Málaga vs Almería Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Jun 2026

La Liga 2 Promotion Play-Off Final Betting Preview: Málaga vs Almería

Málaga clash with Almería at Estadio La Rosaleda in the first leg of this La Liga 2 promotion play-off final, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 14 June.

Málaga have the capability of securing a victory when they clash with Almería. For this reason, we are going to take the Full-Time Result odds of +120 with a large degree of confidence.

Málaga reached the play-off final after overcoming Las Palmas 2-1 on aggregate. The second leg finished 1-1 at Estadio La Rosaleda, which was enough to see them through. Juan Funes' side enjoyed 49% possession and six shots on target, with Joaquin Munoz scoring the goal.

Almería booked their place in the play-off final with a 4-3 aggregate victory over Castellón, sealing progression with a 3-2 home win in the second leg at UD Almería Stadium. Los Indálicos enjoyed 47% possession and four shots on goal, with Adrian Embarba, Alex Munoz and Stefan Dzodic all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two sides previously met at UD Almeria Stadium, with Almería landing the home victory. Defeating Málaga by a 3-2 scoreline. Almería have secured six wins, Málaga boast a win and there have been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Almería	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Málaga have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts. Los Boquerones have averaged 52.4% possession and 4.2 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.2 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 10.3 attempts and 3.3 corners.

Top scorer is Chupe on 8 goals, while Joaquin Munoz has racked up 4 and Adrian Nino 3. Leading assistor is Rafa Rodriguez with 3.

Almería have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 5.3 shots on goal, 15.5 attempts and 1.9 goals. Rubi's team average 49.5% possession, 3.5 corners awarded and 5.8 corners against, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 13.4 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal.

Adrian Embarba and Sergio Arribas have top scored with 5 goals, while Miguel de la Fuente is next on 2. Miguel de la Fuente, Adrian Embarba and Marcos Luna have been the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Málaga confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Diego Murillo, Francisco Montero, Rafita, David Larrubia, Dani Lorenzo, Rafa Rodriguez, Aaron Ochoa, Carlos Dotor, Adrian Nino.

Almería confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Andres Fernandez (GK), Daijiro Chirino, Rodrigo Ely, Federico Bonini, Alex Munoz, Dion Lopy, Stefan Dzodic, Arnau Puigmal, Sergio Arribas, Adrian Embarba, Miguel de la Fuente.

Málaga vs Almería Prediction & Betting Tips

Explore our best Málaga vs Almería picks, including our main match prediction, top corners bet, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

There are several reasons to back Málaga, especially considering that you can get value odds of +120. We think that the favourites will have too much in hand for this La Liga 2 encounter.

The latest La Liga 2 team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football betting tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best picks.

Key Málaga vs Almería league stats:

• Málaga have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Málaga have won 3 of their last 5 games.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 45.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 50-55%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Málaga are available at a range of odds on the Asian Handicap. If you are looking for a bigger price, then check out the latest lines and choose the bet that makes the most appeal.

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Our Match Prediction

Málaga To Win @ +120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jun 12, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Málaga 1 - 0 Almería

We’re betting on Málaga to secure a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +575 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Adri Embarba Over 0.5 Shots On Target -125

Adri Embarba (Almería) can be wagered at -125 to register one or more shots on goal. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.

Latest Adri Embarba Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

---

David Larrubia to Score +320

David Larrubia (Málaga) has netted four goals in his past eight La Liga 2 matches on home soil. There are odds of +320 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest David Larrubia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Málaga To Have Most Corners -109

There has been an average 5.40 corners for Málaga in their past 5 home games, with Almería averaging 3.00 corners in the previous 5 away matches. We’re keen to back the -109 that Málaga come out on top in this Corner Match bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Málaga

Total

7.50 4.20 3.30

Home

9.20 5.00 4.20

Away

8.30 3.60 4.70

Almería

Total

9.30 3.50 5.80

Home

8.90 4.40 4.50

Away

10.20 4.00 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-141

Málaga Corners

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

-103

Almería Corners

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+107

Most Corners

1

-147

X

+650

2

+145

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Málaga vs Almería Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of +115 suggest that Málaga are likely victors and there’s a 47% probability that the favourites win this La Liga 2 clash. For those wanting to back Almería, you will find +220 about this outsider.

There’s the chance to back Málaga at -115 if you want to take them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s a full payout if they beat Almería but also half stake returned if the scoreline ends level.

You’re able to bet on Under 2.5 Goals or Over 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -149.

The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all La Liga 2 games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

+115

X

+220

2

+220

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+118

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-333

X2

-161

Draw No Bet

1

-182

2

+123

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-115

2 Hcp +0.25

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-123

Over 2.5

-112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

-100

Carlos Ruiz Rubio is available at +143 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +370 to find the net first.

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

First

+370

Anytime

+143

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

First

+460

Anytime

+185

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

First

+575

Anytime

+225

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

First

+650

Anytime

+270

Adri Embarba (Almería)

First

+750

Anytime

+300

David Larrubia (Málaga)

First

+800

Anytime

+310

Rafa Rodríguez (Málaga)

First

+850

Anytime

+320

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

First

+900

Anytime

+340

Miguel De La Fuente (Almería)

First

+900

Anytime

+340

Julen Lobete (Málaga)

First

+850

Anytime

+350

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

First

+900

Anytime

+350

Nicolás Melamed (Almería)

First

+1000

Anytime

+380

Jon Morcillo (Almería)

First

+1000

Anytime

+390

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

First

+1000

Anytime

+390

Patrick Soko (Almería)

First

+1150

Anytime

+440

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

First

+1200

Anytime

+450

Joaquín Muñoz (Málaga)

First

+1400

Anytime

+480

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Darko Brasanac (Málaga)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Carlos Dotor (Málaga)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Ramón Enríquez (Málaga)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Diego Murillo (Málaga)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Izan Merino (Málaga)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Einar Galilea (Málaga)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Iddrisu Baba (Almería)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

David Larrubia (Málaga)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Adri Embarba (Almería)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Miguel De La Fuente (Almería)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás Melamed (Almería)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

Joaquín Muñoz (Málaga)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Julen Lobete (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Rafa Rodríguez (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Jon Morcillo (Almería)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Patrick Soko (Almería)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Darko Brasanac (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Dotor (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Ramón Enríquez (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Einar Galilea (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Diego Murillo (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Izan Merino (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Iddrisu Baba (Almería)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-

Stats: La Liga 2 matches only
Málaga are unbeaten over their previous three games at Estadio La Rosaleda. Juan Funes' side have five victories, four draws and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Almería haven’t tasted victory in the previous three away matches. Los Indálicos have managed four losses, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

The last Estadio La Rosaleda meeting saw Málaga beat Almería 2-1. The previous 6 H2H meetings at Estadio La Rosaleda have ended in three Almería victories, two draws and a solitary win for Málaga.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Málaga Home Stats		5-4-1	3.20	1.90	1.30	5	5	7	3
Almería Away Stats		3-3-4	3.10	1.30	1.80	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Málaga vs Almería Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Málaga vs Almería before you bet. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Málaga Team Page Almería Team Page

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