Mainz vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Nov 2026

Mainz vs Bayern Munich Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Bayern Asian Hcp -1.5 @ -119

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We’re expecting a dominant Bayern Munich performance against Mainz and the Asian Handicap provides us the opportunity to back them at -1.5. Odds of -119 appear generous that the favourites can win by two goals or more.

This Mainz vs Bayern Munich betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Mainz vs Bayern Munich Preview

Mainz meet Bayern Munich at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 7 November.

Mainz 05 have lost three consecutive games at home. In their last appearance, they suffered a 4-1 road defeat against Elversberg at Ursapharm-Arena. Urs Fischer's men had 46% possession and totalled two shots on target, with Benedict Hollerbach scoring the goal.

Bayern Munich drew their previous Bundesliga game which was at home. The action at Allianz Arena ended 2-2 against Borussia Dortmund. The Bavarians recorded 55% possession and had five shots on goal, while Konrad Laimer and Dayot Upamecano were on the scoresheet.

Four days ago, Bayern claimed a 2-0 win in the Champions League when facing Atlético Madrid on the road.

H2H: Bayern Head-to-Head Record Includes 7 Wins in 10

Bayern have not lost to Mainz in the past three meetings. In the last encounter, Bayern banked a 4-3 victory when visiting MEWA Arena. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved seven Bayern victories, one draw and two Mainz wins.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	5	3	0	27	8	19	27:8	18
9	Mainz 05	8	3	1	4	17	17	0	17:17	10

View Full Table

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts. Mainz have had 50.9% possession, 443.8 passes and 5.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 2.0 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.

Phillip Tietz leads the way with 6 goals, with Anthony Caci and Sheraldo Becker getting 3 apiece. Leading assistor is Sheraldo Becker with 4, while goalkeepers Alexander Schwolow, Robin Zentner and Daniel Batz collectively have 4 clean sheets.

Bayern have 7 victories and 3 draws, with an average of 3.3 goals from 9.3 shots on goal and 22.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 65.4% possession, 685.9 passes, 7.7 corners awarded and 3.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.

The leading scorers have been Michael Olise and Harry Kane with 7, while Luis Diaz has 4. Harry Kane and Joshua Kimmich are the top assist makers with 5 apiece, while Jonas Urbig has notched one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Mainz predicted lineup (3-5-2): Robin Zentner (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Kacper Potulski, Silvan Widmer, Paul Nebel, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Anthony Caci, Sheraldo Becker, Phillip Tietz.

Bayern Munich predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer (GK), Konrad Laimer, Dayot Upamecano, Min-Jae Kim, Nathaniel Brown, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Michael Olise, Lennart Karl, Alphonso Davies, Harry Kane.

Main Match Prediction

Bayern Munich might prove too strong for this Bundesliga game. We think the visitors will win with something to spare, so we’ll play the -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at attractive betting odds of -119.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The -1.5 line has been covered by Bayern in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 6 of their last 10 games against Bayern.

The first port of call is to check out the Bundesliga injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

The best betting sites make it a 54.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this wager.

It can be beneficial to consider a Bet Builder if you want bigger odds for Bayern to cover the line. Choose additional legs until you’re happy with the overall price for your wager.

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Bayern Asian Hcp -1.5 @ -119 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 5, 15:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 0 - 2 Bayern

One bet that has caught our eye is Bayern to claim a 2-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +800 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Phillip Tietz Over 0.5 Shots On Target -149

Phillip Tietz (Mainz) has had one or more shots on goal in nine straight Bundesliga games. We’ve decided to back him on the Overs for Shots on Target, with this line looking attractive at odds of -149.

Latest Phillip Tietz Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

---

Michael Olise to Score +105

Michael Olise (Bayern) has netted five goals in his past five Bundesliga games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +105.

