Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Oct 2026
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Predictions
When Newcastle clash with Aston Villa, we are expecting a few goals to be notched. This has resulted in us betting the Over 2.5 selection on the Total Goals market, with the price of -159 standing out.
We analyse several betting angles in our Newcastle vs Aston Villa betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Preview
Newcastle welcome Aston Villa to St James' Park, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 17 October.
Newcastle United were beaten in their last game. On their travels, they suffered a 4-1 loss against Coventry City at Coventry Building Society Arena. Matthias Jaissle's team managed six shots on target and enjoyed 67% possession, with Sven Botman scoring the goal.
Aston Villa hosted Brentford in their previous Premier League game, ending in a 2-2 draw at Villa Park. The Birmingham side were 52% in the possession stakes and recorded seven shots on goal, while Nicolas Jackson and John McGinn found the net.
On Wednesday night, Villa won 6-0 when hosting Fenerbahce in the Champions League.
H2H: 3-1 Victory for Newcastle in Pair’s Last Battle
It was Newcastle who were victorious when last facing Villa. At Villa Park, a 3-1 FA Cup away victory was recorded. The 10 H2H games most recently played have featured six Newcastle wins, one draw and three victories for Villa.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Newcastle |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6:11 | 5 |
4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. Newcastle have had 50.7% possession, 425.0 passes and 4.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.8 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 17.0 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.1 corners.
Harvey Barnes and William Osula are the top scorers with 3 goals each, while Joseph Willock has 2. Harvey Barnes is top assists maker with 3, while goalkeeper Lukas Hornicek has kept one clean sheet.
Villa have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 11.7 attempts, 4.1 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. The Villans average 48.5% possession, 409.1 passes, 3.8 corners in their favour and 5.1 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 5.0 shots on goal and 15.4 attempts.
Ollie Watkins has scored 5, followed by John McGinn, Nicolas Jackson and Emiliano Buendia with 2 goals apiece. John McGinn has been the top assist maker on 3, with Zion Suzuki notching one clean sheet in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Newcastle predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Lukas Hornicek (GK), Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall, Nico Gonzalez, Joseph Willock, Jacob Murphy, Yoane Wissa, Harvey Barnes, Matias Fernandez-Pardo.
Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Zion Suzuki (GK), Matty Cash, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Tyrone Mings, Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Boubacar Kamara, Joao Gomes, John McGinn, Emiliano Buendia, Johan Manzambi, Nicolas Jackson.
Main Match Prediction
The odds for Over 2.5 Goals is -159 and we think that this price looks really appealing. The two teams should combine to cover the line in this Premier League encounter and it’s a value wager.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Premier League verdict is reached.
According to the latest odds, there’s a 61.3% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
Going down the Bet Builder route enables bettors to secure a larger price when it comes to wagering Over 2.5 Goals. Add in extra picks for the chance to scoop a potentially bigger pay out.
Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa are available at +850 when it comes to them winning 2-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.
Player Prop Picks
Nicolas Jackson (Villa) has finished with over 2.5 shots in his past two Premier League games. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the -156 available.
John McGinn (Villa) has registered two goals in his past nine Premier League games. We’ll take a chance at +450 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past four away games, Aston Villa have not covered the 4.5 corners line, with Newcastle conceding 4.40 corners on average in their previous 10 home matches. When it comes to Team Corners, we’re expecting Villa to fall short and you can get odds of -141.
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a bet builder that includes at least three goals in total, Aston Villa to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap accompanied by Nicolas Jackson (Villa) to manage Over 2.5 shots.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the bookies giving them a 44% probability of winning, Newcastle United might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are +125 when it comes to triumphing in this Premier League clash. Aston Villa are the outsiders at +200 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.
If Newcastle only draw with Villa, then the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager means you get half your stake back. However, you get a full payout at -110 if they’re able to land a victory.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -192.
The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Premier League games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.
Yoane Wissa can be backed to find the net anytime at +155. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +420.
Stats: Last 10 Premier League matches only.
Newcastle haven’t tasted defeat in five consecutive matches at St James' Park. Matthias Jaissle's team have finished with four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
Villa have recorded four draws, four losses and two wins in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.70.
Villa overcame Newcastle 2-0 when the sides last met at St James' Park. The past 7 H2H matches at St James' Park have seen four Newcastle triumphs, one Villa win and two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Home Stats |
4-2-4 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0 | |
| Aston Villa Away Stats |
2-4-4 | 2.70 | 1.00 | 1.70 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- FA Cup: 14/02 2026 Aston Villa 1 Newcastle 3
- Premier League: 25/01 2026 Newcastle 0 Aston Villa 2
- Premier League: 16/08 2025 Aston Villa 0 Newcastle 0
- Premier League: 19/04 2025 Aston Villa 4 Newcastle 1
- Premier League: 26/12 2024 Newcastle 3 Aston Villa 0
- Premier League: 30/01 2024 Aston Villa 1 Newcastle 3
- Premier League: 12/08 2023 Newcastle 5 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 15/04 2023 Aston Villa 3 Newcastle 0
- Premier League: 29/10 2022 Newcastle 4 Aston Villa 0
- Premier League: 13/02 2022 Newcastle 1 Aston Villa 0
Newcastle League Stats
Aston Villa League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 10 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Newcastle this season are Anthony Elanga (2), Joseph Willock (2), Bazoumana Toure (1)
- Top Assistors for Newcastle this season are Harvey Barnes (2), Amar Dedic (1), Lewis Hall (1)
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Newcastle vs Villa team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and injury news right here.
Newcastle Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Aston Villa Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Aston Villa Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Newcastle Lineups
Previous Aston Villa Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Newcastle Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Matthias Jaissle
Aston Villa Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 13 | Man United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 15 | Nott’m Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 20 | Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Man City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Brighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Brentford | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 6 | Everton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Ipswich | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 9 | Hull | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 10 | Newcastle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 11 | Man United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 13 | Coventry | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 16 | Liverpool | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 17 | Fulham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 1 |
| 18 | Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 19 | Nott’m Forest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
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