Málaga vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2026
Málaga vs Real Sociedad Predictions
Málaga look a good bet to defeat Sociedad and we can back the home team at -112 with a +0.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap. This means splitting the stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the quest for a return.
Take a closer look at our complete Málaga vs Sociedad betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Málaga vs Real Sociedad Preview
Málaga take on Real Sociedad at Estadio La Rosaleda, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Sunday 18 October.
Málaga drew their last game 1-1 at home, with the action taking place at Estadio La Rosaleda against Espanyol. The Andalusia outfit had seven shots on target and enjoyed 58% possession, with Adrian Nino registering the goal.
Real Sociedad made it back-to-back La Liga victories after a 3-2 home win over Deportivo La Coruña at Reale Arena. Pellegrino Matarazzo's side managed four shots on goal and had 40% possession, with Jon Martin, Arsen Zakharyan and Goncalo Guedes all on target.
On Thursday night, Sociedad drew 1-1 when visiting Union Saint-Gilloise in the Europa League.
H2H: Sociedad Beat Málaga in their Last Clash
It was Sociedad who came out on top when they last played Málaga, a 1-0 Copa del Rey away win was recorded.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Real Sociedad |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12:15 | 13 |
| 20 |  Málaga |
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4:13 | 4 |
Málaga have 1 win, 4 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. Juan Funes' team have averaged 52.3% possession and 5.7 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.4 goals from 5.1 shots on goal, 13.3 attempts and 4.8 corners.
Top goalscorers Adrian Nino and Chupe have found the net 2 times, with Carlos Dotor scoring 1. Rafita, Juan Cruz and Pablo Martinez are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Alfonso Herrero managing one clean sheet.
Sociedad have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, averaging 4.6 shots on goal, 12.2 attempts and 1.6 goals. Los Txuri-Urdin average 48.9% possession, 452.0 passes, 6.6 corners taken and 4.5 corners against them, while 2.0 goals have been conceded from 15.9 attempts and 6.5 shots on goal.
Orri Oskarsson and Luka Sucic have top scored with 3, while Ander Barrenetxea is next on 2. Carlos Soler, Job Ochieng and Mikel Oyarzabal have had 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Alex Remiro has one clean sheet to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Málaga predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Fernando Calero, Angel Recio, Rafita, Rafa Rodriguez, David Larrubia, Dani Lorenzo, Pablo Martinez, Joaquin Munoz, Chupe.
Real Sociedad predicted lineup (4-4-2): Alex Remiro (GK), Benat Turrientes, Jon Martin, Mamadou Sarr, Sergio Gomez, Ander Barrenetxea, Yangel Herrera, Carlos Soler, Goncalo Guedes, Luka Sucic, Arsen Zakharyan.
Main Match Prediction
When Málaga line up for this La Liga game, we will back them at -112 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The La Liga experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 52.9% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Málaga to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.
Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Sociedad
Málaga can be backed at +900 to triumph by a 2-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.
Player Prop Picks
Luka Sucic (Sociedad) has finished with one or more shots on goal in three straight La Liga away matches. The numbers imply that he can succeed with our Overs bet and we’re delighted to take the +116 available.
Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad) has scored two goals in his past seven La Liga matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +330 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
It has been seven consecutive Real Sociedad matches involving the 9.5 Total Corners line being covered, with four straight Málaga home games seeing the same thing happen. There are odds of -112 being served up when it comes to this Total Corners wager and we think the teams can cover the line.
Málaga
Sociedad
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a same-game multi and the legs include Málaga with the +0.25 Asian Handicap, at least three goals to be scored accompanied by Luka Sucic (Sociedad) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Málaga vs Real Sociedad Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Real Sociedad are the +120 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 45% chance of winning this La Liga encounter according to the latest betting odds. Málaga are regarded as the least likely winner at +220.
Sociedad can be backed at -179 on the Draw No Bet and you’ll get stakes refunded if the game ends level. Alternatively, Málaga can be chanced at +123 on the same market.
If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -172 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to La Liga matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.
There is +128 available that Mikel Oyarzabal finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +350.
Stats: Last 10 League matches only.
Málaga have failed to win in their last seven matches at Estadio La Rosaleda. The Andalusia outfit have racked up six draws, two wins and two losses in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.10.
Sociedad have clocked up five losses, three draws and two wins in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 2.10.
Sociedad beat Málaga 1-0 when they last met at Estadio La Rosaleda.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga Home Stats |
2-6-2 | 2.20 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |
| Real Sociedad Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 3.60 | 1.50 | 2.10 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Málaga League Stats
Real Sociedad League Stats
- 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 2 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Málaga this season are Adrian Nino (2), Carlos Dotor (1), Chupe (1)
- Top Assistors for Málaga this season are Juan Cruz (1), Pablo Martinez (1), Rafita (1)
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Málaga vs Real Sociedad Lineups & Team News
Check the Málaga vs Sociedad team news before you place your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Málaga Predicted Lineup 4-1-4-1
Real Sociedad Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Málaga Predicted Lineup 4-1-4-1
Real Sociedad Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Previous Málaga Lineups
Previous Real Sociedad Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Málaga Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Juan Funes
Real Sociedad Player Stats & Squad
La Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | 13 |
| 7 | Alavés | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:17 | 6 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
| 20 | Málaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 12 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Alavés | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 7 | Getafe | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Deportivo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Levante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 18 | Málaga | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | Elche | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 1 |
| 20 | Valencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | 1 |
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