Mainz vs Paderborn Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Aug 2026

Mainz vs Paderborn Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Paderborn Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -106

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Paderborn are capable of competing hard against Mainz. On this basis, we’ll wager the away team on the Asian Handicap +0.75 at -106, meaning that our stake is divided between 0.5 and +1.0.

The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Mainz vs Paderborn, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Mainz vs Paderborn Preview

Mainz meet Paderborn at MEWA Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 29 August.

Mainz 05 won their last Bundesliga game 2-0. This was an away victory at Voith-Arena against Heidenheim. The 05ers had seven shots on target and 46% possession, with Phillip Tietz and Nadiem Amiri scoring one goal each.

On Sunday, Mainz visited VfB Krieschow and won 9-0 in the DFB-Pokal.

Paderborn claimed a 2-1 extra-time home win (1-1 after 90 mins) over Wolfsburg at Home Deluxe Arena in their previous Bundesliga game. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit enjoyed 67% possession and managed nine shots on goal, while Filip Bilbija and Laurin Curda found the net.

Six days ago, Paderborn triumphed 4-2 in the DFB-Pokal when visiting 1. FC Phoenix Luebeck.

Mainz Won Last H2H Encounter

Mainz won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 2-0 home triumph when facing Paderborn at MEWA Arena.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Mainz 05	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Paderborn	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. Mainz have had 43.0% possession, 367.7 passes and 5.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.4 corners.

Phillip Tietz and Paul Nebel lead the way with 4 goals, while Nadiem Amiri has 2. Sheraldo Becker is the leading assists maker with 3, while goalie Daniel Batz has 2 clean sheets.

Paderborn have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 12.8 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. Ralf Kettemann's team average 47.9% possession, 5.2 corners in their favour and 3.5 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 5.0 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts.

Filip Bilbija has recorded 7 goals, Stefano Marino 3, with Laurin Curda and Steffen Tigges both managing 2. Raphael Obermair is top assists provider with 3, while Dennis Seimen has kept one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Mainz predicted lineup (3-5-2): Robin Zentner (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Posch, Dominik Kohr, Anthony Caci, Jae-Sung Lee, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Sheraldo Becker, Phillip Tietz.

Paderborn predicted lineup (3-4-3): Nahuel Noll (GK), Jano ter Horst, Tjark Scheller, Mattes Hansen, Laurin Curda, Laurin Ulrich, Santiago Castaneda, Raphael Obermair, Albert Millgramm, Stefano Marino, Gabriel Vidovic.

Main Match Prediction

We believe that Paderborn +0.75 at -106 on the Asian Handicap is the best play for this Bundesliga clash. The visitors should be able to avoid a loss in this match and potentially win.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Paderborn in 4 consecutive games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Paderborn in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Paderborn in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 13 of their last 17 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Mainz in 3 consecutive games at home.

We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest Bundesliga team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you want to secure a larger possible pay out on your bet, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.

Discover valuable betting promo codes, welcome offers, and free bets in our updated bonus guide before you play.

Paderborn Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -106 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 27, 15:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mainz 1 - 1 Paderborn

One bet that has caught our eye is a 1-1 correct score draw. This selection is available at +600 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Stefano Marino Over 0.5 Shots On Target -161

Stefano Marino (Paderborn) can be wagered at -161 to have one or more shots on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest Stefano Marino Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

---

Laurin Curda to Score +650

Laurin Curda (Paderborn) has netted two goals in his past ten league matches. It’s worth a play on the +650 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Laurin Curda Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -123

There has been seven consecutive Paderborn away matches where 9.5 corners have not been covered, with the same thing happening in three of the past three Mainz games. For Total Corners, we’re expecting the sides to fall short and you can get odds of -123.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mainz

Total

10.40 5.00 5.40

Home

10.60 6.80 3.80

Away

9.50 3.70 5.80

Paderborn

Total

8.70 5.20 3.50

Home

11.40 7.10 4.30

Away

7.20 3.50 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-122

Mainz Corners

Over 5.5

-111

Under 5.5

-127

Paderborn Corners

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+650

2

+195

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mainz vs Paderborn Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Mainz 05 are the shortest price to win this Bundesliga clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 60% probability due to their -149 betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Paderborn are available at +370.

For those wanting an alternative, Mainz are +120 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Paderborn being priced up at +360 and the draw is +138.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -154 for the BTTS Yes option.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Bundesliga coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

-149

X

+285

2

+370

Half-Time Result

1

+120

X

+138

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-417

X2

+114

Draw No Bet

1

-385

2

+235

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-118

2 Hcp +0.75

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+116

Over 2.5

-152

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+112

Benedict Hollerbach is the First Goalscorer favourite at +450 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +170.

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

First

+450

Anytime

+170

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

First

+460

Anytime

+170

Ransford Königsdörffer (Mainz)

First

+510

Anytime

+180

Otto Ruoppi (Mainz)

First

+600

Anytime

+210

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+600

Anytime

+210

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+650

Anytime

+220

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

First

+650

Anytime

+240

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+700

Anytime

+250

William Bøving (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+270

Stefano Marino (Paderborn)

First

+800

Anytime

+300

Sven Michel (Paderborn)

First

+850

Anytime

+310

Steffen Tigges (Paderborn)

First

+850

Anytime

+320

Sebastian Klaas (Paderborn)

First

+1000

Anytime

+370

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

First

+1150

Anytime

+430

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

First

+1300

Anytime

+480

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

First

+1300

Anytime

+480

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+1400

Anytime

+525

Eric Martel (Mainz)

First

+1500

Anytime

+550

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Raphael Obermair (Paderborn)

First

+1700

Anytime

+600

Laurin Curda (Paderborn)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Nick Bätzner (Paderborn)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Ruben Müller (Paderborn)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Felix Götze (Paderborn)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Ransford Königsdörffer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Otto Ruoppi (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Stefano Marino (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Sven Michel (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Steffen Tigges (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Sebastian Klaas (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Laurin Curda (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Nick Bätzner (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Ruben Müller (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Eric Martel (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Raphael Obermair (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Felix Götze (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

Over 2.5

-172

Under 2.5

-

Stefano Marino (Paderborn)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Ransford Königsdörffer (Mainz)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Otto Ruoppi (Mainz)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Sebastian Klaas (Paderborn)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Steffen Tigges (Paderborn)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

-

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Raphael Obermair (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-

Laurin Curda (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Nick Bätzner (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Ruben Müller (Paderborn)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Stats: League matches only
Mainz have suffered three consecutive losses at MEWA Arena. The 05ers have secured four wins, three draws and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Paderborn have finished with four draws, three wins and three defeats in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

When the sides last met at MEWA Arena, Mainz beat Paderborn 2-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Mainz Home Stats		4-3-3	3.00	1.60	1.40	6	4	7	3
Paderborn Away Stats		3-4-3	2.40	1.10	1.30	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Mainz vs Paderborn Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Mainz vs Paderborn, check the team news first. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Mainz 05 Team Page Paderborn Team Page

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