Mexico vs England Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Jul 2026
Mexico vs England Predictions
We’re confident England can defeat Mexico and are backing them on the Full-Time Result market. The Three Lions have the quality to get the job done inside 90 minutes and odds of +143 looks like solid value.
Continue below for our full Mexico vs England betting breakdown, where you can read the complete analysis of our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Mexico vs England Preview
Mexico square off against England in the FIFA World Cup Round of 16 at Mexico City Stadium (Estadio Azteca), with kick-off set for 21:00 on Sunday 5 July.
Mexico City Stadium is located 2,200 meters (over 7,200 feet) above sea level and is an open-air venue where thunderstorms and a temperature of 18°C (64°F) are expected at kick-off.
A perfect group-stage campaign saw Mexico finish top of Group A on nine points, five clear of second-placed South Africa. El Tri opened with a 2-0 victory over South Africa before edging past South Korea 1-0 and rounding off the group stage with a 3-0 win against the Czech Republic.
Mexico followed that up with a 2-0 success over Ecuador at Mexico City Stadium in the Round of 32. Despite seeing just 43% of possession and registering three shots on target, goals from Julian Quinones and Raul Jimenez secured progression.
England also topped their group, finishing one point ahead of Croatia in Group L. The Three Lions began with a 4-2 victory over Croatia, followed by a goalless draw against Ghana before defeating Panama 2-0.
Thomas Tuchel's side then booked their place in the Round of 16 with a 2-1 victory over DR Congo at Atlanta Stadium. England recorded 60% possession and seven shots on target, while Harry Kane struck twice.
England Have Won Last Four Mexico Meetings
England have the stronger head-to-head record against Mexico, winning six of their nine previous meetings. The Three Lions have won each of the last four encounters, including a 3-1 friendly victory at Wembley in 2010, which remains the most recent clash between the nations.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mexico |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 1 |  England |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6:2 | 7 |
Mexico have 9 wins and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts. Javier Aguirre's team have averaged 56.3% possession and 4.0 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.3 goals from 1.7 shots on goal, 6.0 attempts and 3.1 corners.
Top goalscorer Raul Jimenez has found the net 5 times, with Julian Quinones and Cesar Montes scoring 3 each. Leading assistor is Roberto Alvarado with 3, while goalie Jose Rangel has recorded 4 clean sheets.
England have won 9 and drawn 1, with an average of 7.5 shots on goal, 18.2 attempts and 2.5 goals. The Three Lions average 67.9% possession, 641.9 passes, 7.5 corners awarded and 2.4 corners against, while 0.3 goals have been conceded from 6.0 attempts and 1.6 shots on goal.
Harry Kane has top scored with 11, while Jude Bellingham, Marcus Rashford and Eberechi Eze are next on 2. Declan Rice is top assists provider with 3, while Jordan Pickford and Dean Henderson have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Mexico confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Jose Rangel (GK), Jorge Sanchez, Cesar Montes, Johan Vasquez, Jesus Gallardo, Gilberto Mora, Erik Lira, Luis Romo, Roberto Alvarado, Raul Jimenez, Julian Quinones.
England confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford (GK), Jarell Quansah, Ezri Konsa, Marc Guehi, Nico O'Reilly, Declan Rice, Elliot Anderson, Bukayo Saka, Jude Bellingham, Anthony Gordon, Harry Kane.
Main Match Prediction
We really like England at odds of +143 to win this Round of 16 game, with this bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.
The altitude, home advantage and Mexico's outstanding record at Mexico City Stadium all favour the co-hosts, with El Tri losing just twice in 96 matches at the venue since 1957.
However, an expected temperature of just 18 degrees, poor weather and hydration breaks should make conditions more manageable for England. With the Three Lions boasting so much quality and Harry Kane in top form, we’re siding with Tuchel’s men. The odds look too big to ignore.
Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest World Cup stats when making our football predictions.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 41.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 50% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
Bettors who are interested in backing England at bigger odds can pair this pick with another selection on the Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets.
Unlock the best welcome bonuses and free bet offers before you wager—check our updated betting promo code guide today.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
England
A 1-0 win in favor of England is available at odds of +575. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Harry Kane (England) has had over 2.5 shots in five straight games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Player Shots line which is available at odds of -141.
Jude Bellingham (England) has netted two goals in his past five games. There are odds of +350 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
England have had over 4.5 corners in ten straight games, with Mexico conceding over 4.5 corners in their past two games. If you agree with our verdict that the England Team Corners line is too low, go for odds of -102 that they go over.
Mexico
England
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’re happy to go with a bet builder that has England to triumph, two or less goals to be scored and England to finish with over 4.5 corners.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Mexico vs England Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Full-Time Result betting odds are available for this World Cup encounter and you can get +155 that England win and +215 that Mexico triumph. Those wanting to back the draw can get +195.
If England and Mexico play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at +110.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. If you think this points to a low-scoring or one-sided affair, then BTTS No could be an option at -130.
The best football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the World Cup matches.
Favourite Harry Kane is +350 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Mexico Stats
England Stats
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 2.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Mexico vs England Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the Mexico vs England team news before you bet. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the World Cup and the newest injury information.
Mexico Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
England Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Mexico Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
England Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Mexico Substitutes
- 4Edson Alvarez
- 8Alvaro Fidalgo
- 10Alexis Vega
- 11Santiago Gimenez
- 12Carlos Acevedo
- 13Guillermo Ochoa
- 14Armando Gonzalez
- 15Israel Reyes
- 17Orbelin Pineda
- 18Obed Vargas
- 20Mateo Chavez
- 21Cesar Huerta
- 22Guillermo Martinez
- 24Luis Chavez
- 26Brian Gutierrez
England Substitutes
- 5John Stones
- 11Marcus Rashford
- 12Trevoh Chalobah
- 13Dean Henderson
- 14Jordan Henderson
- 15Daniel Burn
- 16Kobbie Mainoo
- 17Morgan Rogers
- 19Ollie Watkins
- 20Noni Madueke
- 21Eberechi Eze
- 22Ivan Toney
- 23James Trafford
- 24Reece James
- 25Djed Spence
Previous Mexico Lineups
Previous England Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Mexico Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Javier Aguirre
England Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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