Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Oct 2026

Palmeiras vs Corinthians Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -128

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If you share our opinion that there won’t be too many goals between Palmeiras and Corinthians, you can secure a price of -128 for Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We expect this bet to land.

Check out the complete Palmeiras vs Corinthians betting breakdown below, highlighting the logic behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Palmeiras vs Corinthians Preview

Palmeiras go head-to-head with Corinthians, with kick-off set for 16:30 on Sunday 11 October.

Palmeiras won their last league match, beating Bahia by a 1-0 scoreline which made it three consecutive Série A victories at home. The Big Green managed eleven shots on target and had 41% possession, with Jose Lopez netting the winner early in the first half.

Corinthians have been beaten in seven straight games. In their previous contest, Internacional claimed a 2-1 victory on the road. Fernando Diniz's team recorded an impressive 72% of possession and had seven shots on goal, while Andre Luiz found the net.

H2H: Goalless Draw in Previous Head-to-Head Encounter

Corinthians have gone unbeaten in their past four games against Palmeiras, with the last clash ending in a 0-0 draw. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in four Palmeiras victories, three draws and three Corinthians wins.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Palmeiras	29	17	9	3	48	21	27	48:21	60
16	Corinthians	29	8	8	13	30	34	-4	30:34	32

View Full Table

Palmeiras have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 19.3 attempts. Abel Ferreira's side have averaged 58.5% possession and 6.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.7 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 10.6 attempts and 4.0 corners.

Top scorer Mauricio has found the net 4 times, with Jose Lopez and Vitor Roque getting 3 and 2 respectively. Jhon Arias is the top assists maker on 3.

Corinthians have 1 victory, 7 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 4.0 shots on goal, 13.3 attempts and 0.9 goals. Timão average 54.9% possession, 6.3 corners taken and 5.1 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 12.8 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.

Gustavo Henrique is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Andre Luiz, Gui Negao, Bidu and Raniele have 1. Vitinho, Kaio and Gustavo Henrique have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Palmeiras predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Carlos Miguel (GK), Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Alexander Barboza, Khellven, Andreas Pereira, Marlon Freitas, Arthur Gabriel, José Manuel López, Jhon Arias, Vitor Roque.

Corinthians predicted lineup (4-3-1-2): Hugo Souza (GK), Matheuzinho, Gabriel Paulista, Gustavo Henrique, Matheus Bidu, André Luiz Santos, Raniele, André Carrillo, Breno Bidon, Memphis Depay, Yuri Alberto.

Main Match Prediction

There’s a strong case when it comes to selecting Under 2.5 Goals for this Série A encounter. There might not be fireworks between the two teams and we’ve snapped up the odds of -128.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Palmeiras games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Palmeiras games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Palmeiras games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 8 games between these teams.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Série A form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

The best betting sites make it a 56.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Those wanting bigger odds for their Under 2.5 Goals bet can have this selection as part of a Result & Total Goals pick. This involves predicting which team will come out on top.

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Under 2.5 Goals @ -128 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 9, 22:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Palmeiras 1 - 0 Corinthians

Palmeiras are available to back at +500 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jhon Arias Over 0.5 Shots On Target -154

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras) can be wagered to finish with one or more shots on goal at -154. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Jhon Arias Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

---

Andreas Pereira To Score +320

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras) can be backed at +320 to be among the goals. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Andreas Pereira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Palmeiras Over 6.5 Corners -109

The 6.5 corners line has been covered by Palmeiras in four consecutive games, while Corinthians have conceded 7.40 corners on average in their last 5 away matches. The amount of Palmeiras corners could be bigger than the Team Corners line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -109.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Palmeiras

Total

10.40 6.40 4.00

Home

10.40 7.00 3.40

Away

11.50 6.30 5.20

Corinthians

Total

11.40 6.30 5.10

Home

9.20 5.30 3.90

Away

11.20 5.50 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-122

Under 10.5

-116

Palmeiras Corners

Over 6.5

-111

Under 6.5

-133

Corinthians Corners

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-263

X

+750

2

+240

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Palmeiras vs Corinthians Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Palmeiras as -189 favourites for this Série A encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 65% likely to triumph. The market implies that Corinthians are the most unlikely to win at +500.

If Palmeiras beat Corinthians by two or more goals, then you would get paid out on the Asian Handicap -1 pick at -111. A one-goal victory would mean you get your stake fully refunded.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. An alternative approach is playing the BTTS market and going for the -143 about Both Teams to Score No.

The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Série A game and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

-189

X

+295

2

+500

Half-Time Result

1

+108

X

+125

2

+500

Double Chance

1X

-833

12

-435

X2

+140

Draw No Bet

1

-588

2

+320

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-111

2 Hcp +1

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-128

Over 2.5

-102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+104

No

-143

Favourite Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez is +370 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

First

+370

Anytime

+165

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+480

Anytime

+220

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

First

+550

Anytime

+240

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+650

Anytime

+300

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+650

Anytime

+300

Yuri Alberto (Corinthians)

First

+750

Anytime

+320

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+750

Anytime

+320

Memphis Depay (Corinthians)

First

+1100

Anytime

+475

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+1100

Anytime

+500

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

First

+1150

Anytime

+510

Rodrigo Garro (Corinthians)

First

+1400

Anytime

+525

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Corinthians)

First

+1200

Anytime

+550

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

First

+1200

Anytime

+550

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+1200

Anytime

+550

Kaio César (Corinthians)

First

+1400

Anytime

+575

Guilherme William Silva Inácio (Corinthians)

First

+1400

Anytime

+650

Victor Vinícius 'Vitinho' Coelho dos Santos (Corinthians)

First

+1400

Anytime

+650

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

First

+1600

Anytime

+750

Jesse Lingard (Corinthians)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

First

+1900

Anytime

+900

Khellven Douglas Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+950

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+950

Emiliano Martinez Toranza (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+950

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+950

Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+950

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Yuri Alberto (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

Memphis Depay (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Garro (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Kaio César (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Guilherme William Silva Inácio (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Victor Vinícius 'Vitinho' Coelho dos Santos (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Jesse Lingard (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Emiliano Martinez Toranza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Khellven Douglas Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Yuri Alberto (Corinthians)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Memphis Depay (Corinthians)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Corinthians)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Victor Vinícius 'Vitinho' Coelho dos Santos (Corinthians)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Guilherme William Silva Inácio (Corinthians)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Kaio César (Corinthians)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Garro (Corinthians)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Jesse Lingard (Corinthians)

Over 0.5

-345

Under 0.5

-

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Emiliano Martinez Toranza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

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Palmeiras vs Corinthians Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Palmeiras vs Corinthians team news before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A together with updated injury news.

Palmeiras Team Page Corinthians Team Page

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