Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2026
Newcastle vs Liverpool Predictions
Newcastle +0.5 could be the best bet to have and the latest numbers back this up. Take the hosts at -104 on the Asian Handicap against Liverpool, with this being a confident selection on the underdogs.
Continue reading for our complete Newcastle vs Liverpool betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Newcastle vs Liverpool Preview
Newcastle square off against Liverpool at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 23 August.
It has been a summer of major change for Newcastle United, with several top players leaving the club and Matthias Jaissle appointed as the new head coach. Central midfielders Bruno Guimaraes and Sandro Tonali and left-winger Anthony Gordon are among the major departures. Goalkeeper Lukas Hornicek, right-back Amar Dedi, left-winger Bazoumana Toure and defensive midfielder Aladji Bamba are among their leading arrivals.
Newcastle finished 12th in the Premier League last season with 49 points from 38 matches. They were beaten 2-0 away to Fulham at Craven Cottage in their last league game. The Magpies enjoyed 53% possession but registered just two shots on target.
Liverpool are also under new management, with Andoni Iraola replacing Arne Slot this summer. Centre-back Jérémy Jacquet and left-winger Víctor Muñoz are their leading permanent arrivals, while centre-back Ronald Araújo has joined on loan from Barcelona. There have been some high-profile departures, with right-winger Mohamed Salah, centre-back Ibrahima Konaté, central midfielder Curtis Jones and left-back Andy Robertson among those to have left the Reds.
The Merseyside club finished fifth in the 2025/26 Premier League with 60 points from 38 matches. They played out a 1-1 home draw against Brentford at Anfield in their last league game. Liverpool boasted 60% possession and had eight shots on target, with Curtis Jones finding the net.
H2H: Liverpool Are 8 From 10 on the Head-to-Head
Liverpool have beaten Newcastle in the last two encounters. A 4-1 win when hosting at Anfield came after a 3-2 away victory at St James' Park. We’ve seen the past 10 H2H meetings involve eight wins for Liverpool, one draw and one victory for Newcastle.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Liverpool |
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Newcastle |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9:9 | 8 |
4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Newcastle have had 50.1% possession, 424.1 passes and 3.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.8 corners.
Top scorer is William Osula on 6 goals, while Anthony Gordon has racked up 3 and Harvey Barnes 2. The leading assistors have been Joseph Willock and Jacob Ramsey with 2.
Liverpool have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.6 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 57.1% possession, 499.7 passes, 6.9 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts.
The top scorers have been Mohamed Salah and Virgil van Dijk on 3, with Dominik Szoboszlai getting 2. Dominik Szoboszlai has been chief assist maker on 4, with Giorgi Mamardashvili recording one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lukas Hornicek (GK), Amar Dedic, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall, Sean Steur, Lewis Miley, Anthony Elanga, Yoane Wissa, Harvey Barnes, William Osula.
Liverpool confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker (GK), Jeremie Frimpong, Jeremy Jacquet, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Rio Ngumoha, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo, Alexander Isak.
Main Match Prediction
We are backing Newcastle +0.5 at -104 on the Asian Handicap and feel confident with this prediction. Both sides have lost key players this summer, while the stats and xG data suggest the Magpies can achieve a positive result at St. James' Park.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best Premier League stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.
The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 51% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
A bigger price can be landed by going down the Bet Builder route where Newcastle to cover the line is one of several options. Add various legs until you’re satisfied with the odds.
Thinking about claiming free bets? Our bonus guide lists the best sign-up offers from the biggest names in betting.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Liverpool
Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +650. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
William Osula (Newcastle) has recorded one or more shots on goal in three consecutive Premier League home games. There is odds of -156 available when it comes to this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.
Harvey Barnes (Newcastle) has managed two goals in his past ten Premier League matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +290 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Liverpool have had a corner average of 7.20 in the past 5 away games, with Newcastle averaging 3.80 corners in their last 10 matches. We’re keen to take odds of -102 that Liverpool are awarded the most corners.
Newcastle
Liverpool
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
You’re welcome to follow our bet builder which has Newcastle on the Asian Handicap at +0.5, both teams scoring as well as William Osula (Newcastle) to record a minimum of one shot on target.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Newcastle vs Liverpool Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Liverpool are the -115 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 53% chance of triumphing in this Premier League encounter according to the latest odds. If you’re interested in wagering Newcastle United, you can get +290 for the underdog.
You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Liverpool at +133, go for Newcastle at +280 or take the draw at +148.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -227.
The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Premier League game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.
There’s the chance to back Alexander Isak at +350 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.
Stats: Last 10 Premier League matches only.
Newcastle have managed five victories and five losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
Liverpool have clocked up five losses, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.70.
Liverpool enjoyed a 3-2 winning scoreline when last meeting Newcastle at St James' Park. The past 8 H2H matches at St James' Park have featured six Liverpool wins and two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Home Stats |
5-0-5 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | |
| Liverpool Away Stats |
3-2-5 | 3.10 | 1.40 | 1.70 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 31/01 2026 Liverpool 4 Newcastle 1
- Premier League: 25/08 2025 Newcastle 2 Liverpool 3
- EFL Cup: 16/03 2025 Liverpool 1 Newcastle 2
- Premier League: 26/02 2025 Liverpool 2 Newcastle 0
- Premier League: 04/12 2024 Newcastle 3 Liverpool 3
- Premier League: 01/01 2024 Liverpool 4 Newcastle 2
- Premier League: 27/08 2023 Newcastle 1 Liverpool 2
- Premier League: 18/02 2023 Newcastle 0 Liverpool 2
- Premier League: 31/08 2022 Liverpool 2 Newcastle 1
- Premier League: 30/04 2022 Newcastle 0 Liverpool 1
Newcastle League Stats
Liverpool League Stats
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Newcastle vs Liverpool Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Newcastle vs Liverpool team news before placing your bets. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League and all current injury news.
Newcastle Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Liverpool Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Liverpool Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Substitutes
- 5Fabian Schaer
- 8Aladji Bamba
- 17Bazoumana Toure
- 23Jacob Murphy
- 24Ewen Jaouen
- 27Nick Woltemade
- 28Joseph Willock
- 41Jacob Ramsey
- 51Leo Shahar
Liverpool Substitutes
- 3Wataru Endo
- 10Alexis Mac Allister
- 21K. Tsimikas
- 23Victor Munoz
- 25Giorgi Mamardashvili
- 33Ronald Araujo
- 42Trey Nyoni
- 53James McConnell
- 67Lewis Koumas
Previous Newcastle Lineups
Previous Liverpool Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Newcastle Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Matthias Jaissle
Liverpool Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Man United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Nott’m Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Brighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Brentford | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Everton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Man United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 15 | Fulham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 1 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Aston Villa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 19 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 20 | Coventry | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | 0 |
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