Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Oct 2026

Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Mainz Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -115

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

If you agree with our verdict that Mainz can avoid defeat against Bayer Leverkusen, then you can back the home team with a +0.25 goal start at -115. This means our Asian Handicap stake is split equally between 0 and +0.5.

Take a closer look at our complete Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Preview

Mainz host Bayer Leverkusen at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 10 October.

Mainz 05 won their last game 4-3. This was a road win against Borussia Monchengladbach at Borussia-Park. The Rhineland-Palatinate team had 53% possession and eight shots on target, with Phillip Tietz, Sheraldo Becker, Eric Martel and Danny da Costa scoring one goal apiece.

Bayer Leverkusen claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-0 win occurred against RB Leipzig at BayArena. Carles Martinez's side enjoyed 51% possession and six shots on goal, while Patrik Schick and Miguel Gutierrez were both on target.

H2H: Previous Head-to-Head Encounter Ended 1-1

Leverkusen haven’t lost to Mainz in their past six matches, with the last encounter ending 1-1 at BayArena. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured six Leverkusen victories, two draws and two Mainz wins.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	5	10:5	7
6	Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	4	10:6	7

View Full Table

Mainz have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 16.8 attempts. The 05ers have averaged 49.4% possession, 428.6 passes and 5.7 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.6 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 11.7 attempts and 4.6 corners.

Top scorer Phillip Tietz has found the net 6 times, Sheraldo Becker 4, with Phillipp Mwene and Nadiem Amiri both scoring 2. Sheraldo Becker has the most assists with 4, while goalkeepers Daniel Batz, Robin Zentner and Alexander Schwolow have 3 clean sheets between them.

Leverkusen have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.0 goals from 20.0 attempts and 6.8 shots on goal. The North Rhine-Westphalia club average 58.5% possession, 551.4 passes, 8.1 corners in their favour and 3.7 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 13.6 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

Patrik Schick is the leading scorer with 10 goals, followed by Christian Kofane on 2, with Miguel Gutierrez and two others bagging 1. Miguel Gutierrez has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games, while Mark Flekken has 3 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Mainz predicted lineup (3-5-2): Alexander Schwolow (GK), Stefan Posch, Eric Martel, Kacper Potulski, Stefan Bell, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Jae-Sung Lee, Phillipp Mwene, Phillip Tietz, Sheraldo Becker.

Bayer Leverkusen predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Mark Flekken (GK), Jarell Quansah, Edmond Tapsoba, Facundo Medina, Miguel Gutierrez, Aleix Garcia, Equi Fernandez, Moussa Diaby, Ibrahim Maza, Afonso Moreira, Patrik Schick.

Main Match Prediction

Mainz look capable of winning this Bundesliga encounter and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back them at -115 with a +0.25 goal start, with confidence high that they can perform well.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Mainz in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Mainz in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leverkusen in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leverkusen in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leverkusen in 10 of their last 18 games on the road.

Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest Bundesliga data.

The top betting apps make it a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you are hunting down bigger odds for Mainz to cover the line, then consider placing a Bet Builder. Add different picks to your wager until you’re happy with the overall price.

Get more from your bet. Explore our updated guide featuring the hottest betting offers and best welcome bonus deals.

Mainz Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -115 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 8, 15:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 1 - 0 Leverkusen

We’re going for Mainz at +950 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Patrik Schick Over 1.5 Shots On Target +118

Patrik Schick (Leverkusen) has had over 1.5 shots on goal in seven of his past ten Bundesliga matches. Our opinion is that there’s value for him to cover the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of +118 currently on offer.

Latest Patrik Schick Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+110

First

+360

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

---

Phillip Tietz to Score +195

Phillip Tietz (Mainz) has found the net in three consecutive Bundesliga games. We’re content to land the +195 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Phillip Tietz Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+195

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With an approximate 46% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their +117 betting odds for Bayer Leverkusen triumphing in this Bundesliga encounter. Mainz 05 are the underdogs at +185 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

For those wanting to reduce their risk, Leverkusen are -159 on the Draw No Bet market. This means a refund if the game ends level, with Mainz being priced up at +110 with the same money back guarantee.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -250 for the BTTS Yes option.

All of the Bundesliga games see the top betting sites go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+185

X

+285

2

+117

Half-Time Result

1

+215

X

+155

2

+163

Double Chance

1X

-154

12

-417

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

+110

2

-159

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-115

2 Hcp -0.25

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+170

Over 2.5

-227

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-250

No

+180

Patrik Schick can be backed to find the net anytime at +110. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +360.

Patrik Schick (Leverkusen)

First

+360

Anytime

+110

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

First

+600

Anytime

+195

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

First

+600

Anytime

+200

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

First

+650

Anytime

+200

Ransford Königsdörffer (Mainz)

First

+700

Anytime

+220

Ibrahim Maza (Leverkusen)

First

+700

Anytime

+240

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+240

Moussa Diaby (Leverkusen)

First

+750

Anytime

+250

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+260

Otto Ruoppi (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+260

Afonso Bastardo Moreira (Leverkusen)

First

+750

Anytime

+270

Malik Tillman (Leverkusen)

First

+900

Anytime

+290

Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Mainz)

First

+950

Anytime

+300

Martin Terrier (Leverkusen)

First

+900

Anytime

+300

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+950

Anytime

+300

Nathan Tella (Leverkusen)

First

+950

Anytime

+300

Jonas Hofmann (Leverkusen)

First

+1050

Anytime

+340

Eliesse Ben Seghir (Leverkusen)

First

+1100

Anytime

+350

Aleix Garcia (Leverkusen)

First

+1300

Anytime

+450

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

First

+1500

Anytime

+500

Lucas Vázquez (Leverkusen)

First

+1500

Anytime

+500

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

First

+1700

Anytime

+575

Robert Andrich (Leverkusen)

First

+1700

Anytime

+575

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+1800

Anytime

+600

Eric Martel (Mainz)

First

+1900

Anytime

+650

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Ransford Königsdörffer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Ibrahim Maza (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Otto Ruoppi (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

Moussa Diaby (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Afonso Bastardo Moreira (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Martin Terrier (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Patrik Schick (Leverkusen)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Malik Tillman (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Nathan Tella (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Jonas Hofmann (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Eliesse Ben Seghir (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Aleix Garcia (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Vázquez (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Robert Andrich (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Eric Martel (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Bundesliga matches only.
Mainz haven’t triumphed in five straight games at MEWA Arena. The Rhineland-Palatinate team have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Bayer Leverkusen haven’t tasted victory in three consecutive matches on the road. Carles Martinez's side have recorded four draws, three wins and three losses in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

Leverkusen won 4-3 when they last played Mainz at MEWA Arena. There have been six Leverkusen victories, one Mainz win and one draw in the past 8 H2H games at MEWA Arena.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Mainz Home Stats		3-3-4	3.10	1.50	1.60	6	4	7	3
Bayer Leverkusen Away Stats		3-4-3	3.30	1.60	1.70	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

You can watch Bundesliga live streaming depending on where you are located. Sportsbook customers are required to have a funded betting account or place a bet within the past 24 hours.

You can log into your betting account on a daily basis and enjoy the chance to access high quality streams.

Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Mainz vs Leverkusen team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with up-to-date injury news.

Mainz 05 Team Page Bayer Leverkusen Team Page

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages