Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Sep 2026

Portsmouth vs Derby Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -125

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Goals could be scored by both Portsmouth and Derby and that means heading to the Both Teams to Score market. We really like the -125 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection.

Check out the complete Portsmouth vs Derby betting breakdown below, highlighting the logic behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Portsmouth vs Derby Preview

Portsmouth meet Derby at Fratton Park, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 1 September.

Portsmouth were beaten in their last game. On their travels, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Bristol City at Ashton Gate. John Mousinho's side enjoyed 54% possession and managed one shot on target, while Marko Milovanovic registered the goal.

Derby County were defeated in their previous game, being turned over 3-0 at home to Swansea City at Pride Park. The Rams had 47% possession but failed to have a shot on goal.

H2H: 1-0 Win for Derby in Pair’s Last Encounter

Derby have avoided defeat against Portsmouth in the past eight meetings. In the last clash, away side Derby landed a 1-0 victory at Fratton Park. The previous 8 H2H games have featured six draws and two Derby victories.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
16	Portsmouth	9	3	2	4	12	13	-1	12:13	11
23	Derby	10	1	3	6	9	19	-10	9:19	6

View Full Table

Pompey have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. Pompey have averaged 46.2% possession and 4.0 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.5 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 12.3 attempts and 6.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Adrian Segecic has found the net 6 times, with Marko Milovanovic, Ryan Kavuma-McQueen, Ebou Adams and Terry Devlin scoring 1 each. Adrian Segecic has recorded the most assists with 3.

Derby have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.4 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. The East Midlands team have averaged 48.6% possession, 4.7 corners taken and 5.3 corners against, while conceding 1.8 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts.

Carlton Morris and Jaydon Banel have 3 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Sammie Szmodics on 2. Carlton Morris has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Portsmouth confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Daniel Bielica (GK), Terry Devlin, Benjamin Arthur, Madiodio Dia, Zak Swanson, Marlon Pack, Ebou Adams, Abu Kamara, Adrian Segecic, Ryan Kavuma-McQueen, Marko Milovanovic.

Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Dion Sanderson, Craig Forsyth, Charlie Taylor, Oscar Fraulo, Alex Mowatt, Ryan Hedges, Bobby Clark, Rhian Brewster, Sammie Szmodics.

Main Match Prediction

The teams both have the players to score and it’s for that reason that we’re backing the BTTS Yes option in this Championship clash. Odds of -125 look really appealing when it comes to this outcome.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 straight Portsmouth games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Portsmouth games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Portsmouth games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 5 straight Derby games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Derby games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Derby games on the road.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Championship stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 55.6% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There’s a chance to secure bigger odds for your BTTS Yes pick by heading to the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market and including Over 2.5. Land a return if there are at least three goals along with both sides finding the net.

Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -125 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 30, 20:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Portsmouth 2 - 1 Derby

Portsmouth are available to back at +575 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ryan Hedges Over 0.5 Shots On Target +220

Ryan Hedges (Derby) can be backed to register one or more shots on goal at +220. He looks like a value bet on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop pick.

Latest Ryan Hedges Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

---

Adrian Segecic to Score +290

Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth) has netted five goals in his past five Championship matches. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +290 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Derby Over 4.5 Corners +110

4 of the past 5 Derby games have seen them have over 4.5 corners, while Portsmouth have conceded an average of 6.70 corners in the past 10 matches. The Derby Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of +110.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Portsmouth

Total

10.70 4.00 6.70

Home

10.80 6.50 4.30

Away

11.00 5.50 5.50

Derby

Total

10.00 4.70 5.30

Home

9.20 5.30 3.90

Away

8.80 2.80 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-147

Portsmouth Corners

Over 5.5

-111

Under 5.5

-130

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-143

Most Corners

1

-154

X

+650

2

+150

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Portsmouth vs Derby Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Portsmouth at -108 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 52% chance of winning this Championship clash based on the betting odds. If you want to wager on the underdog, Derby County have been priced up at +280.

Portsmouth are -111 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as a victory on the Full-Time Result. The alternative is to oppose the favourites and get the draw onside by going for Derby +0.5 at -118 instead.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. For the Both Teams to Score market, it’s hard to separate the BTTS Yes and No options when it comes to the odds available.

All of the Championship games see the top betting sites go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

-108

X

+245

2

+280

Half-Time Result

1

+148

X

+108

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-345

X2

-119

Draw No Bet

1

-250

2

+165

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-111

2 Hcp +0.5

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-133

Over 2.5

-102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-123

No

-111

Carlton Morris is priced at +450 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +180 to find the net anytime.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+450

Anytime

+180

Colby Bishop (Portsmouth)

First

+475

Anytime

+190

Filip Bilbija (Derby)

First

+600

Anytime

+250

Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)

First

+650

Anytime

+270

Harvey Blair (Portsmouth)

First

+750

Anytime

+300

Abu Kamara (Portsmouth)

First

+750

Anytime

+310

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+330

Ebou Adams (Portsmouth)

First

+850

Anytime

+350

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

First

+1150

Anytime

+450

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Odin Bailey (Portsmouth)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

John Swift (Portsmouth)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Ryan Hedges (Derby)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Terry Devlin (Portsmouth)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Luke Le Roux (Portsmouth)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Regan Poole (Portsmouth)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Alex Mowatt (Derby)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Marlon Pack (Portsmouth)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Zak Swanson (Portsmouth)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Conor Shaughnessy (Portsmouth)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Hayden Matthews (Portsmouth)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Jacob Farrell (Portsmouth)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Colby Bishop (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Filip Bilbija (Derby)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Harvey Blair (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Abu Kamara (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Ebou Adams (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Bobby Clark (Derby)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Odin Bailey (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

John Swift (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Ryan Hedges (Derby)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Terry Devlin (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Luke Le Roux (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Zak Swanson (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Alex Mowatt (Derby)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Regan Poole (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Marlon Pack (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Joe Ward (Derby)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Conor Shaughnessy (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Hayden Matthews (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Farrell (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 League matches only.
Portsmouth have finished with five losses, three victories and two draws in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Derby have managed seven losses and three victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Derby beat Portsmouth 1-0 when the teams last met at Fratton Park. In the past 4 H2H meetings at Fratton Park, there have been three draws and a win for Derby.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Portsmouth Home Stats		3-2-5	2.20	1.10	1.10	4	6	4	6
Derby Away Stats		3-0-7	3.40	1.60	1.80	7	3	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Portsmouth vs Derby Lineups & Team News

The Portsmouth vs Derby team news could change everything — review it before betting. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Championship lineups and the latest on injuries.

Portsmouth Team Page Derby County Team Page

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