QPR vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Apr 2026

Championship Betting Preview: QPR vs Derby

QPR take on play-off chasing Derby at Loftus Road, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 25 April.

We’ll split our stake by backing QPR +0.25 at odds of -130 for this Asian Handicap wager. It means we have a return if they draw but a nice payout should the home team claim a victory against Derby.

Queens Park Rangers have been defeated in back-to-back Championship outings. In a recent home game at Loftus Road, they lost 2-1 to Swansea City. Rangers enjoyed 48% possession and five shots on target, while Rhys Norrington-Davies scored the goal.

Derby County were beaten in their previous three road games and the latest was at Carrow Road. Norwich City claimed a 2-1 win. The East Midlands club had 45% possession and totalled eight shots on goal, with David Ozoh finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 1-0 home win for Derby at Pride Park when they last played QPR. The 10 H2H meetings most recently played have included five QPR victories, one draw and four triumphs for Derby.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67	59	8	67:59	69
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61	73	-12	61:73	58

View Full Table

QPR have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. The West London side have averaged 43.3% possession and 4.3 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.5 goals from 5.1 shots on goal, 13.2 attempts and 5.6 corners.

Top goalscorers are Rayan Kolli and Paul Smyth on 3 goals, while Richard Kone has bagged 2. Leading assistor is Harvey Vale with 3.

Derby have 6 victories and 4 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. John Eustace's team have averaged 49.0% possession, 3.8 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts.

Ben Brereton Diaz has scored 4 goals, followed by Jaydon Banel, Carlton Morris, Rhian Brewster and Matthew Clarke on 2. Derry Murkin has been the top assist maker with 3 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

QPR confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Paul Nardi (GK), Amadou Salif Mbengue, Ronnie Edwards, Jake Clarke-Salter, Rhys Norrington-Davies, Daniel Bennie, Kieran Morgan, Jonathan Varane, Paul Smyth, Harvey Vale, Richard Kone.

Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Dion Sanderson, Matthew Clarke, Max Johnston, Lewis Travis, Oscar Fraulo, Joe Ward, Sammie Szmodics, Ben Brereton Diaz, Carlton Morris.

QPR vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top QPR vs Derby betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We’re backing QPR at -130 in this Championship game with a +0.25 goal start. We think that the home team will have the edge and we can therefore feel confident of a return with this bet.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Championship form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key QPR vs Derby league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by QPR in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by QPR in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by QPR in 6 of their last 10 games against Derby.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 56.5% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There’s often the option to sell goals and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying goals will give you a less-risky bet but shorter odds.

Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

QPR Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -130 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 23, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

QPR 1 - 0 Derby

A 1-0 win in favor of QPR is available at odds of +700. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Paul Smyth to Score +500

Paul Smyth (QPR) has racked up three goals in his past five Championship home matches. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +500 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Paul Smyth Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+440

First

+1150

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Derby Under 4.5 Corners +110

In nine consecutive away games, Derby have fallen short of 4.5 corners. There’s everything to like about the Derby Team Corners line which looks too big and we’d expect them to go under at +110.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

QPR

Total

9.90 4.30 5.60

Home

9.00 4.40 4.60

Away

10.30 4.70 5.60

Derby

Total

8.30 3.80 4.50

Home

9.10 5.20 3.90

Away

8.20 2.80 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-132

QPR Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-118

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-133

Most Corners

1

-106

X

+600

2

+108

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

QPR vs Derby Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The draw is available at +240 if you believe that this Championship clash will finish level, with Derby County at +132 and Queens Park Rangers chalked up at +195 with the bookmakers to secure a win of their own.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Derby at -154 and QPR at +108.

If you want to back how many goals will be scored, you can get similar odds on Over or Under 2.5 Goals. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -159 on the BTTS market.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest Championship game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

+195

X

+240

2

+132

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+120

2

+185

Double Chance

1X

-179

12

-345

X2

-278

Draw No Bet

1

+108

2

-154

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-127

2 Hcp -0.25

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-110

Over 2.5

-122

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+114

Carlton Morris is the market leader at +350 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+125

Anytime

+350

Rumarn Burrell (QPR)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Richard Kone (QPR)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Ilias Chair (QPR)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Rayan Kolli (QPR)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Kwame Poku (QPR)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Harvey Vale (QPR)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Daniel Bennie (QPR)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Paul Smyth (QPR)

First

+440

Anytime

+1150

Jaylan Pearman (QPR)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Koki Saito (QPR)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Derry John Murkin (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Kieran Morgan (QPR)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Nicolas Madsen (QPR)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Isaac Hayden (QPR)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jimmy Dunne (QPR)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Max Johnston (Derby)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Stats: Championship matches only
QPR have clocked up five losses, four wins and one draw in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

The previous three Derby away matches have seen them beaten. The Rams have clocked up six losses and four wins in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

QPR overcame Derby 4-0 when the sides last met at Loftus Road. In the previous 4 H2H matches at Loftus Road, there have been three QPR victories and one Derby win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
QPR Home Stats		4-1-5	3.40	1.70	1.70	8	2	6	4
Derby Away Stats		4-0-6	3.00	1.50	1.50	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

QPR vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for QPR vs Derby before you bet. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

QPR Team Page Derby County Team Page

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