Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 May 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Manchester City vs Aston Villa

Premier League runners-up Manchester City go head-to-head with Europa League winners Aston Villa at Etihad Stadium, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Sunday 24 May.

We think this game carry greater importance for Manchester City, who will want to give Pep Guardiola a fitting farewell at the Etihad, than for Aston Villa, who may still be recovering from celebrating Europa League glory in Istanbul on Wednesday night.

There’s every reason to expect a big win for City. If you agree, then you can get odds of -103 about them at -1.75 on the Asian Handicap, with our stake going equally on -1.5 and -2.0.

Manchester City played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Vitality Stadium against Bournemouth. The Citizens boasted 55% possession and recorded five shots on target, with Erling Haaland being the goalscorer.

Aston Villa claimed a 4-2 home win over Liverpool at Villa Park in their previous Premier League game. Unai Emery's men recorded 45% possession and had nine shots on goal, with Ollie Watkins scoring two, while Morgan Rogers and John McGinn also found the net.

On Wednesday night, Villa were crowned Europa League champions after a commanding 3-0 victory over Freiburg at Tupras Stadyumu in Istanbul.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa overcame City in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 1-0 home triumph at Villa Park. The 10 H2H games most recently played have featured six City wins, one draw and three victories for Villa.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Man City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

6 wins and 4 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 19.4 attempts. City have had 65.8% possession, 631.6 passes and 8.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.8 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Erling Haaland has found the net 5 times, with Jeremy Doku and Antoine Semenyo scoring 4 and 3 respectively. Leading assistor is Rayan Cherki with 5, while goalie Gianluigi Donnarumma has recorded 5 clean sheets.

Villa have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.6 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 53.6% possession, 449.0 passes, 4.9 corners awarded and 5.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts.

Ollie Watkins has top scored with 6, while John McGinn, Morgan Rogers and Ross Barkley are next on 2. Lucas Digne, Ollie Watkins and John McGinn are top assists providers with 2, while Emiliano Martinez has recorded one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Manchester City confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): James Trafford (GK), Rico Lewis, John Stones, Ruben Dias, Nathan Ake, Bernardo Silva, Nico Gonzalez, Antoine Semenyo, Tijjani Reijnders, Savinho, Phil Foden.

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Marco Bizot (GK), Andres Garcia, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Tyrone Mings, Ian Maatsen, Lamare Bogarde, Douglas Luiz, Leon Bailey, Ross Barkley, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Manchester City vs Aston Villa tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Man City should finish well clear of Villa and we’re playing the -1.75 on the Asian Handicap. It means that tempting betting odds of -103 are available for this Premier League clash.

The Premier League tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.

Key Manchester City vs Aston Villa league stats:

• The -1.75 line has been covered by City in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -1.75 line has been covered by City in 2 consecutive games at home.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 50.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are bigger odds available to bettors who are willing to move the line. If you’re prepared for additional risk, more juice can be landed from your betting selections.

Discover top betting offers to power your next wager, including free bets, welcome bonuses, and exciting new promos.

Our Match Prediction

City Asian Hcp -1.75 @ -103 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 22, 17:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Man City 3 - 0 Aston Villa

City can be backed to win 3-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +900 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Morgan Rogers Over 1.5 Shots -156

Morgan Rogers (Villa) has fired over 1.5 shots in five consecutive Premier League matches on the road. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Player Shots line which is on offer at odds of -156.

Latest Morgan Rogers Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+1050

Shots

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

---

Erling Haaland to Score -167

Erling Haaland (City) has been among the goals in his past five Premier League matches. We’ll take a chance at -167 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Erling Haaland Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-159

First

+245

Shots

Over 4.5

+135

Under 4.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners +102

All of the past eight City games has seen the 10.5 Total Corners line covered. The amount of corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of +102.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Man City

Total

12.60 8.90 3.70

Home

9.70 6.60 3.10

Away

11.20 7.50 3.70

Aston Villa

Total

9.90 4.90 5.00

Home

10.70 5.80 4.90

Away

9.70 5.10 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-149

Under 9.5

+105

Man City Corners

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-132

Aston Villa Corners

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-357

X

+800

2

+325

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You might not get rich backing Manchester City at -263 to win this Premier League clash although these betting odds imply a 72% chance that the favourites end up winning. Aston Villa are the outsiders at +600 which suggests a low likelihood of winning.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then City are -135 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Villa are +460 and the draw is priced at +175.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -179.

The best football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Premier League games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-263

X

+440

2

+600

Half-Time Result

1

-135

X

+175

2

+460

Double Chance

1X

-1111

12

-667

X2

+200

Draw No Bet

1

-833

2

+400

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-104

2 Hcp +1.5

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+200

Over 2.5

-263

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-179

No

+130

Erling Haaland is the market leader at +245 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

+245

Anytime

-159

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+450

Anytime

+140

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+500

Anytime

+160

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+190

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+750

Anytime

+220

Phil Foden (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+230

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

First

+900

Anytime

+270

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+900

Anytime

+270

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+1050

Anytime

+300

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+950

Anytime

+310

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+1000

Anytime

+320

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+1000

Anytime

+320

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+1200

Anytime

+360

John Stones (City)

First

+1300

Anytime

+400

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+1700

Anytime

+500

Ross Barkley (Villa)

First

+2000

Anytime

+600

Nathan Aké (City)

First

+2200

Anytime

+600

Josko Gvardiol (City)

First

+2000

Anytime

+600

Marc Guéhi (City)

First

+1900

Anytime

+600

Max Alleyne (City)

First

+2000

Anytime

+600

Nico Gonzalez (City)

First

+1900

Anytime

+600

Mateo Kovacic (City)

First

+1900

Anytime

+600

Abdukodir Khusanov (City)

First

+2000

Anytime

+650

Rico Lewis (City)

First

+2200

Anytime

+650

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+2200

Anytime

+650

Rodri (City)

First

+2200

Anytime

+700

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+2200

Anytime

+700

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

First

+2200

Anytime

+700

Matheus Nunes (City)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Rayan Aït Nouri (City)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 4.5

+135

Under 4.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Abdukodir Khusanov (City)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Rico Lewis (City)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 0.5

-333

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Kovacic (City)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Nico Gonzalez (City)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Marc Guéhi (City)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Josko Gvardiol (City)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Nathan Aké (City)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Ross Barkley (Villa)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

John Stones (City)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Rayan Aït Nouri (City)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Premier League matches only
Manchester City are unbeaten over their previous ten games at Etihad Stadium. The Citizens have clocked up seven wins and three draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.60.

Aston Villa have not triumphed in six straight away matches. The Birmingham side have managed four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

The previous Etihad Stadium encounter involved a 2-1 City win against Villa. The past 6 H2H games at Etihad Stadium have resulted in City winning each time.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Manchester City Home Stats		7-3-0	2.80	2.20	0.60	7	3	5	5
Aston Villa Away Stats		2-4-4	2.50	1.00	1.50	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the City vs Villa team news before wagering. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League along with up-to-date injury news.

Manchester City Team Page Aston Villa Team Page

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages