Real Oviedo vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2026
La Liga Betting Preview: Real Oviedo vs Atlético Madrid
Bottom-of-the-table Real Oviedo meet third-placed Atlético Madrid at Estadio Carlos Tartiere, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 28 February.
We can make an argument for betting Under 2.5 when it comes to Total Goals. The stats imply that Oviedo and Atlético Madrid could fall short of this total and the price of -143 looks a value one.
Real Oviedo drew away from home in their last game. A 3-3 scoreline was played out against Real Sociedad at Reale Arena. Los Carbayones enjoyed just 38% possession and had six shots on target, with Federico Vinas scoring two goals and Eric Bailly bagging the other.
Atlético Madrid won their previous La Liga game, beating Espanyol at home. It was a 4-2 victory at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Diego Simeone's side recorded 61% possession and had nine shots on goal, with Alexander Soerloth on the scoresheet twice, while Giuliano Simeone and Ademola Lookman were both able to net.
Four days ago, Atléti won 4-1 when hosting Club Brugge in the Champions League.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was Atléti who came out on top when they last played Oviedo. At Riyadh Air Metropolitano, a 2-0 home win was recorded.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atlético Madrid |
31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 51:32 | 57 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo |
31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 48 | -24 | 24:48 | 27 |
1 win, 4 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 10.7 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. Oviedo have had 44.8% possession, 356.9 passes and 4.6 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 12.8 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.8 corners.
Top scorer Federico Vinas has found the net 4 times, Ilyas Chaira 3, with Eric Bailly and Alberto Reina both scoring 1. Haissem Hassan is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Aaron Escandell managing 3 clean sheets.
Atléti have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 5.2 shots on goal, 12.7 attempts and 1.4 goals. Los Colchoneros average 56.0% possession, 539.2 passes, 6.4 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 10.1 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.
Alexander Soerloth has scored 5, followed by Antoine Griezmann and Koke with 2 goals apiece. Matteo Ruggeri has been the top assist maker on 2, with Jan Oblak notching 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Real Oviedo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Aaron Escandell (GK), Nacho Vidal, Dani Calvo, David Carmo, Javi Lopez, Nicolas Fonseca, Kwasi Sibo, Haissem Hassan, Alberto Reina, Ilyas Chaira, Federico Vinas.
Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Nahuel Molina, Jose Gimenez, Robin Le Normand, Julio Diaz, Thiago Almada, Johnny Cardoso, Rodrigo Mendoza, Alejandro Baena, Ademola Lookman, Alexander Soerloth.
Real Oviedo vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
We cover the key Real Oviedo vs Atlético Madrid betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
The teams might play out a low-scoring La Liga clash, with Under 2.5 looking like the best selection. We can head to the betting sites and secure odds of -143 for this pick.
Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest La Liga stats when making our football predictions.
Key Real Oviedo vs Atlético Madrid league stats:
According to the odds, there’s a 58.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
In the quest to secure bigger odds, then a particular route could be selecting Under 2.5 Goals in a Total Goals & Both Teams to Score wager. A bigger potential return can be landed by including BTTS No.
Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Atléti at odds of +540. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Ilyas Chaira (Oviedo) has finished with over 2.5 shots in seven of his past ten La Liga games. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Player Shots line at odds of +112.
Antoine Griezmann (Atléti) has scored two goals in his past seven La Liga games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +260.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in four straight Oviedo home games. There’s a price of -116 for this Total Corners bet and we think the line is too big.
Oviedo
Atléti
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a bet builder, then we’ve got two or less goals, Atlético Madrid to claim a victory and Antoine Griezmann (Atléti) to be on the scoresheet.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Real Oviedo vs Atlético Madrid Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Atlético Madrid odds are -133 which leads to them being favourites in this La Liga clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 57% prospect of securing a victory. If you’re searching for a different slant, Real Oviedo are available at +400.
Atléti -0.75 at -100 means you split your Asian Handicap stake between -0.5 and -1. You ideally want a win by two goals or more against Oviedo, although a one-goal victory means a half-stake return and a refund with the other half.
When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. BTTS is always an intriguing wager to have and the Yes/No selections are regarded as being evenly-matched.
The best football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to La Liga games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Julián Álvarez at +350, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.
Oviedo have recorded five draws, four losses and one win in the previous 10 home games, scoring an average of 0.40 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Atlético Madrid have not triumphed in three straight away matches. Los Colchoneros have four draws, three wins and three defeats in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Atléti beat Oviedo 2-0 when the teams last met at Estadio Carlos Tartiere.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Oviedo Home Stats |
1-5-4 | 1.40 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 7 | |
Atlético Madrid Away Stats |
3-4-3 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Real Oviedo League Stats
Atlético Madrid League Stats
- 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 44.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Real Oviedo this season are Federico Vinas (5), Ilyas Chaira (3), Alberto Reina (2)
- Top Assistors for Real Oviedo this season are Haissem Hassan (3), Alex Fores (1), Federico Vinas (1)
Real Oviedo vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News
The Oviedo vs Atléti team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Real Oviedo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlético Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Real Oviedo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlético Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Real Oviedo Substitutes
- 1Horatiu Moldovan
- 3Rahim Alhassane
- 8Santi Cazorla
- 11Santiago Colombatto
- 15Thiago Fernandez
- 17Thiago Borbas
- 19Alex Fores
- 20Leander Dendoncker
- 21Luka Ilic
- 24Lucas Ahijado
- 27Pablo Agudin
- 33Diego Espinosa
Atlético Madrid Substitutes
- 1Juan Musso
- 3Matteo Ruggeri
- 6Koke
- 7Antoine Griezmann
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 15Clement Lenglet
- 17David Hancko
- 18Marc Pubill
- 19Julian Alvarez
- 20Giuliano Simeone
- 21Obed Vargas
- 33Mario de Luis
Previous Real Oviedo Lineups
Previous Atlético Madrid Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Real Oviedo Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Guillermo Almada
Atlético Madrid Player Stats & Squad
La Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 84:30 | 79 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 65:29 | 70 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 56:36 | 61 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 51:32 | 57 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 45:38 | 46 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 44:40 | 44 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 49:48 | 42 |
| 8 | Getafe | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 27:32 | 41 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:38 | 39 |
| 10 | Espanyol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 37:48 | 38 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 33:45 | 38 |
| 12 | Girona | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 33:45 | 38 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 29:38 | 35 |
| 14 | Valencia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:46 | 35 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39:48 | 34 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39:51 | 34 |
| 17 | Alavés | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 35:46 | 33 |
| 18 | Elche | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 39:47 | 32 |
| 19 | Levante | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 35:50 | 29 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24:48 | 27 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 16 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 51:9 | 48 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37:13 | 40 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 35:14 | 40 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 37 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 6 | Elche | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:16 | 28 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 28 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 26 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20:19 | 26 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 12 | Valencia | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 23 |
| 13 | Girona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 22 |
| 14 | Getafe | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:11 | 21 |
| 15 | Alavés | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:18 | 21 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:21 | 21 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | 19 |
| 18 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23:24 | 17 |
| 19 | Levante | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7:14 | 17 |
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