Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2026
Premier League Betting Preview: Manchester United vs Liverpool
Manchester United and Liverpool meet in a Premier League blockbuster at Old Trafford, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 3 May.
United look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap 0.0. The appeal of this bet is that we win at -164 if the Red Devils beat Liverpool, with stakes returned if the match ends in a draw.
Considering recent form, xG data and the injury situation, where Liverpool are missing star strikers Alexander Isak and Mohamed Salah, most indicators point towards a home win. United have won six of their last seven home games, while Liverpool have lost four of their last five away. United also won this season’s head-to-head meeting at Anfield.
Manchester United have enjoyed back-to-back Premier League wins, most recently beating Brentford 2-1. It was a home victory at Old Trafford. Michael Carrick's side had six shots on target and 45% possession, with Casemiro and Benjamin Sesko scoring one goal apiece.
Liverpool claimed a home win in their previous game. A 3-1 triumph against Crystal Palace at Anfield made it three consecutive victories. The Merseyside team enjoyed 53% possession and three shots on goal, with Alexander Isak, Andrew Robertson and Florian Wirtz on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The most recent head-to-head saw United land a 2-1 away victory over Liverpool at Anfield. Liverpool have landed four victories, United have three wins and there’s been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Man United |
36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 63:48 | 65 |
| 4 | Liverpool |
36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 48 | 12 | 60:48 | 59 |
United have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 14.4 attempts. The Red Devils have averaged 53.4% possession, 497.4 passes and 5.5 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.9 corners from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts.
Top scorer Benjamin Sesko has found the net 5 times, with Casemiro and Bruno Fernandes getting 4 and 3 respectively. Bruno Fernandes is the leading assists maker with 7, while goalie Senne Lammens has 3 clean sheets.
Liverpool have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, averaging 15.5 attempts, 4.8 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. Arne Slot's team average 55.1% possession, 488.1 passes, 6.7 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts.
Virgil van Dijk and Mohamed Salah have top scored with 3, while Dominik Szoboszlai is next on 2. Alexis Mac Allister, Cody Gakpo and Dominik Szoboszlai have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Alisson Becker has 2 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Manchester United confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Senne Lammens (GK), Diogo Dalot, Harry Maguire, Ayden Heaven, Luke Shaw, Casemiro, Kobbie Mainoo, Bryan Mbeumo, Bruno Fernandes, Matheus Cunha, Benjamin Sesko.
Liverpool confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Freddie Woodman (GK), Curtis Jones, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson, Jeremie Frimpong, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Cody Gakpo, Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz.
Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips
We dive into the best Manchester United vs Liverpool betting angles, including a key match prediction, our corners pick, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.
Match Prediction
We think Man United are a good bet at 0.0 on the Asian Handicap for this Premier League game. This selection makes appeal at odds of -164, with a win expected for the home team.
It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Premier League action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.
Key Manchester United vs Liverpool league stats:
The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 62.1% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you want to pimp the odds about United covering the Asian Handicap line, you might consider going down the Bet Builder route and combine this selection with other picks.
Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
We’re taking a correct score bet which involves United to win 2-1. The odds of +800 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.
Player Prop Picks
Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool) has finished with over 1.5 shots in three consecutive Premier League matches on the road. We’ve decided to back him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line looking attractive at odds of -149.
Benjamin Sesko (United) has managed three goals in his past five Premier League matches on home soil. There are odds of +145 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past five home games, United have covered the 4.5 corners line, with Liverpool conceding 5.20 corners on average in their previous 5 matches. We’re content to wager the -159 for United to cover the Team Corners line as this looks appealing.
Man United
Liverpool
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’re happy to go with a same-game multi that has United with the 0.0 Asian Handicap, BTTS Yes merged with Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool) to cover the 1.5 Player Shots line.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
Manchester United vs Liverpool Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have priced up the Full-Time Result betting odds and Manchester United are +138 to land a Premier League victory, while Liverpool are +175 to win. The draw is trading at +270 should you think the clash will end all square.
