Málaga vs Villarreal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Sep 2026
Málaga vs Villarreal Predictions
Málaga look like the value bet on the Asian Handicap against Villarreal. You can get the home team at +0.5 at -119 which means a return if Los Boquerones draw or win, with both outcomes possible here.
Continue reading for our complete Málaga vs Villarreal betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Málaga vs Villarreal Preview
Málaga welcome Villarreal to Estadio La Rosaleda, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Thursday 17 September.
Newcomers Málaga remain winless in La Liga, picking up just three points from their first five matches. Juan Funes' side played out a 1-1 draw away to Celta Vigo at Estadio Balaídos last time out, enjoying 55% possession and recording two shots on target, with Adrian Nino finding the net.
Villarreal are also without a league win this season, collecting two points from five games and losing their last three. El Submarino Amarillo suffered a 2-1 home defeat against Real Betis at Estadio de la Ceramica in their previous outing, despite having 62% possession and registering eight shots on target, with Gerard Moreno on the scoresheet.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |  Villarreal |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 20 |  Málaga |
11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 8:21 | 5 |
Málaga have 3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. The Andalusia club have averaged 51.9% possession and 5.1 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.2 corners from 3.9 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts.
Top scorer Chupe has found the net 4 times, David Larrubia 2, with Adrian Nino and Joaquin Munoz both scoring 1. Pablo Martinez, Joaquin Munoz and Chupe have recorded the most assists with 1 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Alfonso Herrero has kept one clean sheet.
Villarreal have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 2.0 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. Inigo Perez's team have averaged 56.2% possession, 532.0 passes, 6.7 corners taken and 4.3 corners against, while conceding 1.8 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts.
Georges Mikautadze has scored 5, followed by Gerard Moreno, Nicolas Pepe and Ayoze Perez with 3 goals apiece. Nicolas Pepe has managed 4 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Málaga confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Angel Recio, Einar Galilea, Jose Salinas, Izan Merino, Juan Cruz, David Larrubia, Carlos Dotor, Pablo Martinez, Chupe.
Villarreal confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Alex Freeman, Pau Navarro, Renato Veiga, Sergi Cardona, Ilias Akhomach, Nathan Saliba, Santi Comesana, Tajon Buchanan, Alberto Moleiro, Ayoze Perez.
Main Match Prediction
Málaga are a confident choice with a +0.5 goal start. The home team should be able to win or draw this La Liga game, with this Asian Handicap prediction looking like a value bet at -119.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
It’s always a case of checking out the latest La Liga team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 54.3% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
The betting sites give you the chance to buy or sell goals, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.
Maximize your first bet with the latest betting promotions. Our guide covers all the top welcome bonuses out there.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Villarreal
Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +540. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal) has covered the 1.5 shots total in his past two La Liga matches. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -116.
Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal) has racked up two goals in his past five La Liga games. It’s worth a play on the +205 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Málaga in four straight games, while the past three Villarreal away matches have seen over 4.5 corners conceded. We endorse betting on the -106 that Málaga successfully cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.
Málaga
Villarreal
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our bet builder which has the following: Málaga with the +0.5 Asian Handicap, both teams to find the net and Málaga Over 4.5 corners.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Málaga vs Villarreal Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Villarreal as +107 favourites for this La Liga encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 48% likely to triumph. Málaga are the +250 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.
If you fancy Villarreal but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -208. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Málaga at +140 on the Draw No Bet market.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -192.
Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to La Liga matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.
There is +130 available that Georges Mikautadze finds the net, while he is available at +390 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Stats: Last 10 League matches only.
Málaga haven’t been beaten in six straight games at Estadio La Rosaleda. Los Boquerones have collected six draws, three wins and one defeat in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Villarreal haven’t triumphed in six straight games on the road. El Submarino Amarillo have racked up five draws, four losses and one victory in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga Home Stats |
3-6-1 | 2.40 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | |
| Villarreal Away Stats |
1-5-4 | 2.60 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Málaga League Stats
Villarreal League Stats
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 1 defeat and 6 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Málaga this season are Adrian Nino (1), Chupe (1)
- Top Assistors for Málaga this season are Pablo Martinez (1)
Málaga vs Villarreal Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Málaga vs Villarreal team news before placing your bets. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga and the newest injury information.
Málaga Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Villarreal Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Málaga Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Villarreal Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Málaga Substitutes
- 5Alex Pastor
- 6Ramon Enriquez
- 11Joaquin Munoz
- 13Carlos Lopez
- 14Rafa Rodriguez
- 17Eneko Jauregi
- 21Adrian Nino
- 22Dani Lorenzo
- 25Juan Berrocal
- 31Rafita
- 32Juan Fernandez
Villarreal Substitutes
- 1Luiz Junior
- 2Logan Costa
- 5Alassane Diatta
- 7Gerard Moreno
- 9Georges Mikautadze
- 13Ruben Gomez
- 15Santiago Mourino
- 16Carlos Macia
- 18Pape Gueye
- 19Nicolas Pepe
- 20Carlos Romero
- 21Tani Oluwaseyi
Previous Málaga Lineups
Previous Villarreal Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Málaga Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Juan Funes
Villarreal Player Stats & Squad
La Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Alavés | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportivo | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Racing Club | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 16 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 18 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | 9 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 20 | Málaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8:21 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17:3 | 15 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Racing Club | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 6 | Alavés | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Getafe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 10 | Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 8 |
| 12 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 14 | Levante | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 16 | Villarreal | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 18 | Málaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Valencia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | 2 |
| 20 | Elche | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 1 |
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