Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Aug 2026

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -112

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After weighing everything up, the price of -112 for Under 2.5 Goals looks to be the sensible wager. Neither Palmeiras or Cerro Porteño might be prolific and this Total Goals pick provides lots of value.

We analyse several betting angles in our Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño Preview

Brazilian Série A giants Palmeiras host Paraguayan Primera División outfit Cerro Porteño at Nubank Parque in the first leg of their Copa Libertadores round of 16 tie, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Wednesday 12 August.

Palmeiras and Cerro Porteño both progressed from Group F, with Cerro Porteño topping the group on 13 points from six matches, two clear of second-placed Palmeiras.

Série A leaders Palmeiras, who sit six points clear of Flamengo at the top of the table, were held to a goalless home draw by Internacional on Sunday. The São Paulo club dominated possession with 62% of the ball and registered three shots on target.

Cerro Porteño have made a slow start to the Paraguayan Clausura season, collecting just three points from their opening four matches. Last time out, they suffered a 1-0 away defeat to Sportivo Ameliano.

In their previous Copa Libertadores matches, Palmeiras claimed a 4-1 win at home to Colombian Categoria Primera A side Junior de Barranquilla, while Cerro Porteño hosted Peruvian Liga 1 outfit Sporting Cristal and landed a 2-0 victory.

H2H: 6 Wins for Palmeiras in Last 8 H2H Encounters

Palmeiras and Cerro Porteño met twice in the Copa Libertadores group stage this season. Cerro Porteño won 1-0 in São Paulo before the return fixture in Paraguay finished 1-1. Despite that, Palmeiras have won six of the last eight meetings between the sides, with the other two ending in one draw and one Cerro Porteño victory.

Copa Libertadores		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Cerro Porteño	6	4	1	1	6	2	4	6:2	13
2	Palmeiras	6	3	2	1	10	5	5	10:5	11

View Full Table

Confirmed Lineups

Palmeiras confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Carlos Miguel (GK), Emiliano Martinez, Murilo Cerqueira, Alexander Barboza, Joaquin Piquerez, Allan, Andreas Pereira, Marlon Freitas, Jhon Arias, Jose Lopez, Vitor Roque.

Cerro Porteño confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Manuel Roffo (GK), Lucas Quintana, Gustavo Velazquez, Alexis Canete, Fabricio Dominguez, Marcelo Chaparro, Cesar Bobadilla, Jorge Morel, Ariel Gamarra, Cecilio Dominguez, Pablo Vegetti.

Main Match Prediction

For those in agreement that this Copa Libertadores encounter will be low-scoring, then you can seal odds of -112 on the Under 2.5 Goals market. We believe that this wager can yield a nice return.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (domestic league and Copa Libertadores matches):

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Palmeiras games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Palmeiras games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Cerro Porteño games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Cerro Porteño games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Our panel of football writers survey the latest injuries and suspensions. When combined with the form guide, this helps us secure the best odds. Our stats-led approach backed up by key Copa Libertadores data is helpful.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 52.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are bigger odds on the cards if you combine the Under 2.5 Goals selection on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. BTTS No is the other pick that you can include here.

Maximize your first bet with the latest betting promotions. Our guide covers all the top welcome bonuses out there.

Under 2.5 Goals @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 11, 00:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Palmeiras 2 - 0 Cerro Porteño

Let’s take a chance on the +350 available that Palmeiras secure a 2-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pablo Vegetti Over 0.5 Shots On Target +102

Pablo Vegetti (Cerro Porteño) can be backed to register a minimum of one shot on goal at +102. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.

Latest Pablo Vegetti Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1400

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

---

Jhon Arias to Score +180

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras) has netted two goals in his past four matches on home soil. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +180 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Jhon Arias Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+475

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies are taking few risks with their betting odds of -345 for Palmeiras winning which indicates that the Big Green have a 78% chance of triumphing in this Copa Libertadores encounter. At +1050, Cerro Porteño are regarded as having a far lower probability of winning.

Palmeiras are available at -109 on the Asian Handicap if you think they’re going to overcome a -1.5 deficit. This means that the bet will end up paying out if they beat Cerro Porteño by at least two goals.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. Both Teams to Score No is available at -238 for anyone expecting at least one side to draw a blank.

For those visiting one of our recommended sports betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Copa Libertadores matches. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-345

X

+390

2

+1050

Half-Time Result

1

-141

X

+133

2

+800

Double Chance

1X

-3333

12

-625

X2

+245

Draw No Bet

1

-2000

2

+650

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-109

2 Hcp +1.5

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-130

Over 2.5

-100

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+160

No

-238

Favourite Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira is +350 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+350

Anytime

+140

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

First

+370

Anytime

+150

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

First

+475

Anytime

+200

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+510

Anytime

+210

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+550

Anytime

+240

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

First

+575

Anytime

+240

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+600

Anytime

+250

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+800

Anytime

+340

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

First

+1050

Anytime

+440

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+1050

Anytime

+450

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+1050

Anytime

+450

Pablo Vegetti (CCP)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Cesar Bobadilla (CCP)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Jonathan Gabriel Torres (CCP)

First

+1400

Anytime

+650

Juan Iturbe (CCP)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Cecilio Domínguez (CCP)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

First

+1800

Anytime

+800

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Khellven Douglas Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Emiliano Martinez Toranza (Palmeiras)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino (Palmeiras)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Jefté da Silva Dias (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Bruno Fuchs (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Fabricio Domínguez (CCP)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Derlis Rodriguez (CCP)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Gabriel Aguayo (CCP)

First

+2000

Anytime

+1000

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Vegetti (CCP)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Jonathan Gabriel Torres (CCP)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Cesar Bobadilla (CCP)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Juan Iturbe (CCP)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Cecilio Domínguez (CCP)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Aguayo (CCP)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Fabricio Domínguez (CCP)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Derlis Rodriguez (CCP)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Khellven Douglas Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Jefté da Silva Dias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Fuchs (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Emiliano Martinez Toranza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Paulo Henrique Filho 'Paulinho' (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Vegetti (CCP)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Cesar Bobadilla (CCP)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Jonathan Gabriel Torres (CCP)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Juan Iturbe (CCP)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Cecilio Domínguez (CCP)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Khellven Douglas Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Emiliano Martinez Toranza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Jefté da Silva Dias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Fuchs (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Fabricio Domínguez (CCP)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Derlis Rodriguez (CCP)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Aguayo (CCP)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa Libertadores and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Palmeiras Stats

Cerro Porteño Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño Lineups & Team News

Check the Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño team news before you place your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Copa Libertadores lineups plus current injury reports.

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