Netherlands vs Japan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Jun 2026
FIFA World Cup Betting Preview: Netherlands vs Japan
The Netherlands take on Japan in this FIFA World Cup Group F encounter at Dallas Stadium (AT&T Stadium), with kick-off set for 16:00 on Sunday 14 June.
Group F also includes Sweden and Tunisia. The Netherlands are the bookmakers' favourites to finish top, while Japan and Sweden are expected to battle for second place. Tunisia are considered the least likely side to reach the knockout stages.
There are several reasons to side with Under 2.5 Goals here. The Netherlands and Japan could fall short of the line and we really like the -112 odds available for this selection.
With these expected to be the two strongest teams in the group, avoiding defeat could be just as important as securing victory. The Netherlands boast a superb defensive unit led by Virgil van Dijk, while Japan are highly organised and notoriously difficult to break down.
With the underlying stats and xG data against comparable opposition pointing towards a low-scoring contest, we are backing the Under with confidence.
The Netherlands qualified for the tournament on the back of an eight-match unbeaten run, finishing three points clear of Poland at the top of their group.
Their final qualifier ended in a 4-0 home victory over Lithuania at the Johan Cruyff Arena. The Oranje dominated proceedings with 76% possession and eight shots on target, while Tijjani Reijnders, Cody Gakpo, Xavi Simons and Donyell Malen all found the net.
The Netherlands have played four friendlies in 2026, recording a 2-1 home win over Norway and a 1-1 draw against Ecuador in March. In their final World Cup warm-up matches in June, they suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Algeria before defeating Uzbekistan 2-1 at Icahn Stadium in New York.
Japan secured their place at the World Cup by topping their group, finishing four points clear of Australia in the third round of AFC qualifying. Hajime Moriyasu's side were highly impressive throughout the campaign, recording seven wins, two draws and only one defeat on their way to a 23-point haul.
In their last qualifier, Japan beat Indonesia 6-0 at home, with Daichi Kamada scoring twice. Takefusa Kubo, Ryoya Morishita, Shuto Machino and Mao Hosoya also found the net.
Japan have played three friendly matches in 2026, recording 1-0 victories over Scotland and England in March, followed by a 1-0 home win against Iceland at the New National Stadium in Tokyo on 31 May.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Netherlands and Japan have met on three previous occasions, with the Oranje winning twice and drawing once. Their most recent meeting was a friendly in 2013, which ended in a 2-2 draw. The teams also faced each other at the 2010 World Cup, where the Netherlands recorded a 1-0 victory at the Moses Mabhida Stadium in Durban.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 |  Japan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7:3 | 5 |
Confirmed Lineups
Netherlands confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Denzel Dumfries, Jan Paul van Hecke, Virgil van Dijk, Micky van de Ven, Ryan Gravenberch, Frenkie de Jong, Tijjani Reijnders, Crysencio Summerville, Donyell Malen, Cody Gakpo.
Japan confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Zion Suzuki (GK), Tsuyoshi Watanabe, Shogo Taniguchi, Hiroki Ito, Ritsu Doan, Kaishu Sano, Daichi Kamada, Keito Nakamura, Takefusa Kubo, Daizen Maeda, Ayase Ueda.
Netherlands vs Japan Prediction & Betting Tips
We cover the essential Netherlands vs Japan betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.
Match Prediction
The stats imply that we’ll see a low-scoring Group F clash, with a total goal count of two or less expected based on the information to hand. Secure a price of -112 for Under 2.5 Goals.
The football betting tips are created after keeping tabs on the latest World Cup team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the action might play out.
Key Netherlands vs Japan stats:
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 52.9% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
If you want to place an Under 2.5 Goals bet at larger odds, then there’s the chance to combine this selection with BTTS No. A Total Goals & Both Teams to Score wager is a popular option.
Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Japan
We’re sweet on the prospect of a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +500. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Keito Nakamura (Japan) is available to record a minimum of one shot on goal at -112. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.
Cody Gakpo (Netherlands) has registered four goals in his past five matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +180 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder with three options: less than three goals to be registered, Japan with the +0.5 Asian Handicap along with Keito Nakamura (Japan) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Netherlands vs Japan Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Netherlands are the +110 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 48% chance of winning this World Cup encounter according to the latest betting odds. Japan are regarded as the least likely winner at +270.
For those wanting some insurance backing Netherlands, taking the -0.25 Asian Handicap option means a half stake return if it’s a draw. There’s -128 that they manage to beat Japan on this market.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -128 on the BTTS market.
Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the World Cup games, with the best football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.
Favourite Memphis Depay is available at +410 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Netherlands Stats
Japan Stats
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
Netherlands vs Japan Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the Netherlands vs Japan team news before betting. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the World Cup as well as the latest injury reports.
Netherlands Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Japan Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Netherlands Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Japan Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Netherlands Substitutes
- 2Lutsharel Geertruida
- 3Marten de Roon
- 5Nathan Ake
- 7Justin Kluivert
- 9Wout Weghorst
- 10Memphis Depay
- 12Mats Wieffer
- 13Robin Roefs
- 16Guus Til
- 17Noa Lang
- 19Brian Brobbey
- 20Teun Koopmeiners
- 23Mark Flekken
- 25Jorrel Hato
- 26Quinten Timber
Japan Substitutes
- 2Yukinari Sugawara
- 4Ko Itakura
- 5Yuto Nagatomo
- 6Shuto Machino
- 7Ao Tanaka
- 9Keisuke Goto
- 12Keisuke Osako
- 14Junya Ito
- 17Yuito Suzuki
- 19Koki Ogawa
- 20Ayumu Seko
- 22Takehiro Tomiyasu
- 23Tomoki Hayakawa
- 25Junnosuke Suzuki
- 26Kento Shiogai
Previous Netherlands Lineups
Previous Japan Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Netherlands Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ronald Koeman
Japan Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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