Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Sep 2026
Portsmouth vs Derby Predictions
Goals could be scored by both Portsmouth and Derby and that means heading to the Both Teams to Score market. We really like the -125 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection.
Check out the complete Portsmouth vs Derby betting breakdown below, highlighting the logic behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Portsmouth vs Derby Preview
Portsmouth meet Derby at Fratton Park, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 1 September.
Portsmouth were beaten in their last game. On their travels, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Bristol City at Ashton Gate. John Mousinho's side enjoyed 54% possession and managed one shot on target, while Marko Milovanovic registered the goal.
Derby County were defeated in their previous game, being turned over 3-0 at home to Swansea City at Pride Park. The Rams had 47% possession but failed to have a shot on goal.
1-0 Win for Derby in Pair’s Last Encounter
Derby have avoided defeat against Portsmouth in the past eight meetings. In the last clash, away side Derby landed a 1-0 victory at Fratton Park. The previous 8 H2H games have featured six draws and two Derby victories.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |  Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Derby |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3:7 | 1 |
Pompey have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. Pompey have averaged 46.2% possession and 4.0 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.5 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 12.3 attempts and 6.7 corners.
Top goalscorer Adrian Segecic has found the net 6 times, with Marko Milovanovic, Ryan Kavuma-McQueen, Ebou Adams and Terry Devlin scoring 1 each. Adrian Segecic has recorded the most assists with 3.
Derby have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.4 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. The East Midlands team have averaged 48.6% possession, 4.7 corners taken and 5.3 corners against, while conceding 1.8 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts.
Carlton Morris and Jaydon Banel have 3 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Sammie Szmodics on 2. Carlton Morris has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Portsmouth predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Schmid (GK), Terry Devlin, Benjamin Arthur, Conor Shaughnessy, Zak Swanson, Marlon Pack, Rocco Robert Shein, Abu Kamara, Adrian Segecic, Ryan Kavuma McQueen, Colby Bishop.
Derby predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Max Johnston, Sondre Langås, Dion Sanderson, Charlie Taylor, Lewis Travis, Alex Mowatt, Ryan Hedges, Bobby Clark, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Lars-Jorgen Salvesen.
Main Match Prediction
The teams both have the players to score and it’s for that reason that we’re backing the BTTS Yes option in this Championship clash. Odds of -125 look really appealing when it comes to this outcome.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Championship stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 55.6% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
There’s a chance to secure bigger odds for your BTTS Yes pick by heading to the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market and including Over 2.5. Land a return if there are at least three goals along with both sides finding the net.
Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Derby
Portsmouth are available to back at +600 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.
Player Prop Picks
Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth) has netted five goals in his past five Championship matches. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +290 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
4 of the past 5 Derby games have seen them have over 4.5 corners, while Portsmouth have conceded an average of 6.70 corners in the past 10 matches. The Derby Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of +110.
Portsmouth
Derby
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is compiled of the following: both teams to find the net, Portsmouth to claim a victory combined with Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth) to score.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Portsmouth vs Derby Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Portsmouth at +112 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 47% chance of winning this Championship clash based on the betting odds. If you want to wager on the underdog, Derby County have been priced up at +235.
If Portsmouth only draw with Derby, then the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager means you get half your stake back. However, you get a full payout at -122 if they’re able to land a victory.
A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. For the Both Teams to Score market, it’s hard to separate the BTTS Yes and No options when it comes to the odds available.
All of the Championship games see the top betting sites go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.
Carlton Morris is priced at +450 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +180 to find the net anytime.
Stats: League matches only
Portsmouth have finished with five losses, three victories and two draws in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.10.
Derby have managed seven losses and three victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
Derby beat Portsmouth 1-0 when the teams last met at Fratton Park. In the past 4 H2H meetings at Fratton Park, there have been three draws and a win for Derby.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth Home Stats |
3-2-5 | 2.20 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
| Derby Away Stats |
3-0-7 | 3.40 | 1.60 | 1.80 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 16/03 2026 Portsmouth 0 Derby 1
- Championship: 20/12 2025 Derby 1 Portsmouth 1
- Championship: 12/04 2025 Portsmouth 2 Derby 2
- Championship: 13/12 2024 Derby 4 Portsmouth 0
- League One: 02/04 2024 Portsmouth 2 Derby 2
- League One: 16/09 2023 Derby 1 Portsmouth 1
- League One: 29/04 2023 Derby 1 Portsmouth 1
- League One: 18/11 2022 Portsmouth 0 Derby 0
Portsmouth League Stats
Derby League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 6.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Portsmouth this season are Adrian Segecic (1), Ebou Adams (1), Marko Milovanovic (1)
- Top Assistors for Portsmouth this season are Abu Kamara (1), Ebou Adams (1)
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Portsmouth vs Derby Lineups & Team News
The Portsmouth vs Derby team news could change everything — review it before betting. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Championship lineups and the latest on injuries.
Portsmouth Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Portsmouth Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Portsmouth Lineups
Previous Derby Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Portsmouth Player Stats & Squad
Manager: John Mousinho
Derby Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Swansea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 4 | QPR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Millwall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 7 | West Brom | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 8 | Birmingham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 9 | Watford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 11 | Bolton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Cardiff | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Portsmouth | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 16 | Norwich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 18 | Southampton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 2 |
| 19 | West Ham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 20 | Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 21 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 22 | Burnley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:9 | 1 |
| 23 | Preston | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 24 | Stoke | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 6 | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 8 | West Brom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Blackburn | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Bolton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 14 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 15 | Swansea | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 16 | QPR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 19 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 20 | West Ham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 21 | Stoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 22 | Portsmouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 23 | Lincoln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 24 | Preston | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
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