Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Aug 2026

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -112

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After weighing everything up, the price of -112 for Under 2.5 Goals looks to be the sensible wager. Neither Palmeiras or Cerro Porteño might be prolific and this Total Goals pick provides lots of value.

We analyse several betting angles in our Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño Preview

Brazilian Série A giants Palmeiras host Paraguayan Primera División outfit Cerro Porteño in the first leg of their Copa Libertadores round of 16 tie, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Wednesday 12 August.

Palmeiras played Internacional at home in their last game. It was a 0-0 Série A draw. The São Paulo club had most of the ball enjoying 62% possession and three shots on target.

Cerro Porteño lost their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 1-0 Primera División defeat against Sportivo Ameliano.

In their previous Copa Libertadores matches, Palmeiras claimed a 4-1 win at home to Junior de Barranquilla, while Cerro Porteño hosted Sporting Cristal and landed a 2-0 victory.

6 Wins for Palmeiras in Last 8 H2H Encounters

It was a 1-0 away victory for Cerro Porteño when they last faced Palmeiras. We’ve seen the past 8 H2H meetings involve six wins for Palmeiras, one draw and one victory for Cerro Porteño.

Copa Libertadores		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Cerro Porteño	6	4	1	1	6	2	4	6:2	13
2	Palmeiras	6	3	2	1	10	5	5	10:5	11

View Full Table

Main Match Prediction

For those in agreement that this Copa Libertadores encounter will be low-scoring, then you can seal odds of -112 on the Under 2.5 Goals market. We believe that this wager can yield a nice return.

Our panel of football writers survey the latest injuries and suspensions. When combined with the form guide, this helps us secure the best odds. Our stats-led approach backed up by key Copa Libertadores data is helpful.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Palmeiras games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Palmeiras games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Cerro Porteño games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Cerro Porteño games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 52.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are bigger odds on the cards if you combine the Under 2.5 Goals selection on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. BTTS No is the other pick that you can include here.

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Under 2.5 Goals @ -112 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 11, 00:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Palmeiras 2 - 0 Cerro Porteño

Let’s take a chance on the +390 available that Palmeiras secure a 2-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pablo Vegetti Over 0.5 Shots On Target +102

Pablo Vegetti (Cerro Porteño) can be backed to register a minimum of one shot on goal at +102. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.

Latest Pablo Vegetti Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

---

Jhon Arias to Score +180

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras) has netted two goals in his past four matches on home soil. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +180 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Jhon Arias Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+180

First

+450

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies are taking few risks with their betting odds of -333 for Palmeiras winning which indicates that they have a 77% chance of triumphing in this Copa Libertadores encounter. At +900, Cerro Porteño are regarded as having a far lower probability of winning.

Palmeiras are available at -104 on the Asian Handicap if you think they’re going to overcome a -1.5 deficit. This means that the bet will end up paying out if they beat Cerro Porteño by at least two goals.

The current odds reflect that there’s not much between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. Both Teams to Score No is available at -192 for anyone expecting at least one side to draw a blank.

For those visiting one of our recommended sports betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Copa Libertadores matches. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-333

X

+390

2

+900

Half-Time Result

1

-135

X

+138

2

+700

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-588

X2

+230

Draw No Bet

1

-1667

2

+575

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-104

2 Hcp +1.5

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-112

Over 2.5

-115

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+135

No

-192

Favourite Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez is +350 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

First

+350

Anytime

+135

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+400

Anytime

+160

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

First

+450

Anytime

+180

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+500

Anytime

+190

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+525

Anytime

+210

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

First

+575

Anytime

+230

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+575

Anytime

+240

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+800

Anytime

+310

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

First

+950

Anytime

+370

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

First

+950

Anytime

+380

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+1050

Anytime

+420

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Pablo Vegetti (Cerro Porteño)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Jonathan Gabriel Torres (Cerro Porteño)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Cecilio Domínguez (Cerro Porteño)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Juan Iturbe (Cerro Porteño)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Emiliano Martinez Toranza (Palmeiras)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Bruno Fuchs (Palmeiras)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Jefté da Silva Dias (Palmeiras)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino (Palmeiras)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Vegetti (Cerro Porteño)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan Gabriel Torres (Cerro Porteño)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Juan Iturbe (Cerro Porteño)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Cecilio Domínguez (Cerro Porteño)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-

Jefté da Silva Dias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Emiliano Martinez Toranza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Fuchs (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa Libertadores and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Palmeiras Stats

Cerro Porteño Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

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Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño Lineups & Team News

Check the Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño team news before you place your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Copa Libertadores lineups plus current injury reports.

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