Nacional vs Alverca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Sep 2026
Nacional vs Alverca Predictions
Taking Nacional 0.0 at -128 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward. We get a nice return if they manage to beat Alverca and the added bonus of money back if the game is drawn.
Read our in-depth Nacional vs Alverca betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Nacional vs Alverca Preview
Nacional go head-to-head with Alverca at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 12 September.
Nacional have been beaten in their last three games. Away at Estadio Jose Alvalade, Sporting CP recently beat them 2-0. The Madeira side recorded just 33% possession and had two shots on target.
Alverca have lost in back-to-back Primeira Liga away appearances, while their previous league game was a 2-1 home defeat against Braga at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca. The Villains were restricted to just 32% possession and had two shots on goal, while Chiquinho found the net.
H2H: Teams’ Last Battle Saw 1-0 Nacional Victory
The scoreline was 1-0 for home side Nacional when they last faced Alverca, with the encounter taking place at Estadio da Madeira.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Nacional |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Alverca |
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5:10 | 2 |
4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. Nacional have had 48.9% possession, 354.3 passes and 4.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.9 corners.
Top goalscorer Jesus Ramirez has found the net 4 times, with Wesley, Pablo Ruan, Leonardo Santos and Ze Vitor scoring 1 each. Daniel has the most assists with 2, while goalkeepers Renato Marin and Kaique Pereira have recorded 4 clean sheets between them.
Alverca have 1 victory, 6 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 8.5 attempts, 2.9 shots on goal and 0.8 goals. Sergio Ferreira's team average 43.5% possession, 355.8 passes, 5.4 corners in their favour and 3.8 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts.
The leading scorers have been Vivaldo Semedo and Lucas Figueiredo with 2, while Chiquinho has 1. Isaac James and Nabili Touaizi are the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Nacional predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Renato Marin (GK), Léo Santos, Chico Gonçalves, Zé Vítor, Wesley Gasolina, Miguel Baeza, Matheus Dias, Williams Kokolo, Stavros Gavriel, Markus Jensen, Pablo Ruan.
Alverca predicted lineup (3-4-3): Matheus Mendes (GK), Steven Baseya, Sergi Gomez, Yaya Bojang, Toni Tamarit, Rayan Lucas, Ian Luccas, Isaac James, Chiquinho, Vivaldo Semedo, Lucas Figueiredo.
Main Match Prediction
Nacional at 0.0 look like an attractive bet on the Asian Handicap for this Primeira Liga game. Backing the hosts at -128 means a nice return if they win and we think that there’s a strong chance of this happening.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the Primeira Liga form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.
If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 56.2% chance of delivering a return. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Nacional to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.
Fuel your next bet with the hottest betting offers, welcome promos, and free bets featured in our straightforward bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Alverca
A 1-0 win in favor of Nacional is available at odds of +575. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.
Player Prop Picks
Pablo Ruan (Nacional) can be backed at +240 to be among the goals. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Nacional have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in three consecutive matches, with Alverca conceding under 4.5 corners in their past four games. There is value when it comes to going under the Nacional Team Corners line and this is available at -139.
Nacional
Alverca
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our bet builder, try Nacional to cover the 0.0 Asian Handicap, less than three goals to be scored combined with Nacional to have under 4.5 corners.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Nacional vs Alverca Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The draw is currently trading at +220 if you think this Primeira Liga encounter will end all square, while Nacional have betting odds of +143 and Alverca are +160 to land a victory of their own.
You can back Nacional at +195 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Alverca are +220 and the draw is chalked up at +112.
For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -141 on the BTTS market.
For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the best sports betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Primeira Liga match, go for the pick which stands out the most.
Vivaldo Semedo is priced at +500 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +220 to find the net anytime.
Stats: Primeira Liga matches only
Nacional have finished with five defeats, four wins and one draw in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 0.90.
It’s now been five straight Alverca defeats on the road. The Villains have recorded six defeats, three draws and one victory in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
Nacional were 1-0 victors against Alverca last time out at Estadio da Madeira.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Home Stats |
4-1-5 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.90 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
| Alverca Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 2.30 | 0.80 | 1.50 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Nacional League Stats
Alverca League Stats
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 48.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 43.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Nacional this season are Leonardo Santos (1), Liziero (1), Miguel Baeza (1)
- Top Assistors for Nacional this season are Daniel (1), Leonardo Santos (1), Liziero (1)
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Nacional vs Alverca Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Nacional vs Alverca, check the team news first. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga and the newest injury information.
Nacional Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Alverca Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Nacional Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Alverca Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Previous Nacional Lineups
Previous Alverca Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Nacional Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Joao Giao
Alverca Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Benfica | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18:3 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 11 |
| 5 | Arouca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 6 | Estrela | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 8 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Marítimo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Viseu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 11 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 12 | Vitória | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Moreirense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Alverca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
| 17 | Estoril | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0:11 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Santa Clara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Estrela | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 7 | Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 8 | Vitória | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 9 | Marítimo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Braga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 12 | Alverca | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 13 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 15 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Viseu | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |
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