Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 May 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Athletic Club

Real Madrid welcome Athletic Club to Santiago Bernabéu, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 23 May.

There’s the chance to back Real Madrid -1.25 against Athletic Club and Asian Handicap odds of -105 make lots of appeal. We need a two goal winning margin to win the bet and a one goal triumph means half stake is returned.

Real Madrid have been handed back-to-back league losses. Their last La Liga game saw them land a 1-0 road victory over Sevilla at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Alvaro Arbeloa's side had one shot on target and boasted 59% possession, with Vinicius Junior getting the all-important goal in the 15th minute.

Athletic Club drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home against Celta Vigo at San Mamés. Los Leones enjoyed 58% possession and managed nine shots on goal, with Inaki Williams on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Real have beaten Athletic in the last two head-to-head encounters. A 3-0 away win at San Mamés came after a 1-0 home victory at Santiago Bernabéu. The past 10 H2H matches have seen Real triumph seven times, one draw and two Athletic wins.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Real Madrid	37	26	5	6	73	33	40	73:33	83
12	Athletic Club	37	13	6	18	41	54	-13	41:54	45

View Full Table

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 15.7 attempts and 6.2 shots on goal. Real have had 56.8% possession, 554.6 passes and 6.0 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 12.3 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.3 corners.

Vinicius Junior is the top goalscorer with 7, Federico Valverde has 3, with Jude Bellingham and two other players on 1. Leading assistors have been Trent Alexander-Arnold and Brahim Diaz with 2, while goalkeeper Andriy Lunin has one clean sheet.

Athletic have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 13.4 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Ernesto Valverde's team average 50.2% possession, 433.9 passes, 7.5 corners in their favour and 3.8 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts.

The top scorers have been Gorka Guruzeta on 3, followed by Oihan Sancet and Nico Williams with 2. Yuri Berchiche is top assists provider with 3, while Unai Simon has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Daniel Carvajal, Antonio Ruediger, Dean Huijsen, Francisco Garcia, Brahim Diaz, Jude Bellingham, Aurelien Tchouameni, Thiago Pitarch, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.

Athletic Club predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Unai Simon (GK), Andoni Gorosabel, Yeray Alvarez, Aymeric Laporte, Inigo Lekue, Mikel Jauregizar, Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta, Inaki Williams, Nico Serrano, Alex Berenguer, Gorka Guruzeta.

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Real Madrid vs Athletic Club betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

Real Madrid -1.25 could be worth a bet at -105. We’re confident that they can win by two goals or more in this La Liga encounter and the odds are really appealing when it comes to the favourites.

The La Liga injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Real Madrid vs Athletic Club league stats:

• The +1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Athletic in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Madrid to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.

Our Match Prediction

Real Asian Hcp -1.25 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 21, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Athletic

There’s the option to wager on Real Madrid to win by a 2-0 scoreline. Odds of +750 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Vinicius Junior to Score +123

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) has managed four goals in his past five La Liga games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +123 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Vinicius Junior Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+123

First

+390

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Athletic Over 3.5 Corners -133

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Athletic in seven consecutive matches, with Real Madrid conceding over 3.5 corners in their past six games. There’s everything to like about the Athletic Team Corners line which looks low and we’d expect them to go over at -133.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Real Madrid

Total

10.30 6.00 4.30

Home

10.50 6.80 3.70

Away

10.80 6.20 4.60

Athletic

Total

11.30 7.50 3.80

Home

10.00 6.80 3.20

Away

9.60 5.90 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-104

Real Madrid Corners

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-109

Athletic Corners

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

-109

Most Corners

1

-222

X

+700

2

+210

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this La Liga encounter, the bookmakers have Real Madrid as the -217 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 68% chance of triumphing. Athletic Club are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +525.

If you fancy Real to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of -118. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Athletic at +425 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +160.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -172 for the BTTS Yes option.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to La Liga matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-217

X

+370

2

+525

Half-Time Result

1

-118

X

+160

2

+425

Double Chance

1X

-909

12

-556

X2

+165

Draw No Bet

1

-625

2

+340

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-105

2 Hcp +1.25

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+165

Over 2.5

-222

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+125

Kylian Mbappé is priced at +270 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of -133 to find the net anytime.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

-133

Anytime

+270

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+123

Anytime

+390

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+160

Anytime

+500

Gorka Guruzeta (Athletic)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+260

Anytime

+800

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

+270

Anytime

+850

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+320

Anytime

+1000

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+360

Anytime

+1100

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+360

Anytime

+1100

Nico Williams (Athletic)

First

+370

Anytime

+1100

Oihan Sancet (Athletic)

First

+380

Anytime

+1150

Iñaki Williams (Athletic)

First

+420

Anytime

+1400

Maroan Sannadi (Athletic)

First

+430

Anytime

+1300

Unai Gomez (Athletic)

First

+440

Anytime

+1400

Alex Berenguer (Athletic)

First

+440

Anytime

+1300

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Urko Izeta (Athletic)

First

+450

Anytime

+1400

Robert Navarro (Athletic)

First

+480

Anytime

+1400

Nico Serrano (Athletic)

First

+480

Anytime

+1500

Thiago Pitarch (Real Madrid)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

First

+550

Anytime

+1800

David Alaba (Real Madrid)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Fran García (Real Madrid)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Stats: La Liga matches only
Real Madrid have not lost at Santiago Bernabéu in the past five matches. Alvaro Arbeloa's side have eight wins, one draw and one loss in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.50 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Athletic have finished with six losses, two victories and two draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 2.00.

The most recent Santiago Bernabéu meeting saw Real claim a 1-0 win over Athletic. We’ve seen two drawn games in the past 6 H2H meetings at Santiago Bernabéu along with four Real wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Real Madrid Home Stats		8-1-1	3.40	2.50	0.90	6	4	7	3
Athletic Club Away Stats		2-2-6	3.30	1.30	2.00	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Lineups & Team News

The latest Real vs Athletic team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Real Madrid Team Page Athletic Club Team Page

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