Nations League C defeat in their previous game. A 3-0 scoreline occurred on the road at Laugardalsvoellur against Iceland. The Lions recorded 49% possession and managed three shots on goal.
H2H: 2-1 Win for Luxembourg in Last Head-to-Head Clash
The scoreline was 2-1 in favour of away team Luxembourg when they last faced Bulgaria, with the encounter taking place at Hristo Botev, Plovdiv. The previous 3 H2H meetings have included a win for Luxembourg, one draw and Bulgaria also landing a victory.
| Nations League C | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Luxembourg |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 |  Bulgaria |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1:5 | 1 |
Luxembourg have 3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 0.7 goals from 7.7 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal. The Red Lions have averaged 50.0% possession and 2.9 corners per game, conceding 1.5 goals and 4.6 corners from 12.0 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.
Vincent Thill is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Leandro Barreiro, Danel Sinani, Tomas Cruz and Mathias Olesen each have 1. Danel Sinani, Leandro Barreiro and Seid Korac are top assists makers with 1, while goalkeeper Anthony Moris has kept 2 clean sheets.
Bulgaria have 1 victory, 8 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 0.5 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 39.8% possession, 3.0 corners awarded and 6.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.6 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 15.2 attempts.
The top scorers have been Asen Chandarov, Georgi Rusev, Filip Krastev, Radoslav Kirilov and Valentin Antov, with 1 goals apiece. Dimitar Velkovski, Zdravko Dimitrov and Kiril Despodov have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
We’ll take Luxembourg at attractive betting odds of +102 considering that they could be dominant in this Nations League game. This match winner wager provides plenty of value and a nice potential return.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
The Nations League experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our football betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.
The betting apps are estimating that there is a 49.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
The Asian Handicap provides you with the chance to get more juice on your wagers. You can move the line for Luxembourg and choose the odds to suit you.
Get ahead in sports betting by reviewing our detailed bonus guide featuring the latest betting promo codes for the best welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Bulgaria
Luxembourg are available at +430 to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Corners Prediction
In their past ten games, Luxembourg have not covered the 4.5 corners line. There’s everything to like about the Luxembourg Team Corners line which looks too big and we’d expect them to go under at -119.
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder picks are Luxembourg to come out on top, two or less goals in total and also Luxembourg to have under 4.5 corners.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Luxembourg betting odds are +102 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Nations League encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 50% chance of winning. The market implies that Bulgaria are the most unlikely to win at +265.
Luxembourg are -108 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is like backing them on the Full-Time Result market. Alternatively, you can get -133 for Bulgaria +0.5 and get the draw on your side.
The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at -133.
The recommended betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Nations League game before making a decision.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Luxembourg Stats
Bulgaria Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 2.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 6.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 corners awarded and 7.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Luxembourg vs Bulgaria team news before wagering. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for UEFA Nations League, along with current injury news.
Previous Luxembourg Lineups
Previous Bulgaria Lineups
Luxembourg Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jeff Strasser
Bulgaria Player Stats & Squad
UEFA Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 4 | San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Armenia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Latvia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
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