Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 May 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Athletic Club

La Liga runners-up Real Madrid welcome Athletic Club to Santiago Bernabéu, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 23 May.

There’s the chance to back Real Madrid -1.25 against Athletic Club and Asian Handicap odds of -105 make lots of appeal. We need a two goal winning margin to win the bet and a one goal triumph means half stake is returned.

Real Madrid have been handed back-to-back league losses. Their last La Liga game saw them land a 1-0 road victory over Sevilla at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Alvaro Arbeloa's side had one shot on target and boasted 59% possession, with Vinicius Junior getting the all-important goal in the 15th minute.

Athletic Club drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home against Celta Vigo at San Mamés. Los Leones enjoyed 58% possession and managed nine shots on goal, with Inaki Williams on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Real have beaten Athletic in the last two head-to-head encounters. A 3-0 away win at San Mamés came after a 1-0 home victory at Santiago Bernabéu. The past 10 H2H matches have seen Real triumph seven times, one draw and two Athletic wins.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 15.7 attempts and 6.2 shots on goal. Real have had 56.8% possession, 554.6 passes and 6.0 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 12.3 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.3 corners.

Vinicius Junior is the top goalscorer with 7, Federico Valverde has 3, with Jude Bellingham and two other players on 1. Leading assistors have been Trent Alexander-Arnold and Brahim Diaz with 2, while goalkeeper Andriy Lunin has one clean sheet.

Athletic have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 13.4 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Ernesto Valverde's team average 50.2% possession, 433.9 passes, 7.5 corners in their favour and 3.8 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts.

The top scorers have been Gorka Guruzeta on 3, followed by Oihan Sancet and Nico Williams with 2. Yuri Berchiche is top assists provider with 3, while Unai Simon has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Daniel Carvajal, Raul Asencio, David Alaba, Alvaro Carreras, Franco Mastantuono, Jude Bellingham, Federico Valverde, Thiago Pitarch, Gonzalo Garcia, Kylian Mbappe.

Athletic Club confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Alex Padilla (GK), Daniel Vivian, Yeray Alvarez, Aitor Paredes, Adama Boiro, Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta, Mikel Jauregizar, Inaki Williams, Unai Gomez, Robert Navarro, Gorka Guruzeta.

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Real Madrid vs Athletic Club betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

Real Madrid -1.25 could be worth a bet at -105. We’re confident that they can win by two goals or more in this La Liga encounter and the odds are really appealing when it comes to the favourites.

The La Liga injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Real Madrid vs Athletic Club league stats:

• The +1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Athletic in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Madrid to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.

Our Match Prediction

Real Asian Hcp -1.25 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 21, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Athletic

There’s the option to wager on Real Madrid to win by a 2-0 scoreline. Odds of +750 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gorka Guruzeta Over 2.5 Shots -105

Gorka Guruzeta (Athletic) has finished with over 2.5 shots in three of his past five La Liga matches. We recommend backing the -105 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager hopefully providing a return.

Latest Gorka Guruzeta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+750

Shots

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

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Vinicius Junior to Score +125

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) has netted four goals in his past five La Liga games. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +125 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Vinicius Junior Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+125

First

+400

Shots

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Athletic Over 3.5 Corners -133

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Athletic in seven consecutive matches, with Real Madrid conceding over 3.5 corners in their past six games. There’s everything to like about the Athletic Team Corners line which looks low and we’d expect them to go over at -133.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Real Madrid

Total

10.30 6.00 4.30

Home

10.50 6.80 3.70

Away

10.80 6.20 4.60

Athletic

Total

11.30 7.50 3.80

Home

10.00 6.80 3.20

Away

9.60 5.90 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-104

Real Madrid Corners

Over 5.5

-128

Under 5.5

-111

Athletic Corners

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-102

Most Corners

1

-213

X

+700

2

+210

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this La Liga encounter, the bookmakers have Real Madrid as the -204 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 67% chance of triumphing. Athletic Club are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +500.

If you fancy Real to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of -114. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Athletic at +410 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +160.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -175 for the BTTS Yes option.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to La Liga matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-204

X

+360

2

+500

Half-Time Result

1

-114

X

+160

2

+410

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-526

X2

+155

Draw No Bet

1

-588

2

+320

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-100

2 Hcp +1.25

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+165

Over 2.5

-217

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-175

No

+128

Kylian Mbappé is priced at +250 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of -147 to find the net anytime.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

+250

Anytime

-147

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+400

Anytime

+125

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+540

Anytime

+170

Gorka Guruzeta (Athletic)

First

+750

Anytime

+240

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+260

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+270

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+1050

Anytime

+330

Nico Williams (Athletic)

First

+1100

Anytime

+370

Oihan Sancet (Athletic)

First

+1200

Anytime

+370

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+1100

Anytime

+380

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+1100

Anytime

+380

Unai Gomez (Athletic)

First

+1400

Anytime

+420

Maroan Sannadi (Athletic)

First

+1200

Anytime

+420

Alex Berenguer (Athletic)

First

+1300

Anytime

+430

Iñaki Williams (Athletic)

First

+1400

Anytime

+430

Urko Izeta (Athletic)

First

+1300

Anytime

+440

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

First

+1300

Anytime

+450

Robert Navarro (Athletic)

First

+1400

Anytime

+450

Nico Serrano (Athletic)

First

+1400

Anytime

+450

Thiago Pitarch (Real Madrid)

First

+1500

Anytime

+525

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

First

+1800

Anytime

+600

David Alaba (Real Madrid)

First

+2200

Anytime

+700

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

First

+2000

Anytime

+700

Fran García (Real Madrid)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Álvaro Fernández Carreras (Real Madrid)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Raúl Asencio del Rosario (Real Madrid)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Dani Ceballos (Real Madrid)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Dani Carvajal (Real Madrid)

First

+2200

Anytime

+750

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Gorka Guruzeta (Athletic)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Nico Serrano (Athletic)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Robert Navarro (Athletic)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Urko Izeta (Athletic)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Iñaki Williams (Athletic)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Alex Berenguer (Athletic)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Maroan Sannadi (Athletic)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Unai Gomez (Athletic)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Oihan Sancet (Athletic)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Pitarch (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Stats: La Liga matches only
Real Madrid have not lost at Santiago Bernabéu in the past five matches. Los Merengues have eight wins, one draw and one loss in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.50 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Athletic have finished with six losses, two victories and two draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 2.00.

The most recent Santiago Bernabéu meeting saw Real claim a 1-0 win over Athletic. We’ve seen two drawn games in the past 6 H2H meetings at Santiago Bernabéu along with four Real wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Real Madrid Home Stats		8-1-1	3.40	2.50	0.90	6	4	7	3
Athletic Club Away Stats		2-2-6	3.30	1.30	2.00	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Lineups & Team News

The latest Real vs Athletic team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Real Madrid Team Page Athletic Club Team Page

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