Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Sep 2026

Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -149

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

We are backing Over 2.5 in the Total Goals market at -149, with Sociedad and Atlético Madrid set to play out a high-scoring contest. We think the odds are attractive when it comes to at least three goals being scored.

This Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid Preview

Real Sociedad clash with Atlético Madrid at Reale Arena, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 13 September.

Real Sociedad have collected seven points from their opening five La Liga games after claiming a 3-2 victory away to Elche last time out. Los Txuri-Urdin recorded 42% possession and had seven shots on target, while Job Ochieng, Yangel Herrera and Luka Sucic got among the goals.

Atlético Madrid have picked up seven points from their first four league matches, suffering a 3-0 defeat away to Athletic Club at San Mamés in their previous outing. Diego Simeone's team managed five shots on goal and enjoyed 62% possession.

Four days ago, Atléti suffered a 2-1 defeat away to Liverpool in the Champions League.

H2H: Sociedad Won Last Head-to-Head in Penalty Shoot-out

These two teams last met at Estadio de La Cartuja, with Sociedad claiming a penalty shootout Copa del Rey win (2-2 AET). The previous 10 H2H matches have seen Atléti win six times and four draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Atlético Madrid	8	6	1	1	18	8	10	18:8	19
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	9:13	10

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 10.8 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. Sociedad have had 51.2% possession, 476.1 passes and 5.5 corners per match. On average, Pellegrino Matarazzo's side have conceded 1.7 goals from 16.8 attempts and 6.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Orri Oskarsson has found the net 4 times, Luka Sucic 2, with Yangel Herrera and two other players on 1. Mikel Oyarzabal and Sergio Gomez have been top assistors on 3, with goalkeeper Alex Remiro keeping one clean sheet.

Atléti have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts. Los Colchoneros have averaged 52.3% possession, 505.6 passes, 6.3 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts.

Ademola Lookman, Alejandro Baena and Alexander Soerloth are top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Marc Pubill is on 2. Antoine Griezmann is top assists provider with 3, while Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Real Sociedad confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Alex Remiro (GK), Jon Aramburu, Luken Beitia, Mamadou Sarr, Sergio Gomez, Yangel Herrera, Carlos Soler, Ander Barrenetxea, Luka Sucic, Goncalo Guedes, Mikel Oyarzabal.

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Jan Oblak (GK), Marc Pubill, Cristian Romero, David Hancko, Giuliano Simeone, Marcos Llorente, Morten Hjulmand, Alejandro Grimaldo, Kang-In Lee, Alejandro Baena, Ademola Lookman.

Main Match Prediction

We’re expecting goals to be scored during this La Liga game and there is a good way of landing value. You can secure odds of -149 that Over 2.5 Goals are netted and that price stands out.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Sociedad games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Sociedad games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Atléti games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Atléti games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Atléti games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 games between these teams.

We’re constantly keeping tabs on the La Liga team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 59.9% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

We would recommend considering a Bet Builder if you’re looking for a bigger-priced alternative. Go for Over 2.5 Goals with other selections, with a handsome pay out on the cards.

Ready to wager? Discover top betting deals and find the most valuable sportsbook promo codes in our trusted bonus guide filled with perks.

Over 2.5 Goals @ -149 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 11, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sociedad 2 - 1 Atléti

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Sociedad winning 2-1. Odds of +900 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gonçalo Guedes Over 1.5 Shots -119

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad) has fired over 1.5 shots in three consecutive La Liga matches. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the -119 available.

Latest Gonçalo Guedes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

---

Luka Sucic to Score +370

Luka Sucic (Sociedad) has racked up two goals in his past five La Liga matches. It’s worth a play on the +370 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Luka Sucic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+1150

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Sociedad To Have Most Corners -102

In seven consecutive games, Real Sociedad have won the Corner Match Bet. Sociedad can be backed at a value -102 to win the Corner Match bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sociedad

Total

9.20 5.50 3.70

Home

10.20 6.30 3.90

Away

9.40 4.70 4.70

Atléti

Total

10.00 6.30 3.70

Home

9.90 6.40 3.50

Away

10.70 5.10 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

+102

Sociedad Corners

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-109

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

-102

Most Corners

1

+104

X

+650

2

-104

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Atlético Madrid are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this La Liga encounter. The +110 for them coming out on top suggests a 48% probability based on their latest betting odds. Real Sociedad are the +225 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

If you want to side with Atléti winning against Sociedad, then the -0.25 on the Asian Handicap is one potential option. You can land -122 and also have the insurance of half stake returns in the event of a draw.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -208.

The leading betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every La Liga match. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

+225

X

+265

2

+110

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+143

2

+155

Double Chance

1X

-139

12

-370

X2

-303

Draw No Bet

1

+130

2

-189

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-102

2 Hcp -0.25

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+138

Over 2.5

-179

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-208

No

+150

There is +128 available that Julián Álvarez finds the net at any stage. He is available at +380 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+380

Anytime

+128

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+430

Anytime

+148

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

First

+475

Anytime

+160

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+510

Anytime

+170

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Sociedad)

First

+550

Anytime

+185

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+280

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+295

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

First

+900

Anytime

+310

Job Ochieng (Sociedad)

First

+800

Anytime

+330

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

First

+950

Anytime

+350

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+1050

Anytime

+375

Takefusa Kubo (Sociedad)

First

+1050

Anytime

+380

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+1050

Anytime

+390

Luka Sucic (Sociedad)

First

+1150

Anytime

+390

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

First

+1300

Anytime

+450

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

First

+1400

Anytime

+525

Yangel Herrera (Sociedad)

First

+1500

Anytime

+550

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

Cristian Romero (Atléti)

First

+2000

Anytime

+700

Arsen Zakharyan (Sociedad)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Morten Hjulmand (Atléti)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Héctor Fort (Sociedad)

First

+2200

Anytime

+800

Beñat Turrientes (Sociedad)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Sergio Gomez (Sociedad)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Koke (Atléti)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Johnny Cardoso (Atléti)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Robin Le Normand (Atléti)

First

+2000

Anytime

+950

Jon Gorrotxategi (Sociedad)

First

+2000

Anytime

+1000

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Takefusa Kubo (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Luka Sucic (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Yangel Herrera (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-

Arsen Zakharyan (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Beñat Turrientes (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Héctor Fort (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Romero (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Sergio Gomez (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Morten Hjulmand (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Jon Gorrotxategi (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-

Johnny Cardoso (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-

Koke (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-

Robin Le Normand (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Sociedad)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

-

Takefusa Kubo (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Álex Grimaldo (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Luka Sucic (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Arsen Zakharyan (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Kang-In Lee (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Beñat Turrientes (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Héctor Fort (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Morten Hjulmand (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Romero (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Yangel Herrera (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Sergio Gomez (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 La Liga matches only.
Sociedad have collected four wins, four draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Atléti have managed six losses and four victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 2.10.

Sociedad drew 1-1 with Atléti when the sides last met at Reale Arena. The previous 8 H2H meetings at Reale Arena have ended in four Atléti victories, three draws and a solitary win for Sociedad.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Real Sociedad Home Stats		4-4-2	3.70	2.10	1.60	7	3	7	3
Atlético Madrid Away Stats		4-0-6	3.50	1.40	2.10	8	2	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Sociedad vs Atléti team news beforehand. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups and the latest injury reports.

Real Sociedad Team Page Atlético Madrid Team Page

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages