Palmeiras vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Sep 2026

Palmeiras vs São Paulo Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Palmeiras To Win @ -154

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Palmeiras can deliver the goods when it comes to Full-Time Result betting and we’ll back them with confidence against São Paulo. The odds of -154 look attractive when it comes to the home team.

Take a closer look at our complete Palmeiras vs São Paulo betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Palmeiras vs São Paulo Preview

Palmeiras clash with São Paulo, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Saturday 12 September.

Palmeiras drew on the road in their last Série A game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Botafogo. Abel Ferreira's side dominated possession with 67% of the ball and had five shots on target.

On Wednesday night, Palmeiras won 1-0 at home to LDU Quito in the Copa Libertadores.

São Paulo claimed a home win in their previous Série A game. A 2-0 victory against Atlético Mineiro made it two league triumphs on the spin. Tricolor Paulista enjoyed 52% possession and had five shots on goal, while Luciano Neves and Iago were on the scoresheet.

Last time out, São Paulo lost 1-0 away to Boca Juniors in the Copa Sudamericana.

H2H: Teams’ Last Battle Saw 1-0 Palmeiras Victory

It has been four wins on the bounce for Palmeiras when playing São Paulo. In the last clash, it was Palmeiras who claimed a 1-0 away victory. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in six Palmeiras victories, two draws and two São Paulo wins.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Palmeiras	26	15	8	3	45	21	24	45:21	53
10	São Paulo	25	9	6	10	31	28	3	31:28	33

View Full Table

Palmeiras have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 15.6 attempts. The Big Green have averaged 56.4% possession and 5.0 corners per match, conceding 0.8 goals and 4.7 corners from 3.9 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts.

Mauricio leads the way with 6 goals, Jose Lopez has 3, with Ramon Sosa and Paulinho scoring 2. Jhon Arias and Joaquin Piquerez are tied for the most assists on 3.

São Paulo have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 4.7 shots on goal, 15.5 attempts and 1.0 goals. Dorival Junior's team average 56.5% possession, 6.7 corners taken and 4.5 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 10.5 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Luciano Neves has scored 3 goals, followed by Iago, Gustavo Santana, Pablo Maia and Marcos Antonio on 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Artur Guimaraes, Lucas Ramon and Joao Victor who have all made 1.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Palmeiras predicted lineup (4-4-2): Carlos Miguel (GK), Agustín Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Joaquín Piquerez, Mauricio, Lucas Evangelista, Andreas Pereira, Felipe Anderson, Vitor Roque, José Manuel López.

São Paulo predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Rafael (GK), Domingos Duarte, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Lucas Ramon, Danielzinho, Marcos Antônio, Wendell, Artur, Gustavo Santana, Jonathan Calleri.

Main Match Prediction

Our opinion is that Palmeiras will prove too strong for their opponents and we’ll therefore take the -154 for this Série A game. This bet really stands out when it comes to securing value.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• Palmeiras have won 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• Palmeiras have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• São Paulo have lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• São Paulo have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• São Paulo have lost their last 2 games on the road.
• Palmeiras have won the last 4 games between these teams.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Série A injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 60.6% prospect of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

For those who want to back Palmeiras at a bigger price, you can combine this selection with another pick on the Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets.

Make the most of your next wager by unlocking the best betting offers along with the latest sign-up bonuses and promotions.

Palmeiras To Win @ -154 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 10, 23:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Palmeiras 2 - 0 São Paulo

We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-0 being landed by Palmeiras. You can secure odds of +575 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Agustín Giay To Score +900

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras) can be wagered at +900 to score. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Agustín Giay Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+900

First

+2000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

São Paulo Over 3.5 Corners -109

There’s been an average 8.20 São Paulo corners in their past five games, while Palmeiras have let the opposition average 4.70 corners in the previous ten matches. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing São Paulo to cover the Team Corners line, with -109 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Palmeiras

Total

9.70 5.00 4.70

Home

9.20 6.20 3.00

Away

11.60 5.90 5.70

São Paulo

Total

11.20 6.70 4.50

Home

13.80 9.50 4.30

Away

10.20 5.50 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-133

Under 9.5

-106

Palmeiras Corners

Over 5.5

-156

Under 5.5

+105

São Paulo Corners

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-139

Most Corners

1

-294

X

+700

2

+270

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Palmeiras vs São Paulo Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Série A encounter, the bookmakers have Palmeiras as the -154 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 61% chance of triumphing. São Paulo are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +430.

Taking Palmeiras -0.75 against São Paulo means a full Asian Handicap payout at -119 if they win by 2+ goals. The second prize is a half-stake payout and half-stake refund if they win by one.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -139 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to wager on the Série A coupon and we advise heading to the leading sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.

Full-Time Result

1

-154

X

+265

2

+430

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+116

2

+430

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-370

X2

+118

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+265

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-119

2 Hcp +0.75

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-141

Over 2.5

+108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-139

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +480. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +210.

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+480

Anytime

+210

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

First

+500

Anytime

+210

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

First

+500

Anytime

+210

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+650

Anytime

+280

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+800

Anytime

+340

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+850

Anytime

+370

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+370

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Bruno Fuchs (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Khellven Douglas Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+2000

Anytime

+950

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Emiliano Martinez Toranza (Palmeiras)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Marlon Freitas (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Gabriel Santana Marcolino (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Murilo Cerqueira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Emiliano Martinez Toranza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Fuchs (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-

Khellven Douglas Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Jhon Arias (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Jose Manuel "Flaco" Lopez (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Luis Pacheco (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Barboza (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

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Palmeiras vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Palmeiras vs São Paulo, check the team news first. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and injury news right here.

Palmeiras Team Page São Paulo Team Page

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