Nacional vs Alverca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Sep 2026

Nacional vs Alverca Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Nacional Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -128

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Taking Nacional 0.0 at -128 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward. We get a nice return if they manage to beat Alverca and the added bonus of money back if the game is drawn.

Read our in-depth Nacional vs Alverca betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Nacional vs Alverca Preview

Nacional go head-to-head with Alverca at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Saturday 12 September.

Nacional have been beaten in their last three games. Away at Estadio Jose Alvalade, Sporting CP recently beat them 2-0. The Madeira side recorded just 33% possession and had two shots on target.

Alverca have lost in back-to-back Primeira Liga away appearances, while their previous league game was a 2-1 home defeat against Braga at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca. The Villains were restricted to just 32% possession and had two shots on goal, while Chiquinho found the net.

H2H: Teams’ Last Battle Saw 1-0 Nacional Victory

The scoreline was 1-0 for home side Nacional when they last faced Alverca, with the encounter taking place at Estadio da Madeira.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Alverca	9	3	2	4	13	13	0	13:13	11
15	Nacional	9	2	1	6	10	18	-8	10:18	7

View Full Table

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. Nacional have had 48.9% possession, 354.3 passes and 4.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Jesus Ramirez has found the net 4 times, with Wesley, Pablo Ruan, Leonardo Santos and Ze Vitor scoring 1 each. Daniel has the most assists with 2, while goalkeepers Renato Marin and Kaique Pereira have recorded 4 clean sheets between them.

Alverca have 1 victory, 6 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 8.5 attempts, 2.9 shots on goal and 0.8 goals. Sergio Ferreira's team average 43.5% possession, 355.8 passes, 5.4 corners in their favour and 3.8 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts.

The leading scorers have been Vivaldo Semedo and Lucas Figueiredo with 2, while Chiquinho has 1. Isaac James and Nabili Touaizi are the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Nacional confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Renato Marin (GK), Chico Goncalves, Matheus Dias, Ze Vitor, Wesley, Markus Gustav Jensen, Miguel Baeza, William Kokolo, Stavros Gavriel, Pablo Ruan, Daniel.

Alverca confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Matheus Mendes (GK), Yaya Bojang, Sergi Gomez, Isaac James, Diogo Spencer, Davy Gui, Ian Luccas, Francisco Chissumba, Chiquinho, Dawda Camara, Lucas Figueiredo.

Main Match Prediction

Nacional at 0.0 look like an attractive bet on the Asian Handicap for this Primeira Liga game. Backing the hosts at -128 means a nice return if they win and we think that there’s a strong chance of this happening.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 0.0 line has been covered by Nacional in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Alverca in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Alverca in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Alverca in 17 of their last 20 games.

The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the Primeira Liga form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 56.2% chance of delivering a return. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Nacional to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

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Nacional Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 10, 17:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 1 - 0 Alverca

A 1-0 win in favor of Nacional is available at odds of +575. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pablo Ruan To Score +240

Pablo Ruan (Nacional) can be backed at +240 to be among the goals. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Pablo Ruan Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+550

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Nacional Under 4.5 Corners -139

Nacional have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in three consecutive matches, with Alverca conceding under 4.5 corners in their past four games. There is value when it comes to going under the Nacional Team Corners line and this is available at -139.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

10.30 4.40 5.90

Home

10.60 5.40 5.20

Away

10.80 3.50 7.30

Alverca

Total

9.20 5.40 3.80

Home

8.70 5.80 2.90

Away

11.40 5.80 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-137

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-119

Alverca Corners

Over 4.5

-103

Under 4.5

-139

Most Corners

1

+107

X

+640

2

-103

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Nacional vs Alverca Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The draw is currently trading at +215 if you think this Primeira Liga encounter will end all square, while Nacional have betting odds of +143 and Alverca are +160 to land a victory of their own.

You can back Nacional at +200 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Alverca are +215 and the draw is chalked up at +110.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -143 on the BTTS market.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the best sports betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Primeira Liga match, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

+143

X

+215

2

+160

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+110

2

+215

Double Chance

1X

-250

12

-357

X2

-222

Draw No Bet

1

-128

2

-111

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+108

2 Hcp +0.25

-156

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-128

Over 2.5

-111

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

-102

Vivaldo Semedo is priced at +500 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +220 to find the net anytime.

Vivaldo Semedo (Alverca)

First

+500

Anytime

+220

Pablo Ruan (Nacional)

First

+550

Anytime

+240

Markus Jensen (Nacional)

First

+575

Anytime

+255

Stavros Gavriel (Nacional)

First

+600

Anytime

+270

Cédric Nuozzi (Alverca)

First

+600

Anytime

+275

Allen Obando (Nacional)

First

+650

Anytime

+290

Chiquinho (Alverca)

First

+650

Anytime

+295

Stephane Diarra (Alverca)

First

+700

Anytime

+295

Lucas Figueiredo (Alverca)

First

+700

Anytime

+300

Samy Merheg Jr. (Alverca)

First

+700

Anytime

+300

Nabil Touaizi (Alverca)

First

+700

Anytime

+310

Daniel de Melo Araujo Júnior (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+310

William Kokolo (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+320

Fernando Nava (Nacional)

First

+750

Anytime

+350

Lucca Giuntini (Alverca)

First

+800

Anytime

+350

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+410

Pereira Liziero (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+410

Ian Luccas Baroni (Alverca)

First

+900

Anytime

+430

Matchoi Djalo (Nacional)

First

+1050

Anytime

+475

Davy Gui (Alverca)

First

+1100

Anytime

+510

Tiago Octávio (Alverca)

First

+1150

Anytime

+525

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Matheus França (Alverca)

First

+1150

Anytime

+540

Deivison Souza Brito (Nacional)

First

+1150

Anytime

+540

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+1200

Anytime

+550

Vasco Moreira (Alverca)

First

+1300

Anytime

+575

Sabit Abdulai (Alverca)

First

+1300

Anytime

+650

Isaac James (Alverca)

First

+1600

Anytime

+750

Leo Santos (Nacional)

First

+1600

Anytime

+800

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+1600

Anytime

+800

Stats: Last 10 Primeira Liga matches only.
Nacional have finished with five defeats, four wins and one draw in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

It’s now been five straight Alverca defeats on the road. The Villains have recorded six defeats, three draws and one victory in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Nacional were 1-0 victors against Alverca last time out at Estadio da Madeira.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		4-1-5	2.00	1.10	0.90	3	7	3	7
Alverca Away Stats		1-3-6	2.30	0.80	1.50	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Nacional vs Alverca Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Nacional vs Alverca, check the team news first. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga and the newest injury information.

Nacional Team Page Alverca Team Page

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