Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 May 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Brighton

Newcastle host sixth-placed Brighton at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 2 May.

When Brighton clash against Newcastle, we will take the former at -147 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. With our stake divided between 0 and +0.5, the visitors look as though they can land a return by swerving defeat.

Newcastle United have been defeated in their last four games. On the road, they recently suffered a 1-0 loss against Arsenal at Emirates Stadium. Eddie Howe's side had most of the ball boasting 55% possession and three shots on target.

Brighton claimed a home win in their previous game. A 3-0 victory occurred against Chelsea at American Express Stadium. The Sussex outfit enjoyed 54% possession and recorded nine shots on goal, while Ferdi Kadioglu, Jack Hinshelwood and Danny Welbeck were all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Brighton haven’t lost to Newcastle in their past six games. Their last encounter took place at American Express Stadium and Brighton secured a 2-1 home win. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in four Brighton victories, four draws and two Newcastle wins.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Brighton	38	14	11	13	52	46	6	52:46	53
12	Newcastle	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2	53:55	49

View Full Table

3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. Newcastle have had 51.7% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.1 corners.

William Osula and Anthony Gordon are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Jacob Ramsey has 2. Lewis Miley, Nick Woltemade and Joseph Willock have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Brighton have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 5.1 shots on goal, 11.9 attempts and 1.4 goals. Fabian Hurzeler's team average 53.5% possession, 459.2 passes, 4.0 corners taken and 5.9 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 10.9 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Danny Welbeck has scored 5 goals, followed by Mats Wieffer and Diego Gomez on 2. Pascal Gross has had 3 assists, with Bart Verbruggen notching 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-1-2-3): Nick Pope (GK), Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Daniel Burn, Sandro Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes, Joseph Willock, Jacob Murphy, William Osula, Joelinton.

Brighton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Olivier Boscagli, Ferdi Kadioglu, Carlos Baleba, Pascal Gross, Yankuba Minteh, Jack Hinshelwood, Kaoru Mitoma, Danny Welbeck.

Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips

Tackle Newcastle vs Brighton with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you echo our view that Brighton can swerve defeat in this Premier League encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -147. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.

Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest Premier League team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.

Key Newcastle vs Brighton league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 5 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 6 consecutive games against Brighton.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 59.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

The bookmakers give you the chance to buy or sell goals, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Our Match Prediction

Brighton Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -147 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 30, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 1 - 2 Brighton

A 2-1 win in favor of Brighton is available at odds of +750. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jack Hinshelwood Over 1.5 Shots +125

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton) has totalled over 1.5 shots in seven of his past ten Premier League games. There is odds of +125 on offer for this Player Shots wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Jack Hinshelwood Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+410

First

+1200

Shots

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

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Kaoru Mitoma to Score +350

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton) has netted two goals in his past eight Premier League matches on the road. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +350.

Latest Kaoru Mitoma Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+900

Shots

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Newcastle vs Brighton Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Newcastle United are available at betting odds of +163 to beat Brighton, with their opponents trading at +150 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +265 for this Premier League encounter.

There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Newcastle are -114 here. However, if you want to back favourites Brighton, then -125 is on offer.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -200.

All of the Premier League games see the top betting sites go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+163

X

+265

2

+150

Half-Time Result

1

+205

X

+135

2

+200

Double Chance

1X

-200

12

-357

X2

-208

Draw No Bet

1

-114

2

-125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-147

2 Hcp -0.25

+117

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+128

Over 2.5

-161

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+145

Those interested in favourite Danny Welbeck to find the net first can get +430, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +150.

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

First

+150

Anytime

+430

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+190

Anytime

+550

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+210

Anytime

+575

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

First

+410

Anytime

+1200

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Malick Thiaw (Newcastle)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Lewis Hall (Newcastle)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Malick Thiaw (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Hall (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Premier League matches only
Newcastle haven’t won any of their past four games at St James' Park. The Magpies have finished with six defeats, three wins and one draw in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

Brighton have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous four matches. The Seagulls have collected four defeats, three wins and three draws in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

The last St James' Park meeting saw Brighton beat Newcastle 2-1 after extra-time (1-1 after 90 mins). The past 7 H2H meetings at St James' Park have resulted in three Brighton wins, two draws and two Newcastle victories.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Newcastle Home Stats		3-1-6	3.50	1.60	1.90	8	2	8	2
Brighton Away Stats		3-3-4	2.40	1.20	1.20	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Newcastle vs Brighton Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Newcastle vs Brighton team news before betting. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premier League along with up-to-date injury news.

Newcastle United Team Page Brighton & Hove Albion Team Page

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