Nacional vs Famalicão Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Sep 2026
Nacional vs Famalicão Predictions
There’s a case for betting Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The numbers suggest that Nacional and Famalicão might struggle to exceed this total and the odds of -139 look more than fair.
We analyse several betting angles in our Nacional vs Famalicão betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Nacional vs Famalicão Preview
Nacional go head-to-head with Famalicão at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 19 September.
Nacional have lost on their last four outings. In a recent home game at Estadio da Madeira, they were turned over 3-1 by Alverca. The Madeira club enjoyed 57% possession and managed three shots on target, with Matchoi bagging the goal.
Famalicão hosted Sporting CP at Municipal 22 de Junho in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw. Carlos Carvalhal's side enjoyed just 32% possession and had two shots on goal, while Goncalo Inacio (own goal) found the net.
H2H: Fama Won 1-0 in Teams’ Last Meeting
Famalicão have landed wins in their last two clashes against Nacional. There was a 1-0 home triumph at Municipal 22 de Junho after winning 1-0 away at Estadio da Madeira. In the previous 6 H2H games, there have been three Famalicão wins, two Nacional victories and a draw.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |  Famalicão |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 15 |  Nacional |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7:11 | 4 |
3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts. Nacional have had 49.6% possession, 353.2 passes and 4.2 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts, while being awarded 5.1 corners.
Top goalscorer Jesus Ramirez has found the net 3 times, with Matchoi, Wesley, Pablo Ruan and Leonardo Santos scoring 1 each. Daniel is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalies Renato Marin and Kaique Pereira collectively keeping 3 clean sheets.
Fama have 2 victories, 2 defeats and 6 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts. There’s been an average of 55.1% possession, 447.5 passes, 6.1 corners awarded and 4.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts.
Georgios Koutsias got 3 goals, Umar Abubakar notched 2, while Finn van Breemen and two other players scored 1. Mathias De Amorim has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Lazar Carevic has 4 clean sheets to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Nacional predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Renato Marin (GK), Wesley Gasolina, Chico Gonçalves, Zé Vítor, Williams Kokolo, Miguel Baeza, Matheus Dias, Stavros Gavriel, Daniel Júnior, Markus Jensen, Pablo Ruan.
Famalicão predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Lazar Carevic (GK), Rodrigo Pinheiro, Finn van Breemen, Víctor Rofino, Pedro Bondo, Marcos Peña, Tamás Szűcs, Gil Dias, Mathias De Amorim, Sorriso, Georgios Koutsias.
Main Match Prediction
We are expecting a low number of goals for this Primeira Liga encounter. The odds of -139 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play this bet with a fair amount of confidence.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest Primeira Liga data.
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 58.1% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
Under 2.5 Goals is available as an option when it comes to placing a Bet Builder. You can add different picks to your bet slip and get a return if all selections win.
Get extra value on your next wager with our list of betting offers—featuring welcome bonuses, free bets, and promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
Famalicão
A 1-0 win in favor of Famalicão can be backed at odds of +480. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Georgios Koutsias (Famalicão) has netted three goals in his past six Primeira Liga games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +195 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past four away matches, Famalicão have covered the 4.5 corners line, with Nacional conceding 5.10 corners on average in their last 10 games. There’s an opportunity to go over the Famalicão Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -152 available.
Nacional
Famalicão
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi. The selections are less than three goals in total, Famalicão on the Full-Time Result merged with Famalicão to have over 4.5 corners.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Nacional vs Famalicão Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The favourites have a 52% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Famalicão chalked up at -109 to land a win in this Primeira Liga clash. The market suggests that Nacional are least likely to win at +255.
Asian Handicap betting is popular and you can wager Famalicão -0.5 at -111 should you want to go for the favourites, with Nacional +0.5 available at -128 and you will also win with the latter if it’s a draw.
For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.
The top football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Primeira Liga matches. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.
Favourite Umar Abubakar is priced at +440 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +190.
Stats: Last 10 Primeira Liga matches only.
Nacional have managed six losses and four victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Famalicão have failed to win in their last four matches on their travels. Carlos Carvalhal's side have managed six draws, two victories and two losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
The past meeting at Estadio da Madeira saw Famalicão defeat Nacional 1-0. In the previous 3 H2H games at Estadio da Madeira, we have seen two Nacional victories and one Famalicão win.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Home Stats |
4-0-6 | 2.40 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
| Famalicão Away Stats |
2-6-2 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Nacional League Stats
Famalicão League Stats
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 2 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 2 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 55.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Nacional this season are Leonardo Santos (1), Liziero (1), Matchoi (1)
- Top Assistors for Nacional this season are Daniel (1), Leonardo Santos (1), Liziero (1)
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Nacional vs Famalicão Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Nacional vs Famalicão team news before betting. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups and injury news right here.
Nacional Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Famalicão Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Famalicão Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Nacional Lineups
Previous Famalicão Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Nacional Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alexandre Santos
Famalicão Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 5 | Arouca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Braga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 7 | Estrela | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 8 | Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Marítimo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 12 | Alverca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Famalicão | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitória | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 15 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 17 | Estoril | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:15 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Santa Clara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Benfica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 8 | Estrela | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 9 | Vitória | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 11 | Marítimo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 12 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Viseu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 14 | Alverca | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 15 | Famalicão | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 16 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
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