Portugal vs Spain Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Jul 2026
Portugal vs Spain Predictions
The top wager for this Portugal vs Spain contest could involve a Total Goals pick. Our opinion is that Under 2.5 looks too good to miss based on the latest stats and the price of -110 stands out.
Our Portugal vs Spain betting coverage includes detailed reasoning for the main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Portugal vs Spain Preview
Portugal face Iberian neighbours Spain in the FIFA World Cup Round of 16 at Dallas Stadium (AT&T Stadium), with kick-off set for 15:00 on Monday 6 July.
Dallas Stadium is a climate-controlled indoor venue where temperatures will be maintained at a comfortable 21°C (70°F) throughout the match, despite the intense Texas summer heat of 35°C (95°F) 21°C (70°F) baking the outdoors.
Portugal reached the knockout stages after finishing second in Group K, two points behind Colombia. Their campaign began with a 1-1 draw against Cape Verde before a dominant 5-0 victory over Uzbekistan and a goalless stalemate with Colombia.
A 2-1 victory over Croatia at Toronto Stadium secured Portugal's place in the Round of 16. The Navigators finished with 60% possession and three shots on target, with Cristiano Ronaldo and Goncalo Ramos finding the net.
Meanwhile, Spain topped Group H, ending the group stage four points clear of Cape Verde. La Roja opened with a 0-0 draw against Cape Verde before recording a 4-0 success against Saudi Arabia and a 1-0 win over Uruguay.
Luis de la Fuente's men arrive on the back of an impressive knockout victory, beating Austria 3-0 at Los Angeles Stadium. Spain dominated possession with 64% of the ball and produced ten shots on target, while Mikel Oyarzabal scored twice and Pedro Porro added the other goal.
Draws Dominate Recent Portugal vs Spain Meetings
The last 10 head-to-head meetings between Portugal and Spain have been evenly matched, producing six draws, two Portugal wins and two Spain victories. Their most recent encounter came in the 2026 UEFA Nations League final, where Portugal prevailed on penalties after a 2-2 draw following extra time.
Goals have often been at a premium when these sides meet, with seven of their last 10 meetings finishing with Under 2.5 goals.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 |  Portugal |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6:1 | 5 |
Portugal have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.8 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 15.8 attempts. Roberto Martinez's men have averaged 64.1% possession and 5.9 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.9 goals from 3.3 shots on goal, 8.8 attempts and 2.9 corners.
Top scorer is Cristiano Ronaldo on 8 goals, while Joao Neves has racked up 4 and Bruno Fernandes 3. The leading assistors are Joao Cancelo and Bruno Fernandes with 3, while goalie Diogo Costa has recorded 4 clean sheets.
Spain have won 8 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.9 goals from 8.3 shots on goal and 21.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 67.2% possession, 714.9 passes, 7.5 corners taken and 1.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.2 goals from 1.6 shots on goal and 5.8 attempts.
Mikel Oyarzabal is the leading goalscorer with 10, Mikel Merino has 6, with Ferran Torres and Pedri getting 2. Mikel Oyarzabal has clocked up 4 assists, with Unai Simon keeping 9 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Portugal confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Diogo Costa (GK), Joao Cancelo, Ruben Dias, Renato Veiga, Nuno Mendes, Joao Neves, Vitinha, Pedro Neto, Bruno Fernandes, Joao Felix, Cristiano Ronaldo.
Spain confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Unai Simon (GK), Pedro Porro, Pau Cubarsi, Aymeric Laporte, Marc Cucurella, Rodri, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Alejandro Baena, Mikel Oyarzabal.
Main Match Prediction
Under 2.5 goals is our main prediction for this Round of 16 clash. With odds of -110 available, this selection looks a sensible play given the importance of the occasion and the defensive strength of both teams.
The latest xG data and key stats point towards a close, low-scoring game. Portugal have conceded only seven goals across their last 10 matches, while Spain have allowed just four, so goals could be hard to come by.
We use the latest World Cup injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football predictions. You will also see that we sometimes take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
Bettors looking for an alternative at bigger odds might want to take a look at the Under 1.5 Goals option which will pay out providing we see no more than one goal being scored during the ninety minutes.
Get more from your bet. Explore our updated guide featuring the hottest betting offers and best welcome bonus deals.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Spain
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +550 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Bruno Fernandes (Portugal) has had over 1.5 shots in five consecutive matches. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of -123 available.
Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal) has scored eight goals in his past nine games. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +200 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 5.5 corners line has been covered by Spain in eight straight games. We’re expecting plenty of Spain corners and that the Team Corners line is going to be covered, with odds of -100 available.
Portugal
Spain
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a same-game multi that includes less than three goals, Portugal to cover the +0.5 Asian Handicap as well as Bruno Fernandes (Portugal) to manage Over 1.5 shots.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Portugal vs Spain Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Spain are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this World Cup encounter. The -103 for them coming out on top suggests a 51% probability based on their latest betting odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, Portugal are available at +290.
The Asian Handicap -0.5 provides the chance to bet on Spain to effectively win. If you want to oppose them, there’s the alternative to back Portugal +0.5 at -116 and that gets the draw onside.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -172.
The leading football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest World Cup games. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.
Favourite Mikel Oyarzabal is +350 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Portugal Stats
Spain Stats
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 2.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 1.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 64.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 62.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
Portugal vs Spain Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Portugal vs Spain team news beforehand. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups and the latest injury reports.
Portugal Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Spain Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Portugal Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Spain Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Portugal Substitutes
- 2Nelson Semedo
- 4Tomas Araujo
- 5Diogo Dalot
- 6Matheus Nunes
- 9Goncalo Ramos
- 10Bernardo Silva
- 12Jose Sa
- 14Goncalo Inacio
- 16Trincao
- 17Rafael Leao
- 19Goncalo Guedes
- 21Ruben Neves
- 22Rui Silva
- 24Samu
- 26Chico Conceicao
Spain Substitutes
- 1David Raya
- 2Marc Pubill
- 3Alejandro Grimaldo
- 4Eric Garcia
- 5Marcos Llorente
- 6Mikel Merino
- 7Ferran Torres
- 8Fabian Ruiz
- 9Gavi
- 11Yeremy Pino
- 13Joan Garcia
- 17Nico Williams
- 18Martin Zubimendi
- 25Victor Munoz
- 26Borja Iglesias
Previous Portugal Lineups
Previous Spain Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Portugal Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Roberto Martinez
Spain Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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