Netherlands vs Morocco Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Jun 2026
Netherlands vs Morocco Predictions
The best strategy could be to back Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market at a price of -164. This looks like a standout wager, with Netherlands and Morocco set to contest a low-scoring contest.
Our Netherlands vs Morocco betting coverage includes detailed reasoning for the main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Netherlands vs Morocco Preview
Netherlands clash with Morocco in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 at Monterrey Stadium (Estadio BBVA), with kick-off set for 21:00 on Monday 29 June.
Monterrey Stadium is an open-air venue, with mostly cloudy conditions, a chance of light rain and a temperature of 24°C expected at kick-off
The Netherlands topped Group F on seven points, two ahead of Japan. The Oranje opened their campaign with a 2-2 draw against Japan before recording a 5-1 victory over Sweden.
Ronald Koeman's side then secured top spot with a 3-1 win against Tunisia at Kansas City Stadium. The Netherlands enjoyed 72% possession and registered seven shots on target, with Brian Brobbey and Jan Paul van Hecke on the scoresheet alongside an Ellyes Skhiri own goal.
Morocco finished second in Group C behind Brazil on goal difference after also collecting seven points. The Atlas Lions began their campaign with a 1-1 draw against Brazil before beating Scotland 1-0 in their second group match.
Morocco rounded off the group stage with a 4-2 victory over Haiti at Atlanta Stadium. Mohamed Ouahbi's side registered 11 shots on target and enjoyed 69% possession, with Achraf Hakimi, Ismael Saibari, Soufiane Rahimi and Gessime Yassine all on the scoresheet.
Netherlands Hold Narrow Head-to-Head Edge
The teams have met three times, with the Netherlands recording two wins and Morocco claiming one victory. Their most recent meeting came in a friendly in 2017, when the Netherlands won 2-1 away.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Morocco |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 1 |  Netherlands |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10:4 | 7 |
7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 3.5 goals from 6.6 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. Netherlands have had 65.5% possession and 5.9 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.8 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts, while being awarded 2.9 corners.
Memphis Depay leads the way with 7 goals, while Cody Gakpo and Donyell Malen have 6 and 4 respectively. Leading assistors have been Memphis Depay and Denzel Dumfries with 5, while goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen has 3 clean sheets.
Morocco have 8 victories and 2 draws, with an average of 2.2 goals from 15.5 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal. The Atlas Lions average 57.6% possession, 511.8 passes, 5.8 corners awarded and 2.3 corners against them, while conceding 0.6 goals from 6.7 attempts and 1.9 shots on goal.
Brahim Diaz has top scored with 5, followed by Ismael Saibari and Ayoub El Kaabi on 4 and 3. Achraf Hakimi, Brahim Diaz and Azzedine Ounahi have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Yassine Bounou has one clean sheet to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Netherlands confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Jan Paul van Hecke, Virgil van Dijk, Nathan Ake, Denzel Dumfries, Ryan Gravenberch, Frenkie de Jong, Micky van de Ven, Crysencio Summerville, Cody Gakpo, Brian Brobbey.
Morocco confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Yassine Bounou (GK), Achraf Hakimi, Issa Diop, Chadi Riad, Noussair Mazraoui, Ayyoub Bouaddi, Neil El Aynaoui, Brahim Diaz, Azzedine Ounahi, Bilal El Khannouss, Ismael Saibari.
Main Match Prediction
We don’t anticipate that the sides can combine to reach the three-goal mark and that means wagering Under 2.5 Goals. The odds of -164 look easy to back when it comes to a low-scoring World Cup encounter.
The Netherlands boast a strong defence led by Virgil van Dijk, while Morocco are a well-organised side that prioritise defensive solidity and are often involved in low-scoring matches. That combination makes Under 2.5 goals the standout selection here.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
The football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant World Cup stats to get the full picture.
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 62.1% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 70% based on our in-depth research. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
One alternative option is to combine Under 2.5 Goals with other picks if you want a bigger price. A Bet Builder provides lots of flexibility and allows you to combine different selections.
Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Morocco
We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Netherlands. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.
Player Prop Picks
Ismael Saibari (Morocco) has racked up at least one shot on goal in three straight games. Our opinion is that there’s value for him to cover the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of -167 currently on offer.
Cody Gakpo (Netherlands) has netted six goals in his past nine matches. We’re content to land the +230 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
You’re welcome to follow our bet builder which has two or less goals in total, Netherlands to triumph merged with Ismael Saibari (Morocco) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Netherlands vs Morocco Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Netherlands are +133 with the bookies to get the better of Morocco, with the latter having betting odds of +235. If you want to back the draw to be landed in this World Cup encounter, this can be wagered at +210.
There’s the chance to back Netherlands at -104 if you want to take them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s a full payout if they beat Morocco but also half stake returned if the scoreline ends level.
A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -135 on the Both Teams to Score market.
If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each World Cup game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.
Favourite Brian Brobbey is priced at +450 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of +185.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Netherlands Stats
Morocco Stats
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 2.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 2.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.67 corners awarded and 3.67 corners against in the last 6 away matches
- An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.33 corners awarded in the last 6 away matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 1 of the last 6 away matches
- An average of 65.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 62.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Netherlands vs Morocco Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Netherlands vs Morocco team news before betting. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the World Cup and the newest injury information.
Netherlands Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Morocco Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Netherlands Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Morocco Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Netherlands Substitutes
- 2Lutsharel Geertruida
- 3Marten de Roon
- 7Justin Kluivert
- 9Wout Weghorst
- 10Memphis Depay
- 12Mats Wieffer
- 13Robin Roefs
- 14Tijjani Reijnders
- 16Guus Til
- 17Noa Lang
- 18Donyell Malen
- 20Teun Koopmeiners
- 23Mark Flekken
- 25Jorrel Hato
- 26Quinten Timber
Morocco Substitutes
- 4Sofyan Amrabat
- 5Marwane Saadane
- 7Chemsdine Talbi
- 9Soufiane Rahimi
- 12Munir
- 13Zakaria El Ouahdi
- 15Samir El Mourabet
- 16Gessime Yassine
- 17Amine Sbai
- 19Youssef Belammari
- 20Ayoub El Kaabi
- 21A. Amaimouni-Echghouyab
- 22Ahmed Tagnaouti
- 25Redouane Halhal
- 26Anass Salah-Eddine
Previous Netherlands Lineups
Previous Morocco Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Netherlands Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ronald Koeman
Morocco Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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