Portugal vs Croatia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Jul 2026
Portugal vs Croatia Predictions
The betting sites might have been too generous with their odds of -110 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. We can’t see any reason why Portugal and Croatia won’t find the net.
The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Portugal vs Croatia, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Portugal vs Croatia Preview
Portugal square off against in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 Croatia at Toronto Stadium (BMO Field), with kick-off set for 19:00 on Thursday 2 July.
Toronto Stadium is an open-air venue where hot humid conditions, risk of thunderstorms and a temperature of 31°C (88°F) are expected at kick-off.
Portugal finished second in Group K on five points and a goal difference of 6-1, ending two points behind Colombia. Roberto Martinez's side opened their campaign with a 1-1 draw against DR Congo before cruising to a 5-0 victory over Uzbekistan.
A goalless draw with Colombia at Miami Stadium in their final group game secured second place, with Portugal having 45% possession and two shots on target.
Croatia also finished as runners-up, collecting six points in Group L and ending one point behind England with a 5-5 goal difference. Their campaign began with a 4-2 defeat to England before they bounced back with a 1-0 victory over Panama.
The Croatians then sealed qualification with a 2-1 win over Ghana at Philadelphia Stadium. The Chequered Ones enjoyed 53% possession and registered four shots on target, with Petar Sucic and Nikola Vlasic both finding the net.
H2H: Portugal Boast Strong Record Against Croatia
Portugal and Croatia have met 10 times, with Portugal winning seven, Croatia claiming one victory and two matches ending in draws. Their most recent meeting came in the 2024 UEFA Nations League, when the sides drew 1-1 at Stadion Poljud in Split.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Portugal |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 2 |  Croatia |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5:5 | 6 |
Portugal have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 3.3 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts. The Navigators have averaged 61.9% possession and 5.3 corners per match, conceding 1.3 goals and 2.8 corners from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.
Top goalscorer Cristiano Ronaldo has found the net 8 times, with Joao Neves and Bruno Fernandes scoring 4 and 3 respectively. Joao Cancelo, Bruno Fernandes and Pedro Neto have the most assists with 3, while goalie Diogo Costa has recorded 4 clean sheets.
Croatia have won 8, lost 1 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.4 goals from 6.6 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 62.1% possession, 6.9 corners taken and 4.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts.
The top scorers have been Andrej Kramaric on 4, followed by Nikola Vlasic and Ivan Perisic with 3. Luka Modric and Josip Stanisic are the top assist makers with 3 apiece, while Dominik Livakovic has notched 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Portugal confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Diogo Costa (GK), Joao Cancelo, Ruben Dias, Renato Veiga, Nuno Mendes, Joao Neves, Vitinha, Pedro Neto, Bruno Fernandes, Rafael Leao, Cristiano Ronaldo.
Croatia confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Dominik Livakovic (GK), Josip Stanisic, Josip Sutalo, Marin Pongracic, Ivan Perisic, Luka Modric, Mateo Kovacic, Nikola Vlasic, Petar Sucic, Martin Baturina, Ante Budimir.
Main Match Prediction
Goals could be scored by both teams in this Round of 32 clash and that means heading to the Both Teams to Score market. We really like the -110 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection.
BTTS has landed in each of the last six meetings between these sides. The latest xG data and stats also support our bet and we're confident both teams can find the net.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making World Cup recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.
The best betting apps make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
There’s the chance to generate a bigger price by combining your BTTS Yes wager with one of the three Full-Time Result options. This is available on the Result & Both Teams to Score market.
Get more from your bets—review the most up-to-date betting promo codes and sign-up offers in our exclusive bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Croatia
We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline after 90 minutes. The odds of +550 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.
Player Prop Picks
Bruno Fernandes (Portugal) has totalled one or more shots on goal in his past two matches. We anticipate that these numbers will prove telling and that he will cover the Shots on Target line at odds of -147.
Ante Budimir (Croatia) can be wagered at +320 to find the net. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Croatia have had under 3.5 corners in four straight matches, while Portugal have had an average of 2.80 corners against them in their previous 10 games. The Croatia Team Corners line looks too high and we’re content to go under this number at odds of -156.
Portugal
Croatia
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for both teams to score, Croatia with an Asian Handicap of +0.75 as well as Bruno Fernandes (Portugal) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Portugal vs Croatia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Portugal are the -149 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 60% chance of triumphing in this World Cup encounter according to the latest odds. For those wanting to back Croatia, you will find +450 about this outsider.
Portugal are -123 if you take them on the Asian Handicap at -0.75. Stakes are split between -0.5 and -1 which means you need a 2+ goal win for a full payout. A one-goal victory means a return with half your stake and the other half refunded.
Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -147.
The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any World Cup game and take your pick.
Cristiano Ronaldo is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +280. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is -111.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Portugal Stats
Croatia Stats
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 61.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 61.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Portugal vs Croatia Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Portugal vs Croatia before you bet. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the World Cup along with up-to-date injury news.
Portugal Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Croatia Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Portugal Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Croatia Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Portugal Substitutes
- 2Nelson Semedo
- 4Tomas Araujo
- 5Diogo Dalot
- 6Matheus Nunes
- 9Goncalo Ramos
- 10Bernardo Silva
- 11Joao Felix
- 12Jose Sa
- 14Goncalo Inacio
- 16Trincao
- 19Goncalo Guedes
- 21Ruben Neves
- 22Rui Silva
- 24Samu
- 26Chico Conceicao
Croatia Substitutes
- 4Josko Gvardiol
- 5Duje Caleta-Car
- 7Nikola Moro
- 9Andrej Kramaric
- 12Ivor Pandur
- 15Mario Pasalic
- 18Kristijan Jakic
- 19Toni Fruk
- 20Igor Matanovic
- 21Luka Sucic
- 22Luka Vuskovic
- 23Dominik Kotarski
- 24Marco Pasalic
- 25Martin Erlic
- 26Petar Musa
Previous Portugal Lineups
Previous Croatia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Portugal Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Roberto Martinez
Croatia Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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