Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Sep 2026
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Predictions
After careful consideration, we’re going to place a BTTS Yes bet on the basis that -100 looks like great value. We anticipate that Real Madrid and Rayo can both find the net here.
Our Real Madrid vs Rayo betting coverage includes detailed reasoning for the main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Preview
Real Madrid square off against Rayo Vallecano at Santiago Bernabéu, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 12 September.
Real Madrid were defeated in their last La Liga game. They suffered a 1-0 loss against Real Betis at Estadio de La Cartuja. Jose Mourinho's side enjoyed 58% possession and had seven shots on target.
On Tuesday night, Real beat Inter Milan 2-1 at home in the Champions League.
Rayo Vallecano won their previous game, beating Racing Club Santander. It was a 3-2 win at Estadio Butarque. Los Franjirrojos were 49% in the possession stakes and managed nine shots on goal, while Sergio Camello found the net twice and Andrei Ratiu scored one.
H2H: Real Overcame Rayo in Last Head-to-Head
Real are unbeaten in the past seven games against Rayo. In their last clash, Real enjoyed a 2-1 success when hosting at Santiago Bernabéu. The previous 10 H2H games have featured five Real wins, four draws and one Rayo victory.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Real Madrid |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7:10 | 4 |
7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals from 15.7 attempts and 6.5 shots on goal. Real have had 58.4% possession, 577.2 passes and 6.1 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.8 goals from 11.9 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.5 corners.
Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior lead the way with 5 goals, while Jude Bellingham has 4. Jude Bellingham is top assists maker with 3, while goalies Thibaut Courtois and Andriy Lunin have kept 4 clean sheets between them.
Rayo have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 12.8 attempts, 5.8 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. Benat San Jose's team average 49.3% possession, 356.6 passes, 4.8 corners in their favour and 6.0 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 5.3 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts.
Sergio Camello has recorded 9 goals, Alexandre Zurawski 3, with Randy Nteka and Florian Lejeune both managing 2. Unai Lopez has been the top assist maker on 4, with Augusto Batalla notching 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Denzel Dumfries, Ibrahima Konate, Dean Huijsen, Marc Cucurella, Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior, Kylian Mbappe.
Rayo Vallecano predicted lineup (4-3-3): Dani Cardenas (GK), Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Pathe Ciss, Adria Pedrosa, Unai Lopez, Oscar Valentin, Pedro Diaz, Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Sergio Camello, Alvaro Garcia.
Main Match Prediction
The best betting angle could be backing the teams to both score at least once in this La Liga clash, especially as odds of -100 are available when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
We’re constantly keeping tabs on the La Liga team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 50% prospect of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
One way of boosting your BTTS Yes pick is by going down the Bet Builder route. This involves trying to find other winning selections and getting a bigger price as a result.
Our user-friendly bonus guide highlights the newest betting offers, free bets, and sign-up deals in one spot.
Correct Score Prediction
3
-
1
Rayo
Let’s take a chance on the +850 available that Real Madrid secure a 3-1 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Player Prop Picks
Sergio Camello (Rayo) has finished with one or more shots on goal in eight of his past nine La Liga games. We’re expecting him to produce a high level of performance and cover the Shots on Target line, with odds of +125 on offer.
Federico Valverde (Real Madrid) has registered four goals in his past nine La Liga home games. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +260 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past five Rayo Vallecano games have averaged 12.60 corners, while the last three Real Madrid matches have seen over 9.5 corners. We’re content to wager the -123 for the teams to cover the Total Corners line as this looks appealing.
Real Madrid
Rayo
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is packed with these picks: BTTS Yes, Rayo Vallecano with the +2.5 Asian Handicap combined with Sergio Camello (Rayo) to end up with one or more shots on target.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The available betting odds afford Real Madrid a 89% probability of triumphing in this La Liga clash. This is reflected in that they’re massive -833 favourites to succeed with the bookmakers. Rayo Vallecano are trading at a far bigger price than their opponents and the rank outsiders can be backed at +1800.
For those anticipating a one-sided affair, Real are available on the -2.5 Asian Handicap at -109. This means that they would need to beat Rayo by at least three goals in order for the wager to land a return.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -135 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.
If you visit one of the recommended betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever La Liga game appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.
Kylian Mbappé is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +175. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.
Stats: La Liga matches only
Real Madrid have won each of their last five games at Santiago Bernabéu. Jose Mourinho's side have racked up eight victories, one draw and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.80 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Rayo have recorded five losses, three draws and two wins in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.70.
Real overcame Rayo 2-1 when the sides last met at Santiago Bernabéu. The past 5 H2H games at Santiago Bernabéu have included four Real wins along with a single draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid Home Stats |
8-1-1 | 3.80 | 2.80 | 1.00 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
| Rayo Vallecano Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.80 | 1.10 | 1.70 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- La Liga: 01/02 2026 Real Madrid 2 Rayo Vallecano 1
- La Liga: 09/11 2025 Rayo Vallecano 0 Real Madrid 0
- La Liga: 09/03 2025 Real Madrid 2 Rayo Vallecano 1
- La Liga: 14/12 2024 Rayo Vallecano 3 Real Madrid 3
- La Liga: 18/02 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 Real Madrid 1
- La Liga: 05/11 2023 Real Madrid 0 Rayo Vallecano 0
- La Liga: 24/05 2023 Real Madrid 2 Rayo Vallecano 1
- La Liga: 07/11 2022 Rayo Vallecano 3 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 26/02 2022 Rayo Vallecano 0 Real Madrid 1
- La Liga: 06/11 2021 Real Madrid 2 Rayo Vallecano 1
Real Madrid League Stats
Rayo Vallecano League Stats
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 58.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 49.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Real Madrid this season are Kylian Mbappe (4), Jude Bellingham (2), Arda Guler (1)
- Top Assistors for Real Madrid this season are Jude Bellingham (2), Vinicius Junior (2), Arda Guler (1)
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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Real vs Rayo team news before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga together with updated injury news.
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Rayo Vallecano Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Rayo Vallecano Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Real Madrid Lineups
Previous Rayo Vallecano Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Real Madrid Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jose Mourinho
Rayo Vallecano Player Stats & Squad
La Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Alavés | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Deportivo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 6 | Atlético Madrid | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Sevilla | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Levante | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Getafe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Villarreal | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Málaga | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:7 | 2 |
| 19 | Elche | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | 1 |
| 20 | Valencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alavés | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 5 | Espanyol | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 6 | Deportivo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 7 | Atlético Madrid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 11 | Getafe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 13 | Levante | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Málaga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 17 | Valencia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:6 | 1 |
| 18 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 19 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 20 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | 0 |
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