Paderborn vs Freiburg Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Sep 2026
Paderborn vs Freiburg Predictions
Paderborn are a confident choice with a +0.5 goal start at odds of -123. They should be able to win or draw in their clash against Freiburg, with this Asian Handicap prediction looking like a value bet and we expect the line to be covered.
Read on for our full Paderborn vs Freiburg betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Paderborn vs Freiburg Preview
Paderborn take on Freiburg at Home Deluxe Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 5 September.
Paderborn drew on the road in their last game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Mainz 05 at MEWA Arena. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit enjoyed 48% of possession but failed to have a shot on target.
Freiburg claimed a 4-1 home win over Werder Bremen at Europa-Park Stadion in their previous game. The Breisgau-Brazilians had 53% of possession and six shots on goal, with Yuito Suzuki scoring a hat-trick and Igor Matanovic also on the scoresheet.
Paderborn Landed 3-1 Victory in Previous H2H
Paderborn are bidding for a third successive victory against Freiburg, having previously claimed away wins of 3-1 and 2-0 at Europa-Park Stadion. Paderborn have triumphed in two of the previous 3 H2H meetings, while Freiburg have won once.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Freiburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Paderborn |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. Paderborn have had 47.2% possession and 5.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.1 corners.
Filip Bilbija leads the way with 7 goals, while Stefano Marino and Laurin Curda have 3 and 2 respectively. Raphael Obermair, Calvin Brackelmann and Laurin Curda are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Dennis Seimen managing one clean sheet.
Freiburg have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 12.6 attempts, 4.5 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. The Baden-Wurttemberg club average 50.0% possession, 421.7 passes, 3.4 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts.
Igor Matanovic is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, Yuito Suzuki has 3, with Johan Manzambi and Lucas Hoeler both on 2. Vincenzo Grifo has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games, while Noah Atubolu has one clean sheet to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Paderborn predicted lineup (3-4-3): Nahuel Noll (GK), Jano ter Horst, Tjark Scheller, Mattes Hansen, Laurin Curda, Laurin Ulrich, Santiago Castaneda, Raphael Obermair, Stefano Marino, Marvin Pieringer, Gabriel Vidovic.
Freiburg predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Mio Backhaus (GK), Lukas Kuebler, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Jordy Makengo, Maximilian Eggestein, Yannik Engelhardt, Jan-Niklas Beste, Yuito Suzuki, Derry Scherhant, Igor Matanovic.
Main Match Prediction
Paderborn +0.5 could be the best bet to have and the latest stats back this up. Take the hosts at -123 on the Asian Handicap for their Bundesliga clash, with this being a confident selection on the underdogs.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Bundesliga data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.
The best football betting sites make it a 55.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be a way forward. Take Paderborn to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.
Stop! Before you bet, grab a top welcome bonus. Check out our guide for the latest betting offers available now.
Correct Score Prediction
We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +510 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.
Player Prop Picks
Jan-Niklas Beste (Freiburg) is available to finish with one or more shots on goal at -130. He looks like a value bet on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop pick.
Igor Matanovic (Freiburg) has found the net in three consecutive Bundesliga games. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +145 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Freiburg in four straight away games, while the past three Paderborn home matches have seen under 4.5 corners conceded. There’s a price of -152 for this Team Corners bet and we think the Freiburg line is too big.
Paderborn
Freiburg
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi. The selections are Paderborn to cover the +0.5 Asian Handicap, Yes on the Both Teams to Score market and Jan-Niklas Beste (Freiburg) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Paderborn vs Freiburg Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Freiburg are the shortest price to win this Bundesliga clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 50% probability due to their -100 betting odds. The market implies that Paderborn are the most unlikely to win at +235.
The Draw No Bet market simplifies things as it offers two options and money back if the game finishes level. Freiburg are -208, while Paderborn are alternatively priced at +140.
The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -192 for the BTTS Yes option.
The leading betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Bundesliga match. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.
Those interested in Igor Matanovic to find the net anytime are able to get +145. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +410.
Stats: League matches only
Paderborn have managed six victories, three draws and one loss in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.30 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
Freiburg have collected six defeats, three wins and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 2.10.
The last Home Deluxe Arena meeting saw Freiburg beat Paderborn 3-1.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paderborn Home Stats |
6-3-1 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 1.70 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 0 | |
Freiburg Away Stats |
3-1-6 | 3.20 | 1.10 | 2.10 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Paderborn League Stats
Freiburg League Stats
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 50.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
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Paderborn vs Freiburg Lineups & Team News
The latest Paderborn vs Freiburg team news could impact your bets — review it first. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups and the latest injury reports.
Paderborn Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Freiburg Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Paderborn Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Freiburg Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Paderborn Lineups
Previous Freiburg Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Paderborn Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ralf Kettemann
Freiburg Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 10 | Mainz 05 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 | Paderborn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 | Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 17 | Schalke 04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 18 | Stuttgart | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 9 | Mainz 05 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 10 | Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Paderborn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
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