Latest Michael Olise Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+105

First

+420

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Mainz Over 3.5 Corners -149

Mainz have covered the 3.5 corners line in ten consecutive home games, with Bayern Munich conceding over 3.5 corners in their past two away matches. We’re going to select the Overs for Mainz Team Corners, with this line making appeal and you can secure odds of -149.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mainz

Total

10.50 5.60 4.90

Home

10.20 5.90 4.30

Away

10.00 4.60 5.40

Bayern

Total

11.10 7.70 3.40

Home

11.70 9.00 2.70

Away

9.70 5.70 4.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-118

Mainz Corners

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

-100

Bayern Corners

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-135

Most Corners

1

+240

X

+750

2

-263

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mainz vs Bayern Munich Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bayern Munich have been priced up as the overwhelming -294 favourites for this Bundesliga clash. This means the bookies give them a 75% chance of claiming victory. If you want to back the outsider, Mainz 05 are available at +550.

You can back Bayern at -133 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Mainz are +425 and the draw is chalked up at +205.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -263 on the BTTS market.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Bundesliga game. The best football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+550

X

+475

2

-294

Half-Time Result

1

+425

X

+205

2

-133

Double Chance

1X

+210

12

-769

X2

-1000

Draw No Bet

1

+390

2

-769

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.5

-110

2 Hcp -1.5

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+310

Over 2.5

-455

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-263

No

+185

Favourite Harry Kane is priced at +260 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of -189.

Harry Kane (Bayern)

First

+260

Anytime

-189

Michael Olise (Bayern)

First

+420

Anytime

+105

Jamal Musiala (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+170

Lennart Karl (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+190

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

First

+850

Anytime

+220

Alphonso Davies (Bayern)

First

+850

Anytime

+230

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

First

+900

Anytime

+230

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

First

+950

Anytime

+250

Ransford Königsdörffer (Mainz)

First

+900

Anytime

+260

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+1100

Anytime

+300

Nathaniel Brown (Bayern)

First

+1100

Anytime

+300

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+1100

Anytime

+310

Otto Ruoppi (Mainz)

First

+1200

Anytime

+320

Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Mainz)

First

+1200

Anytime

+350

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+1200

Anytime

+360

Tom Bischof (Bayern)

First

+1400

Anytime

+400

Joshua Kimmich (Bayern)

First

+1900

Anytime

+550

Hiroki Ito (Bayern)

First

+1900

Anytime

+550

Sacha Boey (Bayern)

First

+1900

Anytime

+550

Dayot Upamecano (Bayern)

First

+2000

Anytime

+550

Aleksandar Pavlovic (Bayern)

First

+2000

Anytime

+550

Konrad Laimer (Bayern)

First

+2000

Anytime

+550

Kim Min-jae (Bayern)

First

+2000

Anytime

+550

Josip Stanisic (Bayern)

First

+2000

Anytime

+550

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

First

+2000

Anytime

+600

Jamal Musiala (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Lennart Karl (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Alphonso Davies (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Ransford Königsdörffer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Michael Olise (Bayern)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Harry Kane (Bayern)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Otto Ruoppi (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Nathaniel Brown (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Tom Bischof (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Konrad Laimer (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Kim Min-jae (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Joshua Kimmich (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Hiroki Ito (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Sacha Boey (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Dayot Upamecano (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Aleksandar Pavlovic (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Josip Stanisic (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Bundesliga matches only.
Mainz have failed to win in their last seven matches at MEWA Arena. Urs Fischer's men have finished with six defeats, three draws and one win in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 2.20.

Bayern Munich are unbeaten in the last ten games on their travels. The Bavarians have racked up seven wins and three draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 2.40 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

The last MEWA Arena meeting saw Bayern beat Mainz 4-3. Mainz have triumphed in four of the previous 7 H2H meetings at MEWA Arena, with Bayern winning the other three.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Mainz Home Stats		1-3-6	3.70	1.50	2.20	7	3	8	2
Bayern Munich Away Stats		7-3-0	3.60	2.40	1.20	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Mainz vs Bayern Munich Lineups & Team News

Mainz 05 Team Page Bayern Munich Team Page

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