Mainz vs Paderborn Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Aug 2026
Mainz vs Paderborn Predictions
Paderborn are capable of competing hard against Mainz. On this basis, we’ll wager the away team on the Asian Handicap +0.75 at -106, meaning that our stake is divided between 0.5 and +1.0.
The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Mainz vs Paderborn, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Mainz vs Paderborn Preview
Mainz meet Paderborn at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 29 August.
Mainz 05 won their last Bundesliga game 2-0. This was an away victory at Voith-Arena against Heidenheim. The 05ers had seven shots on target and 46% possession, with Phillip Tietz and Nadiem Amiri scoring one goal each.
On Sunday, Mainz visited VfB Krieschow and won 9-0 in the DFB-Pokal.
Paderborn claimed a 2-1 extra-time home win (1-1 after 90 mins) over Wolfsburg at Home Deluxe Arena in their previous Bundesliga game. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit enjoyed 67% possession and managed nine shots on goal, while Filip Bilbija and Laurin Curda found the net.
Six days ago, Paderborn triumphed 4-2 in the DFB-Pokal when visiting 1. FC Phoenix Luebeck.
H2H: Mainz Won Last H2H Encounter
Mainz won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 2-0 home triumph when facing Paderborn at MEWA Arena.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |  Mainz 05 |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 15 |  Paderborn |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3:7 | 4 |
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. Mainz have had 43.0% possession, 367.7 passes and 5.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.4 corners.
Phillip Tietz and Paul Nebel lead the way with 4 goals, while Nadiem Amiri has 2. Sheraldo Becker is the leading assists maker with 3, while goalie Daniel Batz has 2 clean sheets.
Paderborn have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 12.8 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. Ralf Kettemann's team average 47.9% possession, 5.2 corners in their favour and 3.5 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 5.0 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts.
Filip Bilbija has recorded 7 goals, Stefano Marino 3, with Laurin Curda and Steffen Tigges both managing 2. Raphael Obermair is top assists provider with 3, while Dennis Seimen has kept one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Mainz confirmed lineup (3-3-2-2): Robin Zentner (GK), Danny da Costa, Fabio Gruber, Dominik Kohr, Anthony Caci, Kaishu Sano, Phillipp Mwene, Jae-Sung Lee, Nadiem Amiri, Sheraldo Becker, Phillip Tietz.
Paderborn confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Nahuel Noll (GK), Jano ter Horst, Tjark Scheller, Mattes Hansen, Laurin Curda, Laurin Ulrich, Santiago Castaneda, Raphael Obermair, Stefano Marino, Marvin Pieringer, Gabriel Vidovic.
Main Match Prediction
We believe that Paderborn +0.75 at -106 on the Asian Handicap is the best play for this Bundesliga clash. The visitors should be able to avoid a loss in this match and potentially win.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest Bundesliga team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.
The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
If you want to secure a larger possible pay out on your bet, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.
Discover valuable betting promo codes, welcome offers, and free bets in our updated bonus guide before you play.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Paderborn
One bet that has caught our eye is a 1-1 correct score draw. This selection is available at +700 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Stefano Marino (Paderborn) can be wagered at -161 to have one or more shots on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.
Laurin Curda (Paderborn) has netted two goals in his past ten league matches. It’s worth a play on the +650 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There has been seven consecutive Paderborn away matches where 9.5 corners have not been covered, with the same thing happening in three of the past three Mainz games. For Total Corners, we’re expecting the sides to fall short and you can get odds of -123.
Mainz
Paderborn
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Get in the game with a bet builder. Our picks are Paderborn on the Asian Handicap at +0.75, both teams scoring merged with Stefano Marino (Paderborn) to have one or more shots on target.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Mainz vs Paderborn Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Mainz 05 are the shortest price to win this Bundesliga clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 66% probability due to their -192 betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Paderborn are available at +450.
For those wanting an alternative, Mainz are +104 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Paderborn being priced up at +400 and the draw is +150.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -152 for the BTTS Yes option.
There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Bundesliga coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.
Benedict Hollerbach is the First Goalscorer favourite at +480 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +155.
Stats: Last 10 League matches only.
Mainz have suffered three consecutive losses at MEWA Arena. The 05ers have secured four wins, three draws and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
Paderborn have finished with four draws, three wins and three defeats in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
When the sides last met at MEWA Arena, Mainz beat Paderborn 2-0.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz Home Stats |
4-3-3 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
| Paderborn Away Stats |
3-4-3 | 2.40 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Mainz League Stats
Paderborn League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 43.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Mainz vs Paderborn Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Mainz vs Paderborn, check the team news first. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups alongside the newest injury information.
Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 3-3-2-2
Paderborn Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 3-3-2-2
Paderborn Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Mainz 05 Substitutes
- 1Alexander Schwolow
- 4Stefan Posch
- 11R. Koenigsdoerffer
- 15Lennard Maloney
- 20Otto Ruoppi
- 24Sota Kawasaki
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 47Rael Nakuzola
- 48Kacper Potulski
Paderborn Substitutes
- 1Markus Schubert
- 3Jonah Sticker
- 6Tom Baack
- 7Oliver Batista Meier
- 8Luka Djuric
- 24Niklas Mohr
- 27Steffen Tigges
- 29Clemens Lippmann
- 38Deniz Zeitler
Previous Mainz Lineups
Previous Paderborn Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Mainz Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Urs Fischer
Paderborn Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 8 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 9 | Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:15 | 6 |
| 13 | Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 14 | Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:17 | 4 |
| 17 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | 3 |
| 18 | B. M'gladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Koln | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Augsburg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 5 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 10 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Elversberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 13 | Paderborn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 15 | Schalke 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 16 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 17 | Frankfurt | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 18 | B. M'gladbach | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 0 |
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