Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 May 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Manchester City vs Aston Villa

Manchester City go head-to-head with Aston Villa at Etihad Stadium, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Sunday 24 May.

There’s every reason to expect a big win for Man City against Aston Villa. If you agree, then you can get odds of -103 about them at -1.75 on the Asian Handicap, with our stake going equally on -1.5 and -2.0.

Manchester City played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Vitality Stadium against Bournemouth. The Citizens boasted 55% possession and recorded five shots on target, with Erling Haaland being the goalscorer.

Aston Villa claimed a 4-2 home win over Liverpool at Villa Park in their previous Premier League game. Unai Emery's men recorded 45% possession and had nine shots on goal, with Ollie Watkins scoring two, while Morgan Rogers and John McGinn also found the net.

On Wednesday night, Villa beat Freiburg 3-0 in the Europa League at Tupras Stadyumu.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa overcame City in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 1-0 home triumph at Villa Park. The 10 H2H games most recently played have featured six City wins, one draw and three victories for Villa.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Man City	37	23	9	5	76	33	43	76:33	78
4	Aston Villa	37	18	8	11	54	48	6	54:48	62

View Full Table

6 wins and 4 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 19.4 attempts. City have had 65.8% possession, 631.6 passes and 8.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.8 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Erling Haaland has found the net 5 times, with Jeremy Doku and Antoine Semenyo scoring 4 and 3 respectively. Leading assistor is Rayan Cherki with 5, while goalie Gianluigi Donnarumma has recorded 5 clean sheets.

Villa have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.6 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 53.6% possession, 449.0 passes, 4.9 corners awarded and 5.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts.

Ollie Watkins has top scored with 6, while John McGinn, Morgan Rogers and Ross Barkley are next on 2. Lucas Digne, Ollie Watkins and John McGinn are top assists providers with 2, while Emiliano Martinez has recorded one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Manchester City predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Matheus Nunes, Abdukodir Khusanov, Marc Guehi, Nico O'Reilly, Rodri, Antoine Semenyo, Bernardo Silva, Mateo Kovacic, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland.

Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Manchester City vs Aston Villa tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Man City should finish well clear of their opponents and we’re playing the -1.75 on the Asian Handicap. It means that tempting betting odds of -103 are available for this Premier League clash.

The Premier League tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.

Key Manchester City vs Aston Villa league stats:

• The -1.75 line has been covered by City in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -1.75 line has been covered by City in 2 consecutive games at home.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 50.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are bigger odds available to bettors who are willing to move the line. If you’re prepared for additional risk, more juice can be landed from your betting selections.

Discover top betting offers to power your next wager, including free bets, welcome bonuses, and exciting new promos.

Our Match Prediction

City Asian Hcp -1.75 @ -103 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 22, 17:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Man City 3 - 0 Aston Villa

Man City can be backed to win 3-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +850 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Morgan Rogers Over 1.5 Shots -156

Morgan Rogers (Villa) has fired over 1.5 shots in five consecutive Premier League matches on the road. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Player Shots line which is on offer at odds of -156.

Latest Morgan Rogers Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+1100

Shots

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

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Erling Haaland to Score -167

Erling Haaland (City) has been among the goals in his past five Premier League matches. We’ll take a chance at -167 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Erling Haaland Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-167

First

+250

Shots

Over 4.5

-106

Under 4.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners +102

All of the past eight City games has seen the 10.5 Total Corners line covered. The amount of corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of +102.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Man City

Total

12.60 8.90 3.70

Home

9.70 6.60 3.10

Away

11.20 7.50 3.70

Aston Villa

Total

9.90 4.90 5.00

Home

10.70 5.80 4.90

Away

9.70 5.10 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-147

Man City Corners

Over 6.5

-111

Under 6.5

-127

Aston Villa Corners

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-370

X

+800

2

+330

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You might not get rich backing Manchester City at -333 to win this Premier League clash although these betting odds imply a 77% chance that the favourites end up winning. Aston Villa are the outsiders at +750 which suggests a low likelihood of winning.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then City are -159 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Villa are +510 and the draw is priced at +195.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -182.

The best football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Premier League games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-333

X

+500

2

+750

Half-Time Result

1

-159

X

+195

2

+510

Double Chance

1X

-1429

12

-833

X2

+245

Draw No Bet

1

-1111

2

+480

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-103

2 Hcp +1.75

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+245

Over 2.5

-333

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+133

Erling Haaland is the market leader at +250 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-167

Anytime

+250

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+130

Anytime

+440

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+145

Anytime

+500

Phil Foden (City)

First

+200

Anytime

+700

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+220

Anytime

+750

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+220

Anytime

+800

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+230

Anytime

+800

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+270

Anytime

+900

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+300

Anytime

+1050

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+310

Anytime

+1100

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

First

+320

Anytime

+1150

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+500

Anytime

+1700

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+510

Anytime

+1800

Marc Guéhi (City)

First

+525

Anytime

+1800

Ross Barkley (Villa)

First

+550

Anytime

+2000

Nico Gonzalez (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

John Stones (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Nathan Aké (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Rodri (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Josko Gvardiol (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Rico Lewis (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Max Alleyne (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Matheus Nunes (City)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Rayan Aït Nouri (City)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Abdukodir Khusanov (City)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 4.5

-106

Under 4.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Rayan Aït Nouri (City)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Rico Lewis (City)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Josko Gvardiol (City)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Nathan Aké (City)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

John Stones (City)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Nico Gonzalez (City)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Ross Barkley (Villa)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Marc Guéhi (City)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Abdukodir Khusanov (City)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Premier League matches only
Man City are unbeaten over their previous ten games at Etihad Stadium. The Citizens have clocked up seven wins and three draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.60.

Aston Villa have not triumphed in six straight away matches. Unai Emery's men have managed four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

The previous Etihad Stadium encounter involved a 2-1 City win against Villa. The past 6 H2H games at Etihad Stadium have resulted in City winning each time.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Manchester City Home Stats		7-3-0	2.80	2.20	0.60	7	3	5	5
Aston Villa Away Stats		2-4-4	2.50	1.00	1.50	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the City vs Villa team news before wagering. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League along with up-to-date injury news.

Manchester City Team Page Aston Villa Team Page

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