Marseille vs Lens Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Jan 2026

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Marseille vs Lens

Third-placed Marseille take on second-placed Lens at Stade Vélodrome, with kick-off set for 15:05 on Saturday 24 January.

We feel confident when it comes to wagering Lens +0.5 on the Asian Handicap against Marseille. Securing a price of -122 looks like the way forward and we need a win or draw here.

Marseille won their last Ligue 1 game. It was on the road where Angers were beaten 5-2 at Stade Raymond Kopa. Roberto De Zerbi's team recorded ten shots on target and boasted 66% possession, with Amine Gouiri being among the scorers in a goalfest where five different players found the net.

On Wednesday night, Marseille were beaten 3-0 at home to Liverpool in the Champions League.

Lens claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 1-0 triumph against AJ Auxerre at Stade Bollaert-Delelis made it eight straight wins. The Pas-de-Calais club recorded seven shots on goal and had 49% possession, with Wesley Said finding the net in the 65th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Lens have claimed victories in the last two encounters against Marseille. When hosting at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, there was a 2-1 scoreline and that came after a 1-0 away win at Stade Vélodrome. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen six Lens wins, three Marseille victories and one draw.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66	35	31	66:35	70
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63	45	18	63:45	59

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts. Marseille have had 60.5% possession, 595.3 passes and 4.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.1 corners.

Mason Greenwood leads the way with 6 goals, Igor Paixao has 3, with Timothy Weah and two others on 2. Leading assistor is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang with 4, while goalie Geronimo Rulli has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Lens have won 9 and lost 1, with an average of 14.2 attempts, 6.0 shots on goal and 2.0 goals. Les Sang et Or average 53.1% possession, 493.7 passes, 5.4 corners in their favour and 3.7 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.

Wesley Said is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, Odsonne Edouard is on 5 and Florian Thauvin on 3. Matthieu Udol has managed 5 assists in the last 10 games, while Robin Risser has 5 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Marseille confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Geronimo Rulli (GK), Leonardo Balerdi, Nayef Aguerd, Facundo Medina, Timothy Weah, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, Quinten Timber, Igor Paixao, Ethan Nwaneri, Hamed Traore, Amine Gouiri.

Lens confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Robin Risser (GK), Pierre Ganiou, Malang Sarr, Matthieu Udol, Saud Abdulhamid, Adrien Thomasson, Mamadou Sangare, Ruben Aguilar, Florian Thauvin, Wesley Said, Odsonne Edouard.

Marseille vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips

The Marseille vs Lens betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, our best corners bet, player prop picks, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re optimistic when it comes to our bet on Lens +0.5 at odds of -122. The visitors should be able to swerve a loss in this Ligue 1 match and this wager has the numbers to back up our verdict.

The latest Ligue 1 injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Marseille vs Lens league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Lens in 8 consecutive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Lens in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Lens in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 2 consecutive games against Lens.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 54.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There’s an opportunity to land bigger odds thanks to selling goals on your Asian Handicap wager. If you want a safer wager, buying goals could be the way forward.

Tap into great value before you bet. Our guide rounds up today’s best free bets, promo codes and sign-up promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Lens Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -122 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 22, 21:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Marseille 1 - 1 Lens

One bet that has caught our eye is a 1-1 correct score draw. This selection is available at +575 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Adrien Thomasson Over 0.5 Shots -167

Adrien Thomasson (Lens) has had one or more shots in five consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the -167 when it comes to this Player Shots wager.

Latest Adrien Thomasson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1800

Shots

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

---

Florian Thauvin to Score +270

Florian Thauvin (Lens) has netted three goals in his past five Ligue 1 matches. We’re happy to take the +270 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Florian Thauvin Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+700

Shots

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -143

It has been four straight Lens away games involving the 8.5 Total Corners line being covered, with three consecutive Marseille home matches seeing the same thing happen. The stats suggest that it’s worth backing Over for Total Corners, with -143 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Marseille

Total

9.00 4.90 4.10

Home

8.10 5.20 2.90

Away

10.10 5.70 4.40

Lens

Total

9.10 5.40 3.70

Home

11.60 6.50 5.10

Away

8.20 4.70 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-132

Marseille Corners

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-149

Lens Corners

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-167

X

+650

2

+170

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Marseille vs Lens Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have Marseille as -104 favourites for this Ligue 1 clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 51% likely to win. If you want to back the outsider, Lens are available at +240.

There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Marseille at -217 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Lens at +148.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -213.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Ligue 1 match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-104

X

+280

2

+240

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+150

2

+255

Double Chance

1X

-345

12

-417

X2

-128

Draw No Bet

1

-217

2

+148

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-105

2 Hcp +0.5

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-204

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-213

No

+155

The First Goalscorer favourite is Mason Greenwood at +400, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Mason Greenwood (OM)

First

+130

Anytime

+400

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

First

+155

Anytime

+475

Amine Gouiri (OM)

First

+170

Anytime

+500

Odsonne Edouard (Lens)

First

+190

Anytime

+550

Igor Paixão (OM)

First

+200

Anytime

+650

Neal Maupay (OM)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Ethan Nwaneri (OM)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Wesley Saïd (Lens)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Rayan Fofana (Lens)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Florian Thauvin (Lens)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Hamed Traorè (OM)

First

+270

Anytime

+850

Morgan Guilavogui (Lens)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Florian Sotoca (Lens)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Quinten Timber (OM)

First

+360

Anytime

+1050

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

First

+410

Anytime

+1300

Anthony Bermont (Lens)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Timothy Weah (OM)

First

+540

Anytime

+1500

Adrien Thomasson (Lens)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Mamadou Sangaré (Lens)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Andrija Bulatović (Lens)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Saud Abdulhamid (Lens)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Ismaelo Ganiou (Lens)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Matthieu Udol (Lens)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Mason Greenwood (OM)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-

Amine Gouiri (OM)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Odsonne Edouard (Lens)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Ethan Nwaneri (OM)

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

Rayan Fofana (Lens)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Hamed Traorè (OM)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Quinten Timber (OM)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Florian Thauvin (Lens)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Wesley Saïd (Lens)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Igor Paixão (OM)

Over 1.5

-250

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Bermont (Lens)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Timothy Weah (OM)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Adrien Thomasson (Lens)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Mamadou Sangaré (Lens)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Andrija Bulatović (Lens)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Ismaelo Ganiou (Lens)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Matthieu Udol (Lens)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Ligue 1 matches only
Marseille have racked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Lens are four wins from four on their travels. The Pas-de-Calais club have six wins, two draws and two losses in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Lens enjoyed a 1-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Marseille at Stade Vélodrome. In the past 5 H2H meetings at Stade Vélodrome, we have seen four Lens wins and one Marseille victory.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Marseille Home Stats		5-2-3	3.30	2.00	1.30	7	3	4	6
Lens Away Stats		6-2-2	2.60	1.60	1.00	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Marseille vs Lens Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Marseille vs Lens team news before placing your bets. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for Ligue 1 and all current injury news.

Olympique Marseille Team Page RC Lens Team Page

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