Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Oct 2026
Palmeiras vs Bahia Predictions
For the Bahia +1 Asian Handicap bet to secure a return at -112, we need a win or draw against Palmeiras. There’s the insurance of getting our stake returned if there’s a one goal defeat.
Take a closer look at our complete Palmeiras vs Bahia betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Palmeiras vs Bahia Preview
Palmeiras square off against Bahia, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Thursday 8 October.
Palmeiras drew on their travels in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw against Grêmio. Abel Ferreira's team had a remarkable 72% of possession and recorded ten shots on target.
Bahia lost their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 2-1 defeat against Athletico Paranaense. The Salvador outfit had 51% of possession and three shots on goal, while Erick Pulga was on the scoresheet.
H2H: 2-1 Win for Palmeiras in Pair’s Last Encounter
Palmeiras beat Bahia away when the teams last met. It was a 2-1 scoreline. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we have seen six Palmeiras victories, three Bahia wins and one draw.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Palmeiras |
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 5 |  Bahia |
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 43:35 | 46 |
Palmeiras have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 18.0 attempts. The São Paulo side have averaged 59.3% possession and 6.1 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.8 goals from 3.9 shots on goal, 11.3 attempts and 4.5 corners.
Mauricio is the top scorer with 6 goals, while Vitor Roque, Jose Lopez and Ramon Sosa each have 2. Jhon Arias and Joaquin Piquerez have been top assistors with 3.
Bahia have 4 victories, 1 defeat and 5 draws, with an average of 1.6 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 15.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 54.1% possession, 4.8 corners awarded and 5.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts.
Erick Pulga and Alejo Veliz have 3 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Jean Lucas on 2. Rodrigo Nestor has had 4 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Palmeiras predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Carlos Miguel (GK), Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Alexander Barboza, Agustín Giay, Andreas Pereira, Marlon Freitas, Joaquín Piquerez, José Manuel López, Mauricio, Vitor Roque.
Bahia predicted lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Marcos Victor, David Duarte, Kanu, Luciano Juba, Erick Carvalho, Nicolás Acevedo, Rodrigo Nestor, Cristian Olivera, Alejo Veliz, Erick Pulga.
Main Match Prediction
Bahia look a great betting option on the Asian Handicap with a +1 goal advantage at -112. We think that the scoreline will be competitive in this Série A match, with the underdogs set for a draw or win.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Série A team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.
The top betting apps make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
It’s great to place a Winning Margin wager if you want an alternative to Asian Handicap. Choose whether a team will achieve a close win or something bigger.
Don’t place another bet without seeing the best betting offers available—free bets and welcome promos included.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Bahia
Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +575. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Cristian Olivera (Bahia) can be wagered at +110 to record a minimum of one shot on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.
Luciano Juba (Bahia) has scored two goals in his past five Série A games. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +650.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There has been three consecutive Palmeiras games where 10.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 12.00 corners in the last five Bahia matches. We’re anticipating that there will be plenty of corners and that the line will be covered, with odds of -112 available.
Palmeiras
Bahia
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Take a same-game multi that incorporates Bahia with an Asian Handicap of +1, Yes on the BTTS market combined with Cristian Olivera (Bahia) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Palmeiras vs Bahia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Palmeiras betting odds are -189 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Série A encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 65% chance of winning. Bahia are the outsiders at +450 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.
There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Palmeiras at +105 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Bahia at +420. The draw is the third option at +145.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -143.
It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Série A games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.
Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +370. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +130.
- Série A: 06/04 2026 Bahia 1 Palmeiras 2
- Série A: 28/09 2025 Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0
- Série A: 27/04 2025 Palmeiras 0 Bahia 1
- Série A: 20/11 2024 Bahia 1 Palmeiras 2
- Série A: 07/07 2024 Palmeiras 2 Bahia 0
- Série A: 29/10 2023 Palmeiras 1 Bahia 0
- Série A: 22/06 2023 Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0
- Série A: 13/10 2021 Bahia 0 Palmeiras 0
- Série A: 28/06 2021 Palmeiras 3 Bahia 2
- Série A: 12/12 2020 Palmeiras 3 Bahia 0
Palmeiras League Stats
Bahia League Stats
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 10 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 7.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 59.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 54.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Palmeiras this season are Jose Lopez (8), Mauricio (7), Vitor Roque (5)
- Top Assistors for Palmeiras this season are Andreas Pereira (10), Joaquin Piquerez (4), Jose Lopez (4)
You can watch and bet on Série A games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.
It’s great to watch live sports and you’ll find a wide range of choice with the leading betting apps.
Palmeiras vs Bahia Lineups & Team News
Always review the Palmeiras vs Bahia team news before locking in your bets. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest on injuries.
Palmeiras Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Bahia Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Palmeiras Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Bahia Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Palmeiras Lineups
Previous Bahia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Palmeiras Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Abel Ferreira
Bahia Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atlético MG | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 43 |
| 8 | Santos | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 41 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | São Paulo | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 36 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 28:10 | 33 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:14 | 33 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23:9 | 30 |
| 5 | Atlético MG | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 6 | Vitória | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 7 | São Paulo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 8 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:16 | 25 |
| 9 | Grêmio | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 25 |
| 10 | Bahia | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 22:14 | 24 |
| 11 | Vasco da Gama | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:18 | 23 |
| 12 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21:21 | 23 |
| 13 | Santos | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 22 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 15 | Bragantino | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:14 | 20 |
| 16 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | 18 |
| 18 | Internacional | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | 14 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18:29 | 11 |
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