Millwall vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 31 Oct 2026
Millwall vs Derby Predictions
Millwall look like a standout bet when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. There are odds of -137 that the home team overcome Derby and we’re confident that this is a value play.
Dive into our Millwall vs Derby betting breakdown for the complete analysis of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Millwall vs Derby Preview
Millwall welcome Derby to The Den, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Saturday 31 October.
Millwall were defeated on the road in their last game. Portsmouth won 2-1 at Fratton Park. The Lions enjoyed 52% possession and one shot on target, with Jenson Metcalfe being the goalscorer.
Derby County played Sheffield United away from home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Bramall Lane. John Eustace's team had just 38% possession and recorded four shots on goal, while Bobby Clark was on the scoresheet.
H2H: Millwall 1-0 Winners When Teams Last Met
Millwall have not lost to Derby in the past seven meetings. In the last encounter, Millwall claimed a 1-0 victory when hosting at The Den. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured five Millwall victories, three draws and two Derby wins.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Millwall |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 23 | Derby |
12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 10:21 | 7 |
2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. Millwall have had 45.7% possession and 5.7 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.0 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 6.2 corners.
Top scorer is Lyndon Dykes on 4 goals, while Camiel Neghli has racked up 3 and Caleb Taylor 2. The top assist makers are Luke Cundle, Lyndon Dykes and Camiel Neghli, all of whom have 1 on the board.
Derby have 1 victory, 6 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 0.7 goals from 11.6 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 49.0% possession, 5.7 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 14.2 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Bobby Clark, Lars-Joergen Salvesen and Sammie Szmodics, with 2 goals apiece. Mohammed Fuseini, Rhian Brewster and Sammie Szmodics have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Millwall predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Max Crocombe (GK), Tristan Crama, Caleb Taylor, Jake Cooper, Zak Sturge, Jenson Metcalfe, Derek Mazou-Sacko, Camiel Neghli, Luke Cundle, Kyrell Lisbie, Lyndon Dykes.
Derby predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Joe Ward, Ryan Nyambe, Jack Robinson, Ryan Hedges, Bobby Clark, David Ozoh, Rhian Brewster, Samuel Szmodics, Lars-Jorgen Salvesen, Carlton Morris.
Main Match Prediction
We really like Millwall at odds of -137 to win this Championship game, with this bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Championship team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.
According to the odds, there’s a 57.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
If you’re looking for a wager at bigger odds, then Millwall on the Double Result market could be a way forward. You need them to lead at the halfway stage and then claim a win.
Boost your betting strategy with exclusive offers, free bets, and welcome bonuses—all in our straightforward guide.
Correct Score Prediction
You can secure odds of +600 that Millwall are able to land a 2-0 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.
Player Prop Picks
Bobby Clark (Derby) can be wagered to record a minimum of one shot on goal at +155. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.
Camiel Neghli (Millwall) has netted two goals in his past five Championship matches. There are odds of +280 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
It has now been four straight Millwall home matches where over 11.5 corners have been awarded. There are odds of +102 available when it comes to this Total Corners bet and we think the teams will cover the line.
Millwall
Derby
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a bet builder that includes Millwall to win, less than three goals in total and also Bobby Clark (Derby) to record at minimum of one shot on target.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Millwall vs Derby Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Millwall are available at -154 to come away with a triumph in this Championship clash, meaning a 61% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +390 for Derby County.
One Asian Handicap bet involves backing Millwall -0.75 at -127. If they beat Derby by 2+ goals, you get a full payout. You also get a return on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -128.
The top football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Championship matches. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.
You will find Josh Coburn at +430 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +160 that he finds the net at anytime.
Stats: Last 10 Championship matches only.
Millwall have not won at The Den in the past three matches. The Lions have clocked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
Derby have not won in the past four away matches. John Eustace's team have finished with six losses, two victories and two draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 2.00.
Millwall beat Derby 1-0 when the teams last met at The Den. We’ve seen two Derby wins, one Millwall victory and two draws in the past 5 H2H meetings at The Den.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Millwall Home Stats |
4-2-4 | 2.80 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
Derby Away Stats |
2-2-6 | 3.30 | 1.30 | 2.00 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 10/03 2026 Millwall 1 Derby 0
- Championship: 10/12 2025 Derby 1 Millwall 1
- Championship: 22/02 2025 Derby 0 Millwall 1
- Championship: 19/10 2024 Millwall 1 Derby 1
- Championship: 23/02 2022 Derby 1 Millwall 2
- Championship: 06/11 2021 Millwall 1 Derby 1
- Championship: 13/03 2021 Derby 0 Millwall 1
- Championship: 05/12 2020 Millwall 0 Derby 1
- Championship: 20/06 2020 Millwall 2 Derby 3
- Championship: 14/12 2019 Derby 0 Millwall 1
Millwall League Stats
Derby League Stats
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 6.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 49.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Millwall this season are Lyndon Dykes (4), Camiel Neghli (3), Tairyk Arconte (3)
- Top Assistors for Millwall this season are Camiel Neghli (2), Jenson Metcalfe (2), Caleb Taylor (1)
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Millwall vs Derby Lineups & Team News
Millwall Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Millwall Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Millwall Lineups
Previous Derby Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Millwall Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alex Neil
Derby Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:25 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Blackburn | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 5 | QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 8 | West Brom | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 9 | West Ham | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Stoke | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 14 | Charlton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 15 | Millwall | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 8 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 18 | Norwich | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 20 | Bolton | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 21 | Lincoln | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 22 | Burnley | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 24 | Derby | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 2 |
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