Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 May 2026
Premier League Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Brighton
Newcastle host Brighton at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 2 May.
When Brighton clash against Newcastle, we will take the former at -147 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. With our stake divided between 0 and +0.5, the visitors look as though they can land a return by swerving defeat.
Newcastle United have been defeated in their last four games. On the road, they recently suffered a 1-0 loss against Arsenal at Emirates Stadium. Eddie Howe's side had most of the ball boasting 55% possession and three shots on target.
Brighton claimed a home win in their previous game. A 3-0 victory occurred against Chelsea at American Express Stadium. The Sussex outfit enjoyed 54% possession and recorded nine shots on goal, while Ferdi Kadioglu, Jack Hinshelwood and Danny Welbeck were all on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Brighton haven’t lost to Newcastle in their past six games. Their last encounter took place at American Express Stadium and Brighton secured a 2-1 home win. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in four Brighton victories, four draws and two Newcastle wins.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brighton |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 48:39 | 50 |
| 14 | Newcastle |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 46:50 | 42 |
3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. Newcastle have had 51.7% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.1 corners.
William Osula and Anthony Gordon are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Jacob Ramsey has 2. Lewis Miley, Nick Woltemade and Joseph Willock have racked up the most assists with 1 each.
Brighton have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 5.1 shots on goal, 11.9 attempts and 1.4 goals. Fabian Hurzeler's team average 53.5% possession, 459.2 passes, 4.0 corners taken and 5.9 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 10.9 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.
Danny Welbeck has scored 5 goals, followed by Mats Wieffer and Diego Gomez on 2. Pascal Gross has had 3 assists, with Bart Verbruggen notching 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Newcastle predicted lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Daniel Burn, Joseph Willock, Sandro Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes, Jacob Murphy, William Osula, Jacob Ramsey.
Brighton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Olivier Boscagli, Ferdi Kadioglu, Carlos Baleba, Pascal Gross, Yankuba Minteh, Jack Hinshelwood, Kaoru Mitoma, Georginio Rutter.
Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips
Tackle Newcastle vs Brighton with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
If you echo our view that Brighton can swerve defeat in this Premier League encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -147. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.
Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest Premier League team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.
Key Newcastle vs Brighton league stats:
The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 59.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
The bookmakers give you the chance to buy or sell goals, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.
Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.
Correct Score Prediction
A 2-1 win in favor of Brighton is available at odds of +750. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton) has totalled over 1.5 shots in seven of his past ten Premier League games. There is odds of +125 on offer for this Player Shots wager and we think he’ll cover the line.
Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton) has netted two goals in his past eight Premier League matches on the road. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +350.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi which has the following: Brighton with the +0.25 Asian Handicap, Over 2.5 together with Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton) to cover the 1.5 Player Shots line.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Newcastle vs Brighton Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Brighton are available at betting odds of +155 to beat Newcastle United, with their opponents trading at the same price with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +270 for this Premier League encounter.
There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Brighton are -118 here. However, if you want to back favourites Newcastle, then -122 is on offer.
There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -182.
All of the Premier League games see the top betting sites go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.
Those interested in favourite Danny Welbeck to find the net first can get +430, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +160.
Newcastle haven’t won any of their past four games at St James' Park. Eddie Howe's side have finished with six defeats, three wins and one draw in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
Brighton have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous four matches. The Sussex outfit have collected four defeats, three wins and three draws in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
The last St James' Park meeting saw Brighton beat Newcastle 2-1 after extra-time (1-1 after 90 mins). The past 7 H2H meetings at St James' Park have resulted in three Brighton wins, two draws and two Newcastle victories.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Newcastle Home Stats |
3-1-6 | 3.50 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | |
Brighton Away Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.40 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 18/10 2025 Brighton 2 Newcastle 1
- Premier League: 04/05 2025 Brighton 1 Newcastle 1
- FA Cup: 02/03 2025 Newcastle 1 Brighton 2
- Premier League: 19/10 2024 Newcastle 0 Brighton 1
- Premier League: 11/05 2024 Newcastle 1 Brighton 1
- Premier League: 02/09 2023 Brighton 3 Newcastle 1
- Premier League: 18/05 2023 Newcastle 4 Brighton 1
- Premier League: 13/08 2022 Brighton 0 Newcastle 0
- Premier League: 05/03 2022 Newcastle 2 Brighton 1
- Premier League: 06/11 2021 Brighton 1 Newcastle 1
Newcastle League Stats
Brighton League Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 6.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Newcastle this season are Bruno Guimaraes (9), Nick Woltemade (7), Anthony Gordon (6)
- Top Assistors for Newcastle this season are Bruno Guimaraes (4), Lewis Miley (4), Nick Woltemade (3)
Newcastle vs Brighton Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the Newcastle vs Brighton team news before betting. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premier League along with up-to-date injury news.
Newcastle Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Brighton Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Brighton Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Newcastle Lineups
Previous Brighton Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Newcastle Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Eddie Howe
Brighton Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 64:26 | 73 |
| 2 | Man City | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66:29 | 70 |
| 3 | Man United | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 60:46 | 61 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:44 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 47:42 | 58 |
| 6 | Brighton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 48:39 | 50 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 52:52 | 49 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:45 | 48 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 49:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Fulham | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:46 | 48 |
| 11 | Everton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:41 | 47 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 36:45 | 46 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 46:50 | 42 |
| 15 | Leeds | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 44:51 | 40 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:45 | 39 |
| 17 | West Ham | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42:58 | 36 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 43:53 | 34 |
| 19 | Burnley | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 34:68 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 24:62 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37:11 | 41 |
| 2 | Man City | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 38:12 | 39 |
| 3 | Man United | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:20 | 36 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 27:18 | 35 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 32:18 | 34 |
| 6 | Fulham | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 28:19 | 32 |
| 7 | Brighton | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 27:17 | 30 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 9 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:19 | 28 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 25:19 | 27 |
| 11 | Leeds | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:20 | 26 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 30:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Chelsea | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 14 | Everton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22:21 | 22 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 16 | West Ham | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:29 | 19 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:21 | 18 |
| 18 | Wolverhampton | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20:30 | 11 |
| 20 | Burnley | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15:26 | 11 |
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