Metz vs Lorient Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 May 2026

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Metz vs Lorient

Metz host Lorient at Stade Saint-Symphorien, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 10 May.

There are reasons to suggest goals are on the cards for the Metz vs Lorient fixture. Therefore, backing Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market looks the ticket, especially at odds of -137.

Metz lost their last game, being beaten at home to Monaco 2-1 at Stade Saint-Symphorien. The Lorraine team enjoyed just 34% possession and had one shot on target, while Jessy Deminguet registered the goal.

Lorient played Paris Saint-Germain on the road in their previous game. It was a 2-2 draw at Parc des Princes. Les Merlus recorded just 31% possession and had three shots on goal, while Pablo Pagis and Aiyegun Tosin were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Stade du Moustoir played host to the last head-to-head where Lorient were at home to Metz. The clash ended in a 1-1 draw. The past 7 H2H meetings have resulted in three wins apiece along with a draw.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Lorient	32	10	12	10	44	49	-5	44:49	42
18	Metz	32	3	7	22	32	72	-40	32:72	16

View Full Table

7 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Metz have had 47.9% possession, 431.3 passes and 4.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.3 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 16.0 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.6 corners.

Top scorers are Giorgi Kvilitaia and Gauthier Hein on 2 goals, while Jessy Deminguet has racked up 1. Gauthier Hein has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Pape Sy has 2 clean sheets.

Lorient have won 2, lost 3 and drawn 5, averaging 4.3 shots on goal, 10.7 attempts and 1.5 goals. The Brittany club average 45.4% possession, 418.6 passes, 3.9 corners taken and 6.2 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 13.2 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

Bamba Dieng has recorded 6 goals, Pablo Pagis 3, with Aiyegun Tosin and Noah Cadiou both managing 2. Pablo Pagis has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Yvon Mvogo has one clean sheet to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Metz predicted lineup (4-3-3): Pape Sy (GK), Bouna Sarr, Sadibou Sane, Terry Yegbe, Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Benjamin Stambouli, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Jessy Deminguet, Nathan Mbala, Giorgi Kvilitaia, Gauthier Hein.

Lorient predicted lineup (4-4-2): Yvon Mvogo (GK), Nathaniel Adjei, Montassar Talbi, Abdoulaye Faye, Panos Katseris, Laurent Abergel, Noah Cadiou, Arsene Kouassi, Pablo Pagis, Arthur Avom, Bamba Dieng.

Metz vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Metz vs Lorient betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

The two Ligue 1 sides can combine to score three goals or more. We are therefore going to play Over 2.5 Goals at -137 in the expectation that we can land a solid return if our prediction is correct.

The first step involves analysing the form and also getting an idea of the injury situation before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of consulting the latest Ligue 1 stats and seeing if they can inform our opinion.

Key Metz vs Lorient league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Metz games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Metz games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Metz games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Lorient games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 5 of the last 7 games between these teams.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 57.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

It’s clear that a Bet Builder provides a bigger-priced option if you’re looking for more juice. Include Over 2.5 Goals and combine it with other picks to create a personalised wager.

Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -137 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 8, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Metz 2 - 1 Lorient

Our correct score prediction is a 2-1 win for Metz which is available at odds of +750. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gauthier Hein Over 1.5 Shots -122

Gauthier Hein (Metz) has finished with over 1.5 shots in his past two Ligue 1 games. The numbers imply that he can succeed with our Overs bet and we’re delighted to take the -122 available.

Latest Gauthier Hein Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+800

Shots

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

---

Giorgi Kvilitaia to Score +270

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz) has netted two goals in his past six Ligue 1 matches. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +270.

Latest Giorgi Kvilitaia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+750

Shots

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -115

All of the past four Metz games have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with an average of 11.80 corners in the last five Lorient matches. We’re content to wager the -115 for the teams to cover the Total Corners line as this looks appealing.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Metz

Total

10.40 4.80 5.60

Home

9.90 5.40 4.50

Away

8.20 2.80 5.40

Lorient

Total

10.10 3.90 6.20

Home

9.20 3.10 6.10

Away

9.40 3.70 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-122

Metz Corners

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-125

Lorient Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-116

Most Corners

1

+107

X

+600

2

-103

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Metz vs Lorient Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Some will want to go ahead and back Lorient at +112 to win this Ligue 1 encounter. After all, this betting price suggests a 47% chance that the favourites end up succeeding. Metz are the outsiders at +215 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

Lorient are available at odds of -116 on the Asian Handicap -0.25. With this bet, you need them to simply beat Metz to win, although a draw would see half your stake returned.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -167.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Ligue 1 coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the football bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+215

X

+260

2

+112

Half-Time Result

1

+250

X

+125

2

+170

Double Chance

1X

-152

12

-385

X2

-313

Draw No Bet

1

+125

2

-182

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-106

2 Hcp -0.25

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+106

Over 2.5

-137

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+123

Favourite Bamba Dieng is priced at +360 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of +130.

Bamba Dieng (Lorient)

First

+130

Anytime

+360

Pablo Pagis (Lorient)

First

+200

Anytime

+550

Habib Diallo (Metz)

First

+200

Anytime

+550

Nathan Mbala (Metz)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Aiyegun Tosin (Lorient)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Jean Victor Makengo (Lorient)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Dermane Karim (Lorient)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Lucas Michal (Metz)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Panos Katseris (Lorient)

First

+460

Anytime

+1300

Bouna Sarr (Metz)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Koffi Kouao (Metz)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Noah Cadiou (Lorient)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Arthur Avom (Lorient)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Laurent Abergel (Lorient)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Boubacar Traoré (Metz)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Jessy Deminguet (Metz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Bamba Dieng (Lorient)

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

-

Habib Diallo (Metz)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Aiyegun Tosin (Lorient)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Pablo Pagis (Lorient)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Nathan Mbala (Metz)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Jean Victor Makengo (Lorient)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Dermane Karim (Lorient)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Panos Katseris (Lorient)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Bouna Sarr (Metz)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Arthur Avom (Lorient)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Boubacar Traoré (Metz)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Laurent Abergel (Lorient)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Noah Cadiou (Lorient)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Koffi Kouao (Metz)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Michal (Metz)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

-

Jessy Deminguet (Metz)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Metz are winless in the last ten games at Stade Saint-Symphorien. The Lorraine team have clocked up eight losses and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 2.20.

Lorient haven’t won any of their past six away games. Les Merlus have recorded five draws, three losses and two wins in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

The last Stade Saint-Symphorien meeting saw Lorient beat Metz 2-1. In the past 3 H2H meetings at Stade Saint-Symphorien, we have seen two Metz wins and one Lorient victory.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Metz Home Stats		0-2-8	3.20	1.00	2.20	6	4	6	4
Lorient Away Stats		2-5-3	2.50	1.20	1.30	3	7	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Metz vs Lorient Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Metz vs Lorient without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Ligue 1 lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Metz Team Page Lorient Team Page

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