QPR vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Oct 2026
QPR vs Derby Predictions
QPR look like a standout bet when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. There are odds of -130 that the home team overcome Derby and we’re confident that this is a value play.
We analyse several betting angles in our QPR vs Derby betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
QPR vs Derby Preview
QPR clash with Derby at Loftus Road, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Wednesday 14 October.
Queens Park Rangers drew on the road in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against West Ham United at London Stadium. Julien Stephan's men ended up with just 34% possession and had three shots on target, with Nicolas Madsen bagging the goal.
Derby County played Wrexham at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Pride Park. The East Midlands outfit had 45% possession and totalled four shots on goal, while Sammie Szmodics found the net.
H2H: 3-2 Win for Derby in Last Head-to-Head Battle
Derby have claimed victories in the last two clashes against QPR. A 3-2 away win at Loftus Road followed a 1-0 home triumph at Pride Park. The previous 10 H2H meetings have seen QPR win five times, one draw and four Derby triumphs.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  QPR |
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 23 |  Derby |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8:15 | 6 |
3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts. QPR have had 47.6% possession and 5.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.9 corners.
Paul Smyth, Rumarn Burrell and Ilias Chair are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Ronnie Edwards, Rumarn Burrell and Tariq Lamptey are the leading assists makers with 1.
Derby have won 1, lost 6 and drawn 3, averaging 3.7 shots on goal, 11.3 attempts and 0.9 goals. The Rams average 48.9% possession, 5.7 corners awarded and 5.7 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 13.9 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal.
Sammie Szmodics got 4 goals, Bobby Clark notched 2, while Mohammed Fuseini and two other players scored 1. Bobby Clark has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
QPR predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Pierce Charles (GK), Kealey Adamson, Jimmy Dunne, Jake Clarke-Salter, Boy Kemper, Nicolas Madsen, Ronnie Edwards, Kwame Poku, Glen Kamara, Rayan Kolli, Richard Kone.
Derby predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Josh Vickers (GK), Joe Ward, Sondre Langås, Dion Sanderson, Ryan Hedges, Alex Mowatt, David Ozoh, Mohammed Fuseini, Bobby Clark, Samuel Szmodics, Carlton Morris.
Main Match Prediction
QPR can’t be ignored when they play this Championship clash, especially as odds of -130 are available for this prediction. Head to the Full-Time Result market to back this value selection.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Championship form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 56.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If you’re looking for bigger odds about QPR landing a victory, then why not combine this selection with some of the other available betting markets in a Bet Builder.
Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Derby
QPR can be backed at +600 to triumph by a 2-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.
Player Prop Picks
Sammie Szmodics (Derby) is available at +110 to finish with one or more shots on goal. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.
Nicolas Madsen (QPR) is available at +525 to be among the goals. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
QPR have been awarded an average of 8.40 corners in the past five home games, while Derby have yielded a corner average of 7.00 in their previous five away matches. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to QPR covering the Team Corners line, with odds of -139 on offer.
QPR
Derby
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can provide entertainment and we’ve got QPR to succeed, less than three goals in total along with Sammie Szmodics (Derby) to finish with one or more shots on target.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
QPR vs Derby Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Queens Park Rangers odds are -130 which leads to them being favourites in this Championship clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 56% prospect of securing a victory. If you’re interested in wagering Derby County, you can get +335 for the underdog.
A 2+ goal margin of victory for QPR against Derby means a full payout at -108 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.
The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -139 on the BTTS market.
You can find hundreds of markets for every Championship match, with the top betting apps creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.
Rumarn Burrell is priced at +400 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +150 to find the net anytime.
Stats: Last 10 Championship matches only.
QPR have finished with four losses, three victories and three draws in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
Derby have managed six losses, three victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.60.
Derby overcame QPR 3-2 when the sides last met at Loftus Road. In the previous 5 H2H games at Loftus Road, QPR have three victories and Derby two.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR Home Stats |
3-3-4 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | |
| Derby Away Stats |
3-1-6 | 2.80 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 25/04 2026 QPR 2 Derby 3
- Championship: 25/10 2025 Derby 1 QPR 0
- Championship: 14/02 2025 QPR 4 Derby 0
- Championship: 05/10 2024 Derby 2 QPR 0
- Championship: 18/04 2022 QPR 1 Derby 0
- Championship: 29/11 2021 Derby 1 QPR 2
- Championship: 23/01 2021 QPR 0 Derby 1
- Championship: 04/11 2020 Derby 0 QPR 1
- Championship: 25/02 2020 QPR 2 Derby 1
- Championship: 30/11 2019 Derby 1 QPR 1
QPR League Stats
Derby League Stats
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 5.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 6.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for QPR this season are Ilias Chair (2), Paul Smyth (2), Rumarn Burrell (2)
- Top Assistors for QPR this season are Amadou Salif Mbengue (1), Harvey Vale (1), Ilias Chair (1)
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QPR vs Derby Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on QPR vs Derby without reviewing the latest team news. Receive the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
QPR Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
QPR Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Derby Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous QPR Lineups
Previous Derby Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
QPR Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Julien Stephan
Derby Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Stoke | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 5 | Wolverhampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 9 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 14 |
| 11 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | 13 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | 11 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 17 | Bolton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 18 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 22 | Burnley | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | 7 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Swansea | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 11 |
| 4 | West Ham | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stoke | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Blackburn | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 7 | Charlton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 8 | West Brom | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 9 | Millwall | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 12 | Watford | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Norwich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 6 |
| 14 | Cardiff | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 15 | Bolton | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 18 | QPR | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 19 | Birmingham | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 21 | Burnley | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Preston | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 23 | Lincoln | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 24 | Derby | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 2 |
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