Málaga vs Almería Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Jun 2026

La Liga 2 Promotion Play-Off Final Betting Preview: Málaga vs Almería

Málaga clash with Almería at Estadio La Rosaleda in the first leg of this La Liga 2 promotion play-off final, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 14 June.

Málaga have the capability of securing a victory when they clash with Almería. For this reason, we are going to take the Full-Time Result odds of +120 with a large degree of confidence.

Málaga reached the play-off final after overcoming Las Palmas 2-1 on aggregate. The second leg finished 1-1 at Estadio La Rosaleda, which was enough to see them through. Juan Funes' side enjoyed 49% possession and six shots on target, with Joaquin Munoz scoring the goal.

Almería booked their place in the play-off final with a 4-3 aggregate victory over Castellón, sealing progression with a 3-2 home win in the second leg at UD Almería Stadium. Los Indálicos enjoyed 47% possession and four shots on goal, with Adrian Embarba, Alex Munoz and Stefan Dzodic all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two sides previously met at UD Almeria Stadium, with Almería landing the home victory. Defeating Málaga by a 3-2 scoreline. Almería have secured six wins, Málaga boast a win and there have been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Almería	42	22	8	12	81	63	18	81:63	74
4	Málaga	42	21	10	11	75	52	23	75:52	73

View Full Table

Málaga have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts. Los Boquerones have averaged 52.4% possession and 4.2 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.2 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 10.3 attempts and 3.3 corners.

Top scorer is Chupe on 8 goals, while Joaquin Munoz has racked up 4 and Adrian Nino 3. Leading assistor is Rafa Rodriguez with 3.

Almería have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 5.3 shots on goal, 15.5 attempts and 1.9 goals. Rubi's team average 49.5% possession, 3.5 corners awarded and 5.8 corners against, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 13.4 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal.

Adrian Embarba and Sergio Arribas have top scored with 5 goals, while Miguel de la Fuente is next on 2. Miguel de la Fuente, Adrian Embarba and Marcos Luna have been the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Málaga predicted lineup (4-4-2): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Diego Murillo, Francisco Javier Montero, Rafita, David Larrubia, Izan Merino, Dani Lorenzo, Joaquín Muñoz, Carlos Dotor, Chupete.

Almería predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Andres Fernandez (GK), Daijiro Chirino, Federico Bonini, Rodrigo Ely, Álex Muñoz, Stefan Dzodic, Dion Lopy, Leo Baptistao, Sergio Arribas, Adrián Embarba, Miguel de la Fuente.

Málaga vs Almería Prediction & Betting Tips

Explore our best Málaga vs Almería picks, including our main match prediction, top corners bet, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

There are several reasons to back Málaga, especially considering that you can get value odds of +120. We think that the favourites will have too much in hand for this La Liga 2 encounter.

The latest La Liga 2 team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football betting tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best picks.

Key Málaga vs Almería league stats:

• Málaga have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Málaga have won 3 of their last 5 games.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 45.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 50-55%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Málaga are available at a range of odds on the Asian Handicap. If you are looking for a bigger price, then check out the latest lines and choose the bet that makes the most appeal.

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Our Match Prediction

Málaga To Win @ +120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jun 12, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Málaga 1 - 0 Almería

We’re betting on Málaga to secure a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +575 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Adri Embarba Over 0.5 Shots On Target -125

Adri Embarba (Almería) can be wagered at -125 to register one or more shots on goal. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.

Latest Adri Embarba Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

---

David Larrubia to Score +320

David Larrubia (Málaga) has netted four goals in his past eight La Liga 2 matches on home soil. There are odds of +320 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest David Larrubia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Málaga To Have Most Corners -109

There has been an average 5.40 corners for Málaga in their past 5 home games, with Almería averaging 3.00 corners in the previous 5 away matches. We’re keen to back the -109 that Málaga come out on top in this Corner Match bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Málaga

Total

7.50 4.20 3.30

Home

9.20 5.00 4.20

Away

8.30 3.60 4.70

Almería

Total

9.30 3.50 5.80

Home

8.90 4.40 4.50

Away

10.20 4.00 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-147

Málaga Corners

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

-108

Almería Corners

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-135

X

+650

2

+135

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Málaga vs Almería Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of +120 suggest that Málaga are likely victors and there’s a 45% probability that the favourites win this La Liga 2 clash. For those wanting to back Almería, you will find +205 about this outsider.

There’s the chance to back Málaga at -108 if you want to take them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s a full payout if they beat Almería but also half stake returned if the scoreline ends level.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -149.

The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all La Liga 2 games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

+120

X

+225

2

+205

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+116

2

+255

Double Chance

1X

-303

12

-333

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-167

2

+117

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-108

2 Hcp +0.25

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-127

Over 2.5

-110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

-100

Carlos Ruiz Rubio is available at +143 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +370 to find the net first.

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

First

+143

Anytime

+370

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

First

+180

Anytime

+475

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

First

+285

Anytime

+700

Adri Embarba (Almería)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

David Larrubia (Málaga)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Rafa Rodríguez (Málaga)

First

+325

Anytime

+850

Julen Lobete (Málaga)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Miguel De La Fuente (Almería)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Jon Morcillo (Almería)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Nicolás Melamed (Almería)

First

+375

Anytime

+950

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Patrick Soko (Almería)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Joaquín Muñoz (Málaga)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Carlos Dotor (Málaga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Ramón Enríquez (Málaga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Darko Brasanac (Málaga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Diego Murillo (Málaga)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Iddrisu Baba (Almería)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Izan Merino (Málaga)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Einar Galilea (Málaga)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Adri Embarba (Almería)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

David Larrubia (Málaga)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Miguel De La Fuente (Almería)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás Melamed (Almería)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Julen Lobete (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Rafa Rodríguez (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Joaquín Muñoz (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Jon Morcillo (Almería)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Patrick Soko (Almería)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-

Darko Brasanac (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Dotor (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Ramón Enríquez (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Einar Galilea (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Diego Murillo (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Izan Merino (Málaga)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Iddrisu Baba (Almería)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-

Stats: La Liga 2 matches only
Málaga are unbeaten over their previous three games at Estadio La Rosaleda. Juan Funes' side have five victories, four draws and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Almería haven’t tasted victory in the previous three away matches. Los Indálicos have managed four losses, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

The last Estadio La Rosaleda meeting saw Málaga beat Almería 2-1. The previous 6 H2H meetings at Estadio La Rosaleda have ended in three Almería victories, two draws and a solitary win for Málaga.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Málaga Home Stats		5-4-1	3.20	1.90	1.30	5	5	7	3
Almería Away Stats		3-3-4	3.10	1.30	1.80	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Málaga vs Almería Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Málaga vs Almería before you bet. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Málaga Team Page Almería Team Page

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