Poland vs Albania Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Mar 2026
World Cup Play-Off Betting Preview: Poland vs Albania
Poland clash with Albania in this World Cup play-off semi-final at the National Stadium in Warsaw, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Thursday 26 March.
Poland look a great bet to beat Albania on the Full-Time Result market. You can get odds of -161 with BetMGM that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.
A second-place finish in Group G, three points behind Netherlands and ahead of Finland, Malta and Lithuania, saw Poland book their place in this play-off semi-final.
Poland secured a 3-2 away win over Malta in a World Cup qualifier at Ta’ Qali last time out. The White and Red had four shots on target and boasted 60% possession, with Robert Lewandowski, Pawel Wszolek and Piotr Zielinski scoring one goal apiece.
Albania secured their place in the play-off after finishing second in Group K, six points behind England but ahead of Serbia, Latvia and Andorra.
The Albanians come into this game after a 2-0 home defeat to England in World Cup qualifying at the Air Albania Stadium. Sylvinho's team finished with just 30% possession and didn’t have any shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Albania had the edge in the most recent meeting between these teams, recording a 2-0 home win over Poland in a Euro 2024 qualifier at the Air Albania Stadium. In the previous 4 H2H matches, there have been three Poland victories and one Albania win.
| Europe World Cup Qualification | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Poland |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Albania |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7:5 | 14 |
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 16.6 attempts. Poland have had 48.1% possession, 417.8 passes and 5.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts, while being awarded 3.6 corners.
Robert Lewandowski is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Jakub Kaminski, Matty Cash and Karol Swiderski each have 2. The leading assistors are Robert Lewandowski and Piotr Zielinski with 3, while goalie Lukasz Skorupski has recorded 3 clean sheets.
Albania have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 0.8 goals from 8.6 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. The Red and Black average 52.4% possession, 3.5 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against them, while conceding 0.7 goals from 8.6 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.
Rey Manaj has recorded 3 goals, Kristjan Asllani 2, with Myrto Uzuni and Nedim Bajrami both managing 1. Myrto Uzuni, Arlind Ajeti and Arber Hoxha are top assists providers with 1, while Thomas Strakosha has recorded 6 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Poland confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Kamil Grabara (GK), Tomasz Kedziora, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Matty Cash, Sebastian Szymanski, Piotr Zielinski, Michal Skoras, Filip Rozga, Robert Lewandowski, Jakub Kaminski.
Albania confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Thomas Strakosha (GK), Elseid Hysaj, Arlind Ajeti, Berat Djimsiti, Mario Mitaj, Juljan Shehu, Kristjan Asllani, Myrto Uzuni, Qazim Laci, Arber Hoxha, Nedim Bajrami.
Poland vs Albania Prediction & Betting Tips
This expert Poland vs Albania betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, corners analysis, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.
Match Prediction
If you agree with our verdict that Poland will have the edge in this World Cup qualifying clash, then you can back the home team at -161. We’re expecting a nice potential return with this match winner bet.
The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest World Cup qualifying team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.
Key Poland vs Albania stats:
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 61.7% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If you’re feeling confident that Poland will win, why not consider a Match Result & Total bet? It provides a bigger odds option and you need to predict the number of goals along with our team to triumph.
Check out our latest betting offers guide — packed with top free bet deals and exclusive welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
Poland can be backed to win 2-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +480 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.
Player Prop Picks
Piotr Zielinski (Poland) has recorded over 1.5 shots in his past two games. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Player Shots line at odds of -105.
Robert Lewandowski (Poland) has been among the goals in three of his past five matches. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of -111.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
It’s been under 3.5 corners for Albania in 8 of their past 10 away matches, while Poland have conceded less than 3.5 corners in four straight home games. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -149 for this Albania Team Corners bet.
Poland
Albania
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve loaded up a same-game multi with the picks of Poland to succeed, No on the BTTS market along with Piotr Zielinski (Poland) to finish with Over 1.5 shots.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Poland vs Albania Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this World Cup qualifying clash, Poland are the -161 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 62% chance of winning. If you want to back the outsider, Albania are available at +525.
A 2+ goal margin of victory for Poland against Albania means a full payout at -123 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.
Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. An alternative angle is a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is available at -161.
No matter what World Cup qualifying game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.
Robert Lewandowski is priced at +220 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of -114 to find the net anytime.
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 17/11 Malta 2 Poland3
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 14/11 Poland 1 Netherlands1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 12/10 Lithuania 0 Poland2
- Friendlies: 09/10 Poland 1 New Zealand0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 07/09 Poland 3 Finland1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. K: 16/11 Albania 0 England2
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. K: 13/11 Andorra 0 Albania1
- Friendlies: 14/10 Albania 4 Jordan2
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. K: 11/10 Serbia 0 Albania1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. K: 09/09 Albania 1 Latvia0
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Poland Stats
Albania Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 3.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 48.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
Poland vs Albania Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the Poland vs Albania team news before you bet. We’ll update you with the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and the latest injury reports.
Poland Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Albania Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Poland Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Albania Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Poland Substitutes
- 3P. Wisniewski
- 6Bartosz Slisz
- 7Karol Swiderski
- 8Jakub Moder
- 11Kamil Grosicki
- 12Mateusz Kochalski
- 15Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 16Jan Ziolkowski
- 18Bartosz Bereszynski
- 21Oskar Pietuszewski
- 22Bartlomiej Dragowski
- 23Krzysztof Piatek
Albania Substitutes
- 2Ivan Balliu
- 7Adrion Pajaziti
- 9Anis Mehmeti
- 12Elhan Kastrati
- 13Naser Aliji
- 15Bujar Pllana
- 17Ernest Muci
- 18Ardian Ismajli
- 19Stavros Pilios
- 20Ylber Ramadani
- 22Armando Broja
- 23Mario Dajsinani
Previous Poland Lineups
Previous Albania Lineups
Poland Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jan Urban
Albania Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:13 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Sweden | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Greece | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 4 | Belarus | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 13 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Ireland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Hungary | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 8 |
| 4 | Armenia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 4 | Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:19 | 5 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Bosnia and H. | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Romania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Cyprus | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 5 | San Marino | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2:39 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Israel | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19:20 | 12 |
| 4 | Estonia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | 4 |
| 5 | Moldova | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:32 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21:11 | 16 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 5 | Liechtenstein | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0:31 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22:0 | 24 |
| 2 | Albania | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Serbia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Latvia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 5 | Andorra | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:28 | 0 |
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