You can back United at +175 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Liverpool are +220 and the draw is chalked up at +145.
For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -250 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest Premier League game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.
Benjamin Sesko is priced at +460 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +150 to find the net anytime.
United have managed seven victories, two losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Liverpool have secured four wins, three draws and three defeats in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
The past meeting at Old Trafford saw Liverpool defeat United 3-0. Both teams have three wins each from the past 9 H2H meetings at Old Trafford, along with three draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Manchester United Home Stats |
7-1-2 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
Liverpool Away Stats |
4-3-3 | 2.90 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 19/10 2025 Liverpool 1 Man United 2
- Premier League: 05/01 2025 Liverpool 2 Man United 2
- Premier League: 01/09 2024 Man United 0 Liverpool 3
- Premier League: 07/04 2024 Man United 2 Liverpool 2
- FA Cup: 17/03 2024 Man United 4 Liverpool 3
- Premier League: 17/12 2023 Liverpool 0 Man United 0
- Premier League: 05/03 2023 Liverpool 7 Man United 0
- Premier League: 22/08 2022 Man United 2 Liverpool 1
- Premier League: 19/04 2022 Liverpool 4 Man United 0
- Premier League: 24/10 2021 Man United 0 Liverpool 5
Manchester United League Stats
Liverpool League Stats
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 55.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Manchester United this season are Benjamin Sesko (10), Bryan Mbeumo (9), Casemiro (9)
- Top Assistors for Manchester United this season are Bruno Fernandes (19), Bryan Mbeumo (3), Diogo Dalot (3)
Manchester United vs Liverpool Lineups & Team News
The latest United vs Liverpool team news could impact your bets — review it first. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and the latest injury reports.
Manchester United Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Liverpool Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Manchester United Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Liverpool Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Manchester United Substitutes
- 1Altay Bayindir
- 3Noussair Mazraoui
- 7Mason Mount
- 11Joshua Zirkzee
- 12Tyrell Malacia
- 13Patrick Dorgu
- 15Leny Yoro
- 16Amad
- 25Manuel Ugarte
Liverpool Substitutes
- 2Joseph Gomez
- 6Milos Kerkez
- 14Federico Chiesa
- 41Armin Pecsi
- 42Trey Nyoni
- 68Kieran Morrison
- 73Rio Ngumoha
- 75Mor Talla Ndiaye
- 79Will Wright
Previous Manchester United Lineups
Previous Liverpool Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Manchester United Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Michael Carrick
Liverpool Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 68:26 | 79 |
| 2 | Man City | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 72:32 | 74 |
| 3 | Man United | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 63:48 | 65 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 60:48 | 59 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50:46 | 59 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 56:52 | 55 |
| 7 | Brighton | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 52:42 | 53 |
| 8 | Brentford | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 52:49 | 51 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 55:49 | 49 |
| 10 | Everton | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 46:46 | 49 |
| 11 | Fulham | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 44:50 | 48 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 37:46 | 48 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 46 |
| 14 | Leeds | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 48:53 | 44 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 38:44 | 44 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 45:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 46:55 | 38 |
| 18 | West Ham | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 42:62 | 36 |
| 19 | Burnley | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37:73 | 21 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 25:66 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 40:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Man City | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 41:12 | 42 |
| 3 | Man United | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36:22 | 39 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 33:19 | 35 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28:20 | 35 |
| 6 | Brighton | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 30:17 | 33 |
| 7 | Fulham | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 28:20 | 32 |
| 8 | Brentford | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 31:19 | 31 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 28:19 | 30 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 23:19 | 30 |
| 11 | Leeds | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28:21 | 29 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 33:29 | 29 |
| 13 | Everton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25:24 | 23 |
| 14 | Chelsea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 23 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 18:21 | 21 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 17 | West Ham | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:30 | 19 |
| 18 | Wolverhampton | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18:33 | 13 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21:31 | 12 |
| 20 | Burnley | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17:28 | 12 |
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