Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2026

Newcastle vs Liverpool Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Newcastle Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -104

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Newcastle +0.5 could be the best bet to have and the latest stats back this up. Take the hosts at -104 on the Asian Handicap against Liverpool, with this being a confident selection on the underdogs.

Continue reading for our complete Newcastle vs Liverpool betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Preview

Newcastle square off against Liverpool at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 23 August.

It has been a summer of major change for Newcastle United, with several top players leaving the club and Matthias Jaissle appointed as the new head coach. Central midfielders Bruno Guimaraes and Sandro Tonali and left-winger Anthony Gordon are among the major departures. Goalkeeper Lukas Hornicek, right-back Amar Dedi, left-winger Bazoumana Toure and defensive midfielder Aladji Bamba are among their leading arrivals.

Newcastle finished 12th in the Premier League last season with 49 points from 38 matches. They were beaten 2-0 away to Fulham at Craven Cottage in their last league game. The Magpies enjoyed 53% possession but registered just two shots on target.

Liverpool are also under new management, with Andoni Iraola replacing Arne Slot this summer. Centre-back Jérémy Jacquet and left-winger Víctor Muñoz are their leading permanent arrivals, while centre-back Ronald Araújo has joined on loan from Barcelona. There have been some high-profile departures, with right-winger Mohamed Salah, centre-back Ibrahima Konaté, central midfielder Curtis Jones and left-back Andy Robertson among those to have left the Reds.

The Merseyside club finished fifth in the 2025/26 Premier League with 60 points from 38 matches. They played out a 1-1 home draw against Brentford at Anfield in their last league game. Liverpool boasted 60% possession and had eight shots on target, with Curtis Jones finding the net.

Liverpool Are 8 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Liverpool have beaten Newcastle in the last two encounters. A 4-1 win when hosting at Anfield came after a 3-2 away victory at St James' Park. We’ve seen the past 10 H2H meetings involve eight wins for Liverpool, one draw and one victory for Newcastle.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Newcastle have had 50.1% possession, 424.1 passes and 3.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.8 corners.

Top scorer is William Osula on 6 goals, while Anthony Gordon has racked up 3 and Harvey Barnes 2. The leading assistors have been Joseph Willock and Jacob Ramsey with 2.

Liverpool have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.6 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 57.1% possession, 499.7 passes, 6.9 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts.

The top scorers have been Mohamed Salah and Virgil van Dijk on 3, with Dominik Szoboszlai getting 2. Dominik Szoboszlai has been chief assist maker on 4, with Giorgi Mamardashvili recording one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Newcastle predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Lukas Hornicek (GK), Amar Dedic, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall, Jacob Ramsey, Aladji Bamba, Anthony Elanga, Yoane Wissa, Harvey Barnes, William Osula.

Liverpool predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker (GK), Jeremie Frimpong, Jeremy Jacquet, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Rio Ngumoha, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo, Alexander Isak.

Main Match Prediction

We are backing Newcastle +0.5 at -104 and feel confident with this prediction. A positive result can be achieved on the Asian Handicap in this Premier League game, with the stats backing up this verdict.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Newcastle in 12 of their last 19 games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Newcastle in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Newcastle in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liverpool in 13 of their last 20 games.

Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best Premier League stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 51% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

A bigger price can be landed by going down the Bet Builder route where Newcastle to cover the line is one of several options. Add various legs until you’re satisfied with the odds.

Thinking about claiming free bets? Our bonus guide lists the best sign-up offers from the biggest names in betting.

Newcastle Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -104 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 21, 17:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 1 - 1 Liverpool

Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +600. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: William Osula Over 0.5 Shots On Target -156

William Osula (Newcastle) has recorded one or more shots on goal in three consecutive Premier League home games. There is odds of -156 available when it comes to this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest William Osula Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

---

Harvey Barnes to Score +290

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle) has managed two goals in his past ten Premier League matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +290 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Harvey Barnes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Liverpool To Have Most Corners -102

Liverpool have had a corner average of 7.20 in the past 5 away games, with Newcastle averaging 3.80 corners in their last 10 matches. We’re keen to take odds of -102 that Liverpool are awarded the most corners.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

8.60 3.80 4.80

Home

10.50 6.20 4.30

Away

9.90 5.30 4.60

Liverpool

Total

10.80 6.90 3.90

Home

12.10 7.20 4.90

Away

10.10 6.80 3.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-115

Under 10.5

-123

Newcastle Corners

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+110

Liverpool Corners

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-100

X

+650

2

-100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Liverpool are the -115 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 53% chance of triumphing in this Premier League encounter according to the latest odds. If you’re interested in wagering Newcastle United, you can get +310 for the underdog.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Liverpool at +128, go for Newcastle at +295 or take the draw at +148.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -222.

The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Premier League game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

+310

X

+270

2

-115

Half-Time Result

1

+295

X

+148

2

+128

Double Chance

1X

-109

12

-370

X2

-435

Draw No Bet

1

+180

2

-278

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-104

2 Hcp -0.5

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+160

Over 2.5

-204

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-222

No

+160

There’s the chance to back Alexander Isak at +380 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

First

+380

Anytime

+120

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

First

+525

Anytime

+170

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+200

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

First

+650

Anytime

+200

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+210

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

First

+750

Anytime

+250

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

First

+750

Anytime

+260

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+800

Anytime

+270

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

First

+850

Anytime

+280

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+900

Anytime

+290

Víctor Muñoz Villanueva (Liverpool)

First

+850

Anytime

+300

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+1150

Anytime

+380

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+1150

Anytime

+400

Bazoumana Touré (Newcastle)

First

+1300

Anytime

+420

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

First

+1200

Anytime

+430

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+1400

Anytime

+475

Treymaurice Nyoni (Liverpool)

First

+1400

Anytime

+475

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+1500

Anytime

+500

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

First

+1400

Anytime

+525

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

First

+1700

Anytime

+550

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Sean Steur (Newcastle)

First

+2000

Anytime

+650

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+2000

Anytime

+700

Jérémy Jacquet (Liverpool)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Víctor Muñoz Villanueva (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Bazoumana Touré (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Treymaurice Nyoni (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Sean Steur (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Curtis Jones (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Jérémy Jacquet (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Isak (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

-

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Cody Gakpo (Liverpool)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Víctor Muñoz Villanueva (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Bazoumana Touré (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Federico Chiesa (Liverpool)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Treymaurice Nyoni (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Sean Steur (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Jérémy Jacquet (Liverpool)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Premier League matches only
Newcastle have managed five victories and five losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Liverpool have clocked up five losses, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

Liverpool enjoyed a 3-2 winning scoreline when last meeting Newcastle at St James' Park. The past 8 H2H matches at St James' Park have featured six Liverpool wins and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Newcastle Home Stats		5-0-5	3.80	2.00	1.80	8	2	8	2
Liverpool Away Stats		3-2-5	3.10	1.40	1.70	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Newcastle vs Liverpool Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Newcastle vs Liverpool team news before placing your bets. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League and all current injury news.

Newcastle United Team Page Liverpool Team Page

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