Millwall vs Newcastle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Sep 2026
Millwall vs Newcastle Predictions
In order for our Millwall +1 bet to land at odds of -114, we need the Lions to win or draw against Newcastle. However, a defeat by one goal would be enough to get our Asian Handicap stake returned.
Continue reading for our full Millwall vs Newcastle betting analysis, outlining the core arguments for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Millwall vs Newcastle Preview
Championship team Millwall host Premier League outfit Newcastle in the EFL Cup third round at The Den, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 8 September.
Millwall have won three of their opening five Championship matches, with their latest outing producing a convincing 4-0 home win over Bolton Wanderers at The Den. The South London outfit ended up with just 34% possession and had three shots on target, with Lyndon Dykes scoring two, while Caleb Taylor and Camiel Neghli also getting a goal.
Newcastle United remain unbeaten after three Premier League matches, recording one win and two draws. Most recently, they played out a 2-2 home draw against Bournemouth at St James' Park. The Magpies had two shots on goal and boasted 57% possession, with Harvey Barnes and Jacob Ramsey on the scoresheet.
In the previous round of the EFL Cup, Millwall visited League One side Cambridge United and won 1-0, with Newcastle claiming a 3-2 victory at home to Championship club West Bromwich Albion.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |  Millwall |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18:18 | 15 |
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Newcastle |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 10:14 | 8 |
Millwall have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.6 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. The Lions have averaged 53.3% possession and 5.7 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.1 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 4.7 corners.
The five top scorers are Lyndon Dykes, Tairyk Arconte, Luke Cundle, Josh Coburn and Femi Azeez, with these players all scoring 2 goals. The leading assistors are Jenson Metcalfe and Zak Lovelace with 2, while goalie Anthony Patterson has recorded one clean sheet.
Newcastle have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.7 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. Matthias Jaissle's side have averaged 51.1% possession, 3.7 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts.
Harvey Barnes has scored 5, followed by William Osula on 4 and Anthony Elanga with 2. Amar Dedic has managed to clock up 3 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Millwall confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Filip Marschall (GK), Jordi Osei-Tutu, Caleb Taylor, Jake Cooper, Elkan Baggott, Daniel Kelly, Jenson Metcalfe, Romain Esse, Lyndon Dykes, Camiel Neghli, Zak Lovelace.
Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lukas Hornicek (GK), Amar Dedic, Fabian Schaer, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall, Nico Gonzalez, Jacob Ramsey, Jacob Murphy, Joseph Willock, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa.
Main Match Prediction
Millwall are worth chancing on the Asian Handicap with a +1 goal start at odds of -114. We think that the home team will keep the scoreline close in this EFL Cup match and have an outside chance of winning.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league and EFL Cup matches):
The EFL Cup experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our football betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
Placing a Bet Builder is a recommended option if you want to bet on Millwall to cover the line but want more juice from your wager. Choose the various legs that you want to add in.
Don’t start wagering without checking our guide to the newest betting promo codes, best welcome bonuses and free bet offers.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Newcastle
Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +750. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Yoane Wissa (Newcastle) can be backed at +160 to cover the shots on goal total. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.
Harvey Barnes (Newcastle) has managed three goals in his past five matches. There are odds of +195 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average 8.40 corners in the past ten Newcastle games. There’s everything to like about the Total Corners line which looks high and we’d expect the teams to go under at -112.
Millwall
Newcastle
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a bet builder including these picks: Millwall with an Asian Handicap of +1, Under 2.5 merged with Yoane Wissa (Newcastle) to end up with over 1.5 shots on target.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Millwall vs Newcastle Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Newcastle United have been chalked up as the convincing -357 favourites for this EFL Cup encounter. This means that the bookmakers afford them a 78% probability of winning. If you want to wager on the underdog, Millwall have been priced up at +850.
For those wanting an alternative, Newcastle are -147 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Millwall being priced up at +600 and the draw is +180.
Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. For those wanting to bet on Both Teams to Score, you won’t find much between Yes and No.
If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any EFL Cup game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.
Those interested in favourite Yoane Wissa to find the net first are able to get +340. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +105.
Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Millwall Stats
Newcastle Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
Millwall vs Newcastle Lineups & Team News
Always review the Millwall vs Newcastle team news before locking in your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed EFL Cup lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Millwall Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Millwall Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Millwall Substitutes
- 3Zak Sturge
- 7Tairyk Arconte
- 35Yanis Issoufou
- 37George Beaumont
- 41George Evans
- 44Alfie Massey
- 51Sacha Tsugita Vieira
- 55Tristan Parkes
- 57Regan Anderson
Newcastle Substitutes
- 1Nick Pope
- 2Valentino Livramento
- 8Aladji Bamba
- 12Malick Thiaw
- 14Sean Steur
- 17Bazoumana Toure
- 19Anthony Elanga
- 20M. Fernandez-Pardo
- 67Lewis Miley
Previous Millwall Lineups
Previous Newcastle Lineups
Millwall Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alex Neil
Newcastle Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | 23 |
| 2 | West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | 20 |
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 8 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 9 | QPR | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 12 | Millwall | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:18 | 15 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 15 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 14 |
| 17 | Charlton | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:17 | 11 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | 11 |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17:21 | 9 |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:20 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9:24 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 4 | West Brom | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 5 | West Ham | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cardiff | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Stoke | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 11 | Charlton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 12 | Millwall | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 8 |
| 13 | QPR | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 16 | Sheffield Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 18 | Norwich | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Bolton | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 20 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 21 | Burnley | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 22 | Preston | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 23 | Derby | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 2 |
| 24 | Lincoln | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:12 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Hull | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Man United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Coventry | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 19 | Nott’m Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Brighton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:1 | 10 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Brentford | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Everton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 7 | Leeds | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Ipswich | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Hull | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Man United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Fulham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 16 | Coventry | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Liverpool | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 20 | Nott’m Forest | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:3 | 1 |
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