Nacional vs Santa Clara Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Jan 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Santa Clara

Nacional go head-to-head with Santa Clara at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 11 January.

We’ll back Nacional +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and split our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they clash with Santa Clara. A victory delivers a nice payout at -154 although a draw would still mean a return.

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Nacional were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Vitória de Guimarães at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. Tiago Margarido's side recorded 43% possession and had four shots on target, with Chiheb Labidi registering the goal.

Santa Clara were defeated in their previous game, being beaten at home to Porto by a 1-0 scoreline at Estadio do Sao Miguel. The Azoreans had 43% possession and didn’t have a single shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Santa Clara overcame Nacional in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 1-0 home triumph at Estadio do Sao Miguel. The past 4 H2H games have seen three Santa Clara victories and just one triumph for Nacional.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Nacional	17	4	5	8	21	26	-5	21:26	17
14	Santa Clara	17	4	5	8	14	19	-5	14:19	17

View Full Table

Nacional have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. The White and Black have averaged 45.4% possession, 333.0 passes and 3.1 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.3 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 15.2 attempts and 6.2 corners.

Jesus Ramirez is the top goalscorer with 6, Ze Vitor has 3, with Chiheb Labidi and two other players on 1. Leading assistor is Liziero with 2, while goalkeeper Kaique Pereira has one clean sheet.

Santa Clara have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2, averaging 3.6 shots on goal, 10.8 attempts and 0.7 goals. The Azores team average 46.5% possession, 374.4 passes, 3.3 corners taken and 5.5 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 9.7 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

Vinicius has recorded 3 goals, Sergio Araujo 2, with Frederico Venancio and Wendel both managing 1. Wendel has clocked up 2 assists, with Gabriel Batista keeping 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Nacional confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Kaique Pereira (GK), Joao Aurelio, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Matheus Dias, Liziero, Pablo Ruan, Miguel Baeza, Paulinho Boia, Jesus Ramirez.

Santa Clara confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Gabriel Batista (GK), Sidney Lima, Luis Rocha, Henrique Silva, Lucas Soares, Paulo Victor, Sergio Araujo, Jose Tavares, Klismahn, Vinicius, Gabriel Silva.

Nacional vs Santa Clara Prediction & Betting Tips

This expert Nacional vs Santa Clara betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, corners analysis, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

We’ll split our stake by backing Nacional +0.25 at odds of -154 for this Asian Handicap wager. There’s every chance that we see a strong performance from the home team in this Primeira Liga encounter.

Understanding the injured players situation proves useful when assembling football picks. Once we’ve also considered the form guide, we use the latest stats and provide Primeira Liga betting predictions.

Key Nacional vs Santa Clara league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Nacional in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Santa Clara in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Santa Clara in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Santa Clara in 13 of their last 18 games on the road.

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 60.6% chance of landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you’re looking for bigger odds about Nacional covering the line, then why not combine this pick with some of the other available betting markets in a Bet Builder.

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Our Match Prediction

Nacional Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -154 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 1 - 0 Santa Clara

A 1-0 win in favor of Nacional is available at odds of +475. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Miguel Baeza To Score +575

Miguel Baeza (Nacional) can be wagered to find the net at +575. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing considering all angles and we’ll take a chance on him.

Latest Miguel Baeza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+575

First

+1150

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Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -133

The past ten Nacional home games have averaged 11.60 corners, while the average corner count has been 8.80 in the last ten Santa Clara matches. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Total Corners and you can get -133 that the teams go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

9.30 3.10 6.20

Home

11.60 4.90 6.70

Away

8.50 4.30 4.20

Santa Clara

Total

8.80 3.30 5.50

Home

8.90 4.50 4.40

Away

7.90 3.40 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-112

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-159

Santa Clara Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-147

Most Corners

1

+107

X

+600

2

-103

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Nacional vs Santa Clara Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Santa Clara are currently available at +160 with the bookmakers to defeat Nacional, with the latter priced at odds of +180. If you’re siding with the draw in this Primeira Liga clash, then it can be backed at +190.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Santa Clara at -128 or instead go for Nacional at -111.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. An alternative approach is playing the BTTS market and going for the -161 about Both Teams to Score No.

If you head to the best football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+190

2

+160

Half-Time Result

1

+250

X

-102

2

+235

Double Chance

1X

-238

12

-294

X2

-270

Draw No Bet

1

-111

2

-128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-164

2 Hcp -0.25

+114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-233

Over 2.5

+160

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+112

No

-161

You will find favourite Jesus Ramírez Díaz at +450 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +240 that he finds the net any time.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+240

Anytime

+450

Vinícius Lopes (Santa Clara)

First

+280

Anytime

+525

João Pedro Augusto Mourão Costa (Santa Clara)

First

+390

Anytime

+700

Elias Manoel (Santa Clara)

First

+450

Anytime

+800

Welinton Macedo dos Santos (Santa Clara)

First

+450

Anytime

+850

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Sérgio Miguel Lobo Araújo (Santa Clara)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Pedro Pacheco (Santa Clara)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Klismahn (Santa Clara)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Frederico Venancio (Santa Clara)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Matheus ''MT'' Faugundes de Araújo (Santa Clara)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Nacional have collected seven defeats, two wins and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 2.20.

Santa Clara haven’t triumphed in five straight games on the road. The Azoreans have racked up four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

The past meeting at Estadio da Madeira saw Nacional defeat Santa Clara 2-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		2-1-7	3.50	1.30	2.20	8	2	7	3
Santa Clara Away Stats		2-4-4	2.00	0.80	1.20	3	7	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Nacional vs Santa Clara Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Nacional vs Santa Clara team news before placing your bets. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups and the latest on injuries.

Nacional Team Page Santa Clara Team Page